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Nippon Chuzo K.K. (5609) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5609

Nippon Chuzo K.K.

(TSE/TYO:5609)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,080.00â–²(11.23% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The overall score is constrained by a very high P/E ratio, which is a major risk for a cyclical company facing declining revenue and margins. This is partially balanced by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet that provides stability and a bullish technical trend suggesting positive market momentum. The company's financial performance is moderate, with recent cash flow improvements offset by operational weaknesses.

Positive Factors
Manageable LeverageModerate and declining leverage gives the company greater financial resilience than a heavily indebted operating model. Lower debt relative to equity can reduce financing pressure, preserve borrowing capacity, and support continued investment through the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe recent deterioration in revenue signals weakening demand or operating scale and reduces the base from which future earnings can grow. A second consecutive period of decline may make fixed-cost absorption more difficult and constrain investment capacity over the next several quarters.

Nippon Chuzo K.K. (5609) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%JP:5609+22.49%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.68B
Dividend Yield
2.06%
Average Volume (3M)
14.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.4
Beta (1Y)
0.76
Revenue Growth
-9.61%
EPS Growth
-44.25%
Country
Japan
Employees
294
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Steel

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Chuzo K. K. engages in supplying large, special, and steel castings for construction in Japan. The company also provides steel materials, cast iron, new casting technologies and formed and fabricated materials, and particularly for casting maI...

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is a clear strength with low leverage (debt only 31% of equity) and stable equity. However, the income statement shows declining revenue and compressed margins, while cash flow, though recently improved, has been volatile. The solid capital structure partially offsets operational cyclicality.

Income Statement

40Negative

Balance Sheet

75Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.04B12.29B14.31B15.99B14.81B12.11B
Gross Profit2.07B1.85B2.03B2.74B2.08B2.00B
EBITDA1.06B870.00M1.00B1.48B1.28B1.57B
Net Income261.00M154.00M236.00M651.00M568.00M663.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.99B21.55B22.34B23.54B22.67B21.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.13B1.74B586.00M1.12B560.00M356.00M
Total Debt4.66B3.57B3.79B3.74B4.13B2.90B
Total Liabilities11.24B9.86B10.45B11.66B11.30B9.84B
Stockholders Equity11.75B11.69B11.88B11.88B11.37B11.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.61B-300.00M1.22B-489.00M-927.00M
Operating Cash Flow02.12B685.00M1.81B159.00M-427.00M
Investing Cash Flow0-608.00M-1.10B-717.00M-726.00M-248.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-372.00M-123.00M-529.00M771.00M541.00M

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price971.00

Price Trends

50DMA945.90Positive
100DMA937.96Positive
200DMA895.36Positive

Market Momentum

MACD3.83Positive
RSI51.26Neutral
STOCH53.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5609, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 971.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 976.20, above the 50-day MA of 945.90, and above the 200-day MA of 895.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5609.

Nippon Chuzo K.K. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5609 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5986JP:598680OutperformJPY 5.96B3.08―4.51%-2.89%434.49%
JP:5697JP:569776OutperformJPY 5.26B6.75―3.45%7.03%38.79%
JP:5458JP:545870OutperformJPY 3.84B7.58―3.13%3.77%117.60%
JP:5609JP:560958NeutralJPY 4.68B16.37―2.06%-9.61%-44.25%
JP:5491JP:549158NeutralJPY 5.54B11.86―0.60%1.74%-63.78%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5446JP:544651NeutralJPY 3.84B-4.92―0.80%-9.95%-302.38%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:5609JP:5446JP:5458JP:5491JP:5697JP:5986Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5609 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5609Nippon Chuzo K.K.971.00165.6020.56%
JP:5446Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd.999.00-242.00-19.50%
JP:5458Takasago Tekko K.K.1280.00359.9139.12%
JP:5491Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.827.0025.003.12%
JP:5697Sanyu Co., Ltd.870.00239.0037.88%
JP:5986Molitec Steel Co., Ltd.266.0072.3837.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026