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Nichireki Co., Ltd. (5011) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5011

Nichireki Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5011)

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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,554.00â–²(19.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is primarily held back by weakening fundamentals—especially the sharp deterioration in cash generation and two years of negative free cash flow—despite a conservatively capitalized balance sheet. Technicals are strong with the stock trading above major moving averages, but overbought signals reduce near-term confidence. Valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and a ~3.4% dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetLow leverage and rising equity provide a durable funding base for operations and infrastructure projects. This reduces dependence on external financing and gives Nichireki greater capacity to absorb demand swings or fund ongoing investment.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionThe sharp decline in operating cash flow indicates that reported earnings are converting into cash less effectively. Persistently weak conversion can restrict internal funding, increase reliance on financing, and reduce flexibility for investment or shareholder returns.

Nichireki Co., Ltd. (5011) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:5011-8.40%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 60.81B
Dividend Yield
3.74%
Average Volume (3M)
71.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.5
Beta (1Y)
0.61
Revenue Growth
0.61%
EPS Growth
-2.73%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,434
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Engineering & Construction

Nichireki Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nichireki Co., Ltd., founded in 1943 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, is a prominent manufacturer and supplier of diverse paving materials, primarily serving the Japanese market. The company's main product lines include various asphalt emulsions cr...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Nichireki Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength (low-to-moderate leverage, debt-to-equity ~0.24) supports stability, but operating performance has softened with declining revenue and margin compression. The largest negative is cash flow: operating cash flow dropped sharply in 2026 and free cash flow has been materially negative for two consecutive years, reducing financial flexibility.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

41Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.38B75.85B75.75B73.83B78.40B78.00B
Gross Profit18.55B17.88B16.39B15.68B16.66B17.61B
EBITDA9.38B9.25B9.70B9.08B11.41B11.95B
Net Income4.52B4.29B4.85B4.49B6.28B6.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.26B122.62B112.37B95.09B91.47B88.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.25B24.75B31.62B25.75B27.32B29.00B
Total Debt18.71B18.86B19.97B1.56B1.53B1.60B
Total Liabilities32.13B42.94B35.05B20.26B19.00B20.35B
Stockholders Equity79.08B79.63B77.32B74.84B72.47B68.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-2.96B-7.29B3.57B3.79B4.50B
Operating Cash Flow02.42B4.89B7.39B6.56B7.74B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.29B-12.46B-3.85B-5.83B-2.36B
Financing Cash Flow0-4.01B13.73B-2.82B-3.12B-1.43B

Nichireki Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2137.00

Price Trends

50DMA2230.56Negative
100DMA2169.01Negative
200DMA2168.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-29.96Positive
RSI42.27Neutral
STOCH34.44Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5011, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2137.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2167.90, below the 50-day MA of 2230.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2168.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -29.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5011.

Nichireki Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:5011 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5357JP:535777OutperformJPY 24.48B11.10―5.44%4.27%27.05%
JP:5011JP:501167NeutralJPY 65.33B13.48―3.74%0.61%-2.73%
JP:5232JP:523265NeutralJPY 169.20B14.166.18%6.82%4.79%25.74%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:5233JP:523363NeutralJPY 477.39B17.464.09%2.60%1.17%-45.49%
JP:4044JP:404461NeutralJPY 109.90B9.62―3.83%4.27%226.52%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%JP:5011JP:5232JP:5233JP:4044JP:5357Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:5011 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5011Nichireki Co., Ltd.2137.00-203.68-8.70%
JP:5232Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co 1760.00508.0140.58%
JP:5233Taiheiyo Cement Corporation4231.00158.673.90%
JP:4044Central Glass Co., Ltd.4435.001339.6343.28%
JP:5357Yotai Refractories Co., Ltd.1653.00-38.44-2.27%

Nichireki Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nichireki Returns to Profit in First Quarter, Affirms Full-Year Outlook and Dividend Plan

Aug 7, 2026

Nichireki Group reported a solid rebound in profitability for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with net sales rising 3.8% year on year to ¥14.2 billion and operating profit swinging to ¥143 million from a loss a year earlier. Ordinary profi...

Nichireki Completes Treasury Stock Disposal for Restricted Share Compensation

Jul 24, 2026

Nichireki Group Co., Ltd. has completed the payment process for a disposal of treasury stock that will be used as restricted stock compensation for its management team. The move aligns executive and director incentives with shareholder interests by g...

Nichireki to Grant Restricted Treasury Shares to Align Management Pay With Long-Term Performance

Jun 26, 2026

Nichireki Group Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 45,600 shares of its treasury stock as restricted stock compensation to 21 directors, audit and supervisory committee members, and senior executives, at ¥2,128 per share for a total of about...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026