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Waqoo Inc. (4937) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
JP:4937

Waqoo Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4937)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,324.00â–²(0.61% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/11/26

The score is held back primarily by weak cash conversion (negative free cash flow in the last two years) and a history of volatile earnings despite improved FY2025 profitability. Technicals are supportive with strong trend momentum above major moving averages, but overbought indicators add near-term risk. Valuation is only moderate given a ~29 P/E without a stated dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryThe return to revenue growth in FY2025 indicates that the business regained some demand momentum after a difficult period. Although growth is modest, stabilization improves the foundation for rebuilding operating scale and supports continued recovery over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash FlowNegative free cash flow across two consecutive years shows that reported operations have not yet translated into internally generated cash after investment needs. Persistent cash shortfalls can constrain reinvestment flexibility and make future growth more dependent on balance-sheet resources.

Waqoo Inc. (4937) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:4937+33.45%EWJ+15.69%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 7.70B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
7,546
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.4
Beta (1Y)
0.33
Revenue Growth
46.19%
EPS Growth
1519.09%
Country
Japan
Employees
93
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Specialty Retail

Waqoo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 2005 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Waqoo Inc. is primarily engaged in the formulation, production, and sale of cosmetic goods across the Japanese market. Its extensive lineup, sold under the HADA NATURE brand through its dedicated...

Waqoo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

FY2025 shows an operational rebound (revenue back to modest growth and profitability returning), and leverage is moderate with an improved debt-to-equity profile. However, net margins remain thin (~2.2%), earnings have been volatile across recent years, and cash quality is weak with negative free cash flow in FY2024–FY2025 and low operating cash flow relative to debt.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.68B1.96B1.94B1.73B2.73B4.68B
Gross Profit1.87B1.43B1.45B1.31B1.92B3.77B
EBITDA737.22M297.47M166.48M295.03M-11.03M155.30M
Net Income498.56M44.09M-17.41M28.36M-57.16M116.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.68B3.20B3.13B1.58B1.56B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.58B1.30B1.51B1.31B906.22M1.04B
Total Debt570.11M731.03M783.40M635.65M645.64M777.30M
Total Liabilities1.17B1.11B993.33M808.54M820.63M1.35B
Stockholders Equity2.51B2.09B2.14B772.89M742.53M800.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-56.82M-56.82M-31.11M00-128.48M
Operating Cash Flow136.34M136.34M48.66M455.85M168.55M-128.48M
Investing Cash Flow-188.95M-188.95M-75.56M-49.06M-175.85M-6.38M
Financing Cash Flow-150.42M-150.42M112.15M-7.99M-129.17M703.49M

Waqoo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2310.00

Price Trends

50DMA2345.92Negative
100DMA2020.52Positive
200DMA1729.46Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-9.09Positive
RSI51.06Neutral
STOCH74.53Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4937, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2310.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2298.05, below the 50-day MA of 2345.92, and above the 200-day MA of 1729.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -9.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4937.

Waqoo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4937 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3396JP:339671OutperformJPY 5.53B15.90―2.40%-1.29%-0.27%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:4937JP:493754NeutralJPY 8.49B16.41――46.19%1519.09%
JP:3134JP:313445NeutralJPY 3.61B6.20―10.09%-9.38%-52.30%
JP:3135JP:313542NeutralJPY 6.26B-81.88――5.89%-115.75%
JP:8165JP:816540UnderperformJPY 3.52B-4.43――-7.63%-125.49%
JP:3726JP:372634UnderperformJPY 3.70B-5.61――-3.25%-43.04%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%JP:4937JP:3134JP:3135JP:3396JP:3726JP:8165Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4937 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4937Waqoo Inc.2310.00565.0032.38%
JP:3134Hamee Corp.223.00-291.03-56.62%
JP:3135MarketEnterprise Co.Ltd1170.00-437.00-27.19%
JP:3396Felissimo Corporation835.00-6.54-0.78%
JP:37264Cs HD Co.Ltd.272.00-251.00-47.99%
JP:8165Senshukai Co., Ltd.73.00-149.00-67.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026