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Nippon Carbon Co (5302) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5302

Nippon Carbon Co

(TSE/TYO:5302)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:JPY 5,830.00â–²(19.34% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/04/26

The score is led by solid financial fundamentals (profitability and a low-leverage balance sheet) but tempered by weak and volatile recent free-cash-flow generation. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and a strong dividend yield, while technicals show a modest uptrend with neutral momentum.

Positive Factors
Strong 2025 revenue reboundThe sharp 2025 revenue rebound indicates renewed demand for Nippon Carbon’s specialty carbon products across its industrial customer base. If maintained, stronger volume and product adoption can improve operating scale, support investment, and reinforce the company’s position in demanding high-temperature and electrical applications.
Negative Factors
Weak and volatile free cash flowWeak recent free-cash-flow conversion means reported earnings have not consistently translated into cash available for shareholders or strategic investment. Volatility may reflect heavier reinvestment or working-capital swings, reducing financial flexibility and making the quality of earnings less dependable over the medium term.

Nippon Carbon Co (5302) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:5302+17.17%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 356.53M
Dividend Yield
4.09%
Average Volume (3M)
55.70K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.8
Beta (1Y)
0.72
Revenue Growth
2.65%
EPS Growth
-4.30%
Country
Japan
Employees
667
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial - Specialties

Nippon Carbon Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Carbon Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon products in Japan. The company provides carbon fiber products, such as molded heat insulating materials for high temperature furnaces; CARBORON, a soft felt used in heat insulators...

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Carbon makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling specialty carbon materials and related products to industrial customers. Its revenue model is predominantly product-sales driven (B2B), where earnings are generated through (1) selling...

Nippon Carbon Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong 2025 revenue rebound and solid net margins (~11–13%) support the score, and leverage remains conservative with improving ROE. The main drag is cash-flow quality: free cash flow has been weak and volatile in recent years and is a low share of net income, reducing confidence in earnings-to-cash conversion.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.45B37.73B37.96B37.87B35.80B31.58B
Gross Profit10.01B10.26B11.48B11.85B9.85B8.04B
EBITDA10.75B8.34B9.94B9.69B7.13B6.88B
Net Income3.90B4.83B4.08B4.05B3.19B2.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets85.03B85.61B82.35B78.47B74.18B72.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.30B15.18B12.30B14.53B18.32B17.86B
Total Debt10.37B10.33B9.21B8.85B9.09B10.57B
Total Liabilities20.91B22.00B21.52B20.78B20.97B20.43B
Stockholders Equity54.59B54.39B52.02B49.45B45.56B44.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0818.00M567.00M78.00M3.96B5.91B
Operating Cash Flow06.32B5.23B3.19B5.80B7.55B
Investing Cash Flow0-2.20B-5.55B-4.43B-1.60B-608.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.26B-1.99B-2.61B-3.78B-3.76B

Nippon Carbon Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4885.00

Price Trends

50DMA5051.30Negative
100DMA4893.85Negative
200DMA4757.47Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-53.35Positive
RSI38.79Neutral
STOCH32.71Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5302, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4885.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5067.00, below the 50-day MA of 5051.30, and above the 200-day MA of 4757.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -53.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5302.

Nippon Carbon Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:5302 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4022JP:402280OutperformJPY 62.39B13.39―2.62%12.60%33.61%
JP:4064JP:406480OutperformJPY 31.72B12.13―3.50%2.72%24.14%
JP:5301JP:530172OutperformJPY 393.58B21.776.03%1.82%0.40%―
JP:5302JP:530270OutperformJPY 53.95B13.827.21%4.09%2.65%-4.30%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4027JP:402753NeutralJPY 45.07B-127.20―3.62%7.26%-118.07%
JP:5304JP:530450NeutralJPY 45.28B91.23―4.55%-3.28%-88.36%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:5302JP:5301JP:4022JP:4027JP:4064JP:5304Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5302 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5302Nippon Carbon Co 4885.00730.2917.58%
JP:5301Tokai Carbon Co 1926.00919.9791.44%
JP:4022Rasa Industries,Ltd.1571.00589.0459.99%
JP:4027Tayca Corporation2212.00949.9475.27%
JP:4064Nippon Carbide Industries Company,Incorporated3370.001323.6264.68%
JP:5304SEC Carbon Ltd.2196.00142.436.94%

Nippon Carbon Co Corporate Events

Nippon Carbon Completes ¥2.5 Billion Treasury Share Buyback

Sep 7, 2026

Nippon Carbon Co., Ltd. has completed a board-approved program to acquire its own common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, signaling an active approach to capital management and shareholder returns. The initiative aligns with broader trends among J...

Nippon Carbon Launches Shareholder Benefit Program to Reward Long-Term Investors

Aug 25, 2026

Nippon Carbon Co., Ltd. has approved the introduction of a new shareholder benefit program aimed at boosting interest in its stock and encouraging medium- to long-term shareholding among investors. The initiative is designed to reward loyal sharehold...

Nippon Carbon Tops First-Half Profit Forecasts on Strong SiC Demand, Keeps Full-Year Outlook

Aug 10, 2026

Nippon Carbon reported that its actual consolidated results for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026 slightly exceeded its earlier sales forecast and significantly outperformed profit projections. Net sales were broadly in line...

Nippon Carbon Posts Higher Sales but Profit Slump, Maintains Dividend and Sees Tougher 2026 Margins

Aug 10, 2026

Nippon Carbon reported consolidated net sales of ¥19,023 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, up 3.9% year on year, but operating profit fell 5.1% to ¥2,475 million and ordinary profit dropped 14.0%. Profit attributable to owners...

Nippon Carbon Advances Share Buyback With Treasury Stock Acquisitions

Aug 7, 2026

Nippon Carbon Co., Ltd. reported the latest status of its ongoing treasury share buyback program authorized by the Board of Directors in February 2026. The initiative is being conducted through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and is fram...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026