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Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. (5446) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5446

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5446)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,092.00â–²(6.54% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Hokuetsu Metal's overall score of 54 is primarily anchored by a highly resilient balance sheet and strong cash generation, which provide a buffer against current operational weakness. However, the score is significantly constrained by ongoing unprofitability (resulting in a negative P/E ratio) and sustained bearish technical momentum across all major moving averages.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetLow leverage reduces financial risk and gives Hokuetsu Metal greater flexibility to withstand steel-market downturns, fund operations, and pursue necessary investment without relying heavily on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Revenue and profitability deteriorationThe latest deterioration points to weaker demand or pricing power and reduces earnings visibility. Sustained revenue contraction and negative margins could constrain reinvestment, weaken returns, and prolong the recovery.

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. (5446) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:5446-17.07%EWJ+10.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.89B
Dividend Yield
0.80%
Average Volume (3M)
10.81K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-7.0
Beta (1Y)
0.21
Revenue Growth
-14.77%
EPS Growth
-208.13%
Country
Japan
Employees
483
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Steel

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HOKUETSU METAL Co., Ltd., based in Nagaoka, Japan, is a multifaceted enterprise engaged in the manufacturing, fabrication, and distribution of iron and steel products across the country. Its primary steel offerings include various steel bars for rein...

How the Company Makes Money

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Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

While Hokuetsu Metal faces severe top-line pressure and net accounting losses, its pristine balance sheet with minimal debt and strong positive free cash flow provide significant fundamental stability against cyclical downturns.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.20B23.60B28.73B31.82B31.04B27.36B
Gross Profit3.73B2.69B3.85B3.67B4.17B2.14B
EBITDA1.75B752.67M1.86B1.77B2.20B243.67M
Net Income506.66M-339.42M572.17M467.90M1.01B-967.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.34B25.85B26.69B28.76B27.96B26.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.08B2.29B2.24B2.77B2.25B2.71B
Total Debt2.58B2.22B2.72B3.78B3.82B3.77B
Total Liabilities8.65B7.93B8.90B11.79B11.54B11.16B
Stockholders Equity17.69B17.91B17.79B16.97B16.42B15.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0868.16M611.88M657.82M-469.24M-4.52B
Operating Cash Flow01.66B1.62B2.03B898.68M-2.47B
Investing Cash Flow0-964.00M-1.03B-1.13B-1.28B-2.02B
Financing Cash Flow0-648.73M-1.12B-380.25M-74.78M1.00B

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1025.00

Price Trends

50DMA1064.30Negative
100DMA1104.18Negative
200DMA1181.28Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-18.23Positive
RSI28.62Positive
STOCH12.19Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5446, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1025.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1032.90, below the 50-day MA of 1064.30, and below the 200-day MA of 1181.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.62 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5446.

Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5446 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5445JP:544575OutperformJPY 47.73B7.32―5.68%-2.19%-34.09%
JP:5410JP:541072OutperformJPY 37.24B9.65―4.89%-1.00%-66.17%
JP:5463JP:546371OutperformJPY 398.75B13.06―2.98%-1.88%20.80%
JP:5408JP:540865NeutralJPY 37.76B9.09―3.45%-8.00%-35.22%
JP:5440JP:544063NeutralJPY 75.66B9.79―5.31%6.83%-31.05%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5446JP:544654NeutralJPY 3.87B-7.04―0.80%-14.77%-208.13%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:5446JP:5408JP:5410JP:5440JP:5445JP:5463Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5446 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5446Hokuetsu Metal Co., Ltd.1025.00-205.00-16.67%
JP:5408Nakayama Steel Works,Ltd.528.00-17.32-3.18%
JP:5410Godo Steel,Ltd.2451.00-1049.29-29.98%
JP:5440Kyoei Steel Ltd.1734.00-420.34-19.51%
JP:5445Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd.1899.00175.6610.19%
JP:5463Maruichi Steel Tube Ltd.1614.50342.5726.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026