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Smart Drive Co. Ltd. (5137) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5137

Smart Drive Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5137)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 343.00â–²(11.00% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/18/26

The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance: a clear profitability and margin inflection, stronger leverage position, and strong 2025 free cash flow quality. Technicals are supportive but tempered by overbought signals and price still below the 200-day average. Valuation is reasonable at a mid-teens P/E but lacks dividend support (not provided).

Positive Factors
Profitability InflectionThe transition from repeated losses to solid profitability demonstrates a meaningful improvement in the company’s earnings model. Expanded net, EBIT, and EBITDA margins can strengthen internal funding capacity and provide a more durable foundation for growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Decelerating Revenue GrowthThe sharp slowdown in annual revenue growth creates a key durability risk for the current earnings improvement. If expansion remains muted, Smart Drive may have less operating leverage to sustain margin gains and fewer opportunities to compound profits at the pace implied by its earlier growth trajectory.

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. (5137) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%JP:5137-41.03%EWJ+14.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 11.17B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
454.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.2
Beta (1Y)
0.79
Revenue Growth
35.69%
EPS Growth
99.90%
Country
Japan
Employees
111
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

SmartDrive inc. specializes in creating data-driven platforms and services aimed at advancing mobility solutions across Japan. The company offers SmartDrive Fleet, a cloud-hosted vehicle management system designed to assist businesses with corporate...

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong turnaround in profitability with solid 2024–2025 revenue growth and materially improved margins (2025 net margin ~16%). Balance sheet has strengthened as equity rebuilt and leverage improved (debt-to-equity ~0.50 in 2025). Main risks are decelerating revenue growth and historically inconsistent operating cash flow, despite strong 2025 free cash flow quality.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.65B2.88B2.17B1.71B1.25B827.67M
Gross Profit2.31B1.77B1.37B1.13B763.81M553.46M
EBITDA655.91M527.40M238.09M5.97M-318.14M-361.47M
Net Income583.06M453.64M266.28M-28.85M-303.49M-327.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.52B2.39B1.86B1.51B1.15B1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.66B858.01M817.17M981.17M854.92M1.32B
Total Debt1.90B577.22M530.00M530.00M630.00M630.00M
Total Liabilities3.13B1.25B1.09B1.02B1.10B947.04M
Stockholders Equity1.39B1.15B776.59M489.50M46.23M563.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow632.66M629.06M35.99M-112.46M-461.56M-272.87M
Operating Cash Flow641.90M638.30M46.02M-107.33M-445.96M-268.27M
Investing Cash Flow-552.45M-548.85M-231.48M-113.33M-16.59M3.33M
Financing Cash Flow-39.13M-39.13M23.59M347.24M01.12B

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price309.00

Price Trends

50DMA305.78Positive
100DMA267.98Positive
200DMA279.29Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.05Positive
RSI52.34Neutral
STOCH58.73Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5137, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 309.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 306.70, above the 50-day MA of 305.78, and above the 200-day MA of 279.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5137.

Smart Drive Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5137 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2317JP:231781OutperformJPY 164.89B14.42―3.79%6.46%8.76%
JP:4725JP:472579OutperformJPY 32.92B9.1810.39%5.15%3.46%6.90%
JP:3636JP:363678OutperformJPY 79.63B12.49―3.53%3.79%0.50%
JP:5137JP:513771OutperformJPY 11.77B19.24――35.69%99.90%
JP:9715JP:971571OutperformJPY 128.91B11.229.06%4.09%5.92%-16.28%
JP:5574JP:557460NeutralJPY 20.20B18.61――27.68%126.99%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%20%JP:5137JP:9715JP:4725JP:2317JP:3636JP:5574Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5137 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5137Smart Drive Co. Ltd.309.00-231.00-42.78%
JP:9715transcosmos 3425.00-101.27-2.87%
JP:4725CAC Holdings Corporation1940.00-23.46-1.19%
JP:2317Systena Corporation449.00-42.83-8.71%
JP:3636Mitsubishi Research Institute5100.00240.714.95%
JP:5574ABEJA,Inc.2041.00-697.00-25.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026