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Kogi Corp (5603) AI Stock Analysis

JP:5603

Kogi Corp

(TSE/TYO:5603)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,392.00â–²(11.81% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is held back primarily by weak and inconsistent cash generation and recently pressured margins despite positive profits. Offsetting this, valuation is supportive (moderate P/E and a ~3.8% dividend yield) and technicals show moderately positive momentum with price above key moving averages and a positive MACD.

Positive Factors
Improving LeverageLower leverage reduces balance-sheet risk and improves financial flexibility. This gives Kogi greater resilience through cyclical conditions and may allow more capacity to fund operations or investment without excessive dependence on borrowing.
Negative Factors
Unstable Cash ConversionRepeated periods of weak operating cash flow and negative free cash flow indicate that reported profits are not converting reliably into cash. This can constrain investment, dividends, and debt reduction while increasing reliance on working-capital or external financing.

Kogi Corp (5603) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:5603+1.72%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.09B
Dividend Yield
4.02%
Average Volume (3M)
2,925
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.8
Beta (1Y)
0.54
Revenue Growth
-2.06%
EPS Growth
-85.71%
Country
Japan
Employees
766
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

Kogi Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kogi Corporation, established in 1916 and headquartered in Himeji, Japan, operates across three main business segments: metal casting, industrial machinery, and environmental technology. In its casting division, the company produces a broad array of...

Kogi Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: profitability is positive but thin and weakening (net margin ~2% in 2026 vs. ~3% in 2025), leverage is manageable and improving, but cash flow is the key weakness with inconsistent operating cash generation and negative free cash flow in multiple years including 2026.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.69B25.69B26.32B25.96B26.73B23.12B
Gross Profit4.02B4.03B4.31B3.63B3.65B2.80B
EBITDA2.44B2.28B2.83B2.39B2.35B1.58B
Net Income470.00M470.00M798.00M538.00M466.00M43.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.88B35.88B33.71B35.27B32.71B31.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.43B2.43B3.17B2.64B2.10B3.12B
Total Debt9.07B9.07B9.12B12.02B9.53B9.19B
Total Liabilities16.53B16.53B15.66B18.43B17.67B17.68B
Stockholders Equity15.52B15.52B14.36B13.52B11.82B11.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-684.00M3.76B-1.29B-1.30B-518.00M
Operating Cash Flow0881.00M4.81B-53.00M-119.00M1.03B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.53B-1.03B-1.62B-1.15B-1.55B
Financing Cash Flow0-94.00M-3.29B2.20B238.00M1.02B

Kogi Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1245.00

Price Trends

50DMA1292.02Negative
100DMA1275.54Negative
200DMA1304.83Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-13.12Positive
RSI40.36Neutral
STOCH11.39Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5603, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1245.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1263.35, below the 50-day MA of 1292.02, and below the 200-day MA of 1304.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -13.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5603.

Kogi Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:5603 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5644JP:564472OutperformJPY 22.25B7.40―2.11%2.42%49.60%
JP:6998JP:699866NeutralJPY 14.50B21.91―2.92%12.13%-3.95%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:5603JP:560361NeutralJPY 4.13B13.81―4.02%-2.06%-85.71%
JP:5994JP:599453NeutralJPY 4.00B-1.29―2.75%3.08%-260.66%
JP:6433JP:643349NeutralJPY 6.18B-9.20――-19.07%-222.53%
JP:5852JP:585246NeutralJPY 14.80B7.50―6.15%-0.50%―

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JP:5603JP:5644JP:5852JP:5994JP:6433JP:6998Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5603 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5603Kogi Corp1245.0033.652.78%
JP:5644Metalart Corporation7360.003364.6984.22%
JP:5852Ahresty Corporation585.00-182.47-23.78%
JP:5994Fine Sinter Co., Ltd.908.00-561.97-38.23%
JP:6433HEPHAIST CO.,LTD1003.00364.0056.96%
JP:6998Nippon Tungsten Co., Ltd.2907.001454.46100.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026