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Waqoo Inc. (4937) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
JP:4937

Waqoo Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4937)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,437.00â–²(15.22% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/11/26

The overall score of 64 is primarily driven by exceptionally strong technical momentum and a stable, low-debt balance sheet. However, the upside is significantly constrained by a stretched valuation, thin profitability margins, and persistent negative free cash flow, indicating that while market sentiment is currently positive, underlying fundamental efficiency still needs improvement.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryThe return to revenue growth in FY2025 indicates that the business regained some demand momentum after a difficult period. Although growth is modest, stabilization improves the foundation for rebuilding operating scale and supports continued recovery over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash FlowNegative free cash flow across two consecutive years shows that reported operations have not yet translated into internally generated cash after investment needs. Persistent cash shortfalls can constrain reinvestment flexibility and make future growth more dependent on balance-sheet resources.

Waqoo Inc. (4937) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:4937+22.18%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 7.54B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
7,796
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.0
Beta (1Y)
0.25
Revenue Growth
46.19%
EPS Growth
1519.09%
Country
Japan
Employees
93
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Specialty Retail

Waqoo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 2005 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Waqoo Inc. is primarily engaged in the formulation, production, and sale of cosmetic goods across the Japanese market. Its extensive lineup, sold under the HADA NATURE brand through its dedicated...

Waqoo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is a mix of a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, offset by weak profitability and negative free cash flow. While a 6.88% revenue growth shows recovery, a low net profit margin of 2.25% remains a headwind.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.68B1.96B1.94B1.73B2.73B4.68B
Gross Profit1.87B1.43B1.45B1.31B1.92B3.77B
EBITDA737.22M297.47M166.48M295.03M-11.03M155.30M
Net Income498.56M44.09M-17.41M28.36M-57.16M116.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.68B3.20B3.13B1.58B1.56B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.58B1.30B1.51B1.31B906.22M1.04B
Total Debt570.11M731.03M783.40M635.65M645.64M777.30M
Total Liabilities1.17B1.11B993.33M808.54M820.63M1.35B
Stockholders Equity2.51B2.09B2.14B772.89M742.53M800.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-56.82M-56.82M-31.11M00-128.48M
Operating Cash Flow136.34M136.34M48.66M455.85M168.55M-128.48M
Investing Cash Flow-188.95M-188.95M-75.56M-49.06M-175.85M-6.38M
Financing Cash Flow-150.42M-150.42M112.15M-7.99M-129.17M703.49M

Waqoo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2115.00

Price Trends

50DMA2341.62Negative
100DMA2026.67Positive
200DMA1732.96Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-22.56Positive
RSI35.00Neutral
STOCH53.17Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4937, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2115.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2289.80, below the 50-day MA of 2341.62, and above the 200-day MA of 1732.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -22.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4937.

Waqoo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4937 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3396JP:339671OutperformJPY 5.53B15.92―2.39%-1.29%-0.27%
JP:4937JP:493764NeutralJPY 8.46B15.02――46.19%1519.09%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3134JP:313453NeutralJPY 3.56B6.20―10.09%-9.38%-52.30%
JP:3135JP:313542NeutralJPY 6.27B-81.39――5.89%-115.75%
JP:8165JP:816540UnderperformJPY 3.42B-4.31――-7.63%-125.49%
JP:3726JP:372634UnderperformJPY 3.57B-5.37――-3.25%-43.04%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%JP:4937JP:3134JP:3135JP:3396JP:3726JP:8165Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4937 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4937Waqoo Inc.2115.00370.0021.20%
JP:3134Hamee Corp.223.00-291.03-56.62%
JP:3135MarketEnterprise Co.Ltd1163.00-444.00-27.63%
JP:3396Felissimo Corporation836.00-5.54-0.66%
JP:37264Cs HD Co.Ltd.260.00-263.00-50.29%
JP:8165Senshukai Co., Ltd.71.00-151.00-68.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026