BP Castrol K.K. (5015) AI Stock Analysis

BP Castrol K.K.

(TSE/TYO:5015)

Select Model

Rating:78Outperform

Price Target:JPY 1,094.00▲(9.51% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:02/11/26

BP Castrol K.K. demonstrates solid financial health with a debt-free balance sheet and improving profitability. The stock is in a strong uptrend, though overbought technicals may limit near-term upside. Valuation is fair with a high dividend yield. Overall, the company is well-positioned for long-term investors.

Positive Factors

Zero-debt balance sheetA zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. Over 2–6 months this supports consistent dividend capacity, ability to fund targeted investments or weather demand shocks, and lowers default and refinancing risk versus leveraged peers.

Negative Factors

Weak & volatile cash conversionLow and inconsistent conversion of earnings to operating cash reduces confidence in reported profits and constrains internally funded capex, buybacks or dividends. Over the medium term this raises risk of funding strain if earnings dip or working capital swings recur.

BP Castrol K.K. (5015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 22.93B
Dividend Yield: 5.41%
Average Volume (3M): 8,330
Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.0
Beta (1Y): 0.22
Revenue Growth: 4.47%
EPS Growth: 57.49%
Country: Japan
Employees: 91
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

BP Castrol K.K. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating in Japan, BP Castrol K.K. specializes in the production and distribution of a wide array of automotive lubrication products. Its comprehensive portfolio includes essential vehicle fluids like gasoline and diesel engine oils, automotive gear...

How the Company Makes Money

BP Castrol K.K. primarily makes money by selling lubricants and related fluid products in Japan. Revenue is generated through the distribution and sale of branded engine oils and other lubricants to end markets including (1) automotive consumers via...

BP Castrol K.K. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth and improving margins, supported by a debt-free balance sheet and strong cash flow generation, though cash flow coverage of liabilities is moderate.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.81B	14.69B	13.65B	12.04B	11.19B	11.09B
Gross Profit	4.51B	5.49B	4.94B	4.60B	4.62B	5.80B
EBITDA	1.06B	1.72B	1.55B	1.25B	991.69M	2.39B
Net Income	630.07M	1.05B	932.53M	781.50M	572.53M	1.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.52B	12.99B	13.44B	12.81B	12.75B	13.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	223.00M	195.62M	777.45M	1.27B	1.70B	1.02B
Total Debt	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total Liabilities	2.74B	2.91B	3.43B	2.84B	2.67B	2.64B
Stockholders Equity	9.78B	10.08B	10.01B	9.97B	10.08B	10.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	780.14M	408.69M	451.20M	104.37M	1.09B
Operating Cash Flow	0	895.32M	516.61M	645.39M	378.65M	1.20B
Investing Cash Flow	0	375.04M	-122.66M	-193.54M	1.72B	-114.38M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-985.33M	-894.21M	-893.74M	-1.42B	-1.58B

BP Castrol K.K. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral

Last Price999.00

Price Trends

50DMA1000.14Negative

100DMA994.18Positive

200DMA976.12Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.28Positive

RSI48.51Neutral

STOCH17.68Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5015, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 999.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 999.35, below the 50-day MA of 1000.14, and above the 200-day MA of 976.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5015.

BP Castrol K.K. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5015 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:5015	78Outperform	JPY 22.93B	17.02	―	5.41%	4.47%	57.49%
JP:5019	76Outperform	JPY 1.85T	4.80	21.79%	2.38%	-2.72%	3087.62%
JP:5020	72Outperform	JPY 3.79T	5.57	20.51%	2.38%	2.30%	437.64%
JP:8133	67Neutral	JPY 244.95B	11.20	―	3.18%	1.89%	46.71%
JP:8131	59Neutral	JPY 144.42B	15.89	―	2.56%	-0.31%	-25.03%
JP:8132	58Neutral	JPY 73.34B	15.46	―	2.57%	-2.76%	56.84%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:5015 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:5015	BP Castrol K.K.	999.00	114.30	12.92%
JP:5019	Idemitsu Kosan Co	1515.50	467.85	44.66%
JP:5020	Eneos Holdings, Inc.	1426.50	476.67	50.18%
JP:8131	Mitsuuroko Group Holdings Co., Ltd.	2581.00	530.87	25.89%
JP:8132	SINANEN HOLDINGS CO.LTD.	7400.00	1289.52	21.10%
JP:8133	ITOCHU ENEX CO., LTD.	2170.00	406.89	23.08%

BP Castrol K.K. Corporate Events

BP Castrol K.K. Delivers Strong Q2 Earnings and Raises Dividend

Aug 5, 2026

BP Castrol K.K. reported solid second-quarter results for the fiscal year ending December 2026, with net sales rising 7.6% year-on-year to ¥7,667 million and operating profit surging 55.1% to ¥1,114 million. Ordinary profit climbed 47.5% to...

BP Castrol K.K. Delivers Strong Profit Surge on Modest Sales Growth in Q1 2026

May 8, 2026

BP Castrol K.K. reported net sales of ¥3,393 million for the first quarter ended March 2026, a 2.4% increase from a year earlier, driven by improved profitability in its core oil and lubricants operations. Operating profit surged to ¥464 mi...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026

BP Castrol K.K. AI Stock Analysis