TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation (4883) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4883

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation

(TSE/TYO:4883)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:JPY 30.00â–²(11.11% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/21/26

The stock scores at the lowest end of the range, driven by a complete lack of revenue, accelerating cash burn, and a persistent downtrend across all technical indicators. The debt-free balance sheet is the sole positive factor but is insufficient to offset the severe fundamental and market weaknesses. This is a high-risk, pre-commercial biotech with no near-term catalysts evident in the data.

Positive Factors
Proprietary gene-regulation platformA proprietary gene-regulation platform gives Modalis a differentiated scientific base for developing multiple therapies rather than relying on a single asset. If its approach translates clinically, the platform could support recurring partnering, licensing, or product opportunities over several years.
Negative Factors
Minimal revenue and persistent lossesThe lack of meaningful revenue means Modalis has not yet demonstrated commercial traction or operating leverage. Large recurring losses require continued investment before the business can become self-sustaining, leaving results highly dependent on future pipeline progress.

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation (4883) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%JP:4883-61.11%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.18B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.62M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.2
Beta (1Y)
0.45
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
-5.66%
Country
Japan
Employees
17
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Biotechnology

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation focuses on discovering and developing treatments for severe genetic conditions. The company utilizes its proprietary CRISPR-GNDM technology to create therapies by controlling gene expression through the epigenetic mod...

How the Company Makes Money

Modalis Therapeutics primarily seeks to generate revenue through the development and monetization of its drug discovery platform and pipeline. Potential revenue streams for a clinical-stage biotech of this type typically include (i) upfront payments,...

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Pre-revenue biotech with no sales, widening net losses (Â¥2.15B), and deeply negative cash flows (Â¥2.12B burn). Debt-free balance sheet provides some cushion, but equity is eroding rapidly. Overall financial health is very weak, typical of high-risk development-stage companies.

Income Statement

15Very Negative

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

10Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue000040.50M1.10M
Gross Profit000-731.00K-83.17M1.10M
EBITDA-2.17B-2.21B-2.15B-2.37B-2.58B-667.55M
Net Income-2.05B-2.15B-1.32B-2.39B-2.70B-738.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.14B2.96B3.69B2.03B3.13B6.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.02B2.81B3.58B1.88B2.93B4.94B
Total Debt270.00M00412.50M00
Total Liabilities673.71M170.94M143.47M645.50M188.60M519.92M
Stockholders Equity2.46B2.79B3.55B1.38B2.94B5.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-2.12B-1.43B-2.29B-2.09B-854.58M
Operating Cash Flow0-2.12B-1.43B-2.25B-1.90B-747.47M
Investing Cash Flow0-2.57M-188.00K-39.70M-185.72M171.56M
Financing Cash Flow01.35B3.04B1.22B63.68M72.63M

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price27.00

Price Trends

50DMA32.04Negative
100DMA32.52Negative
200DMA45.37Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.22Positive
RSI41.24Neutral
STOCH14.29Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4883, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.50, below the 50-day MA of 32.04, and below the 200-day MA of 45.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4883.

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4883 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4574JP:457461NeutralJPY 13.02B18.99―1.27%13.30%66.38%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:4597JP:459752NeutralJPY 7.37B-8.11-53.67%―32.42%61.00%
JP:4892JP:489250NeutralJPY 5.64B-6.87――364.72%18.43%
JP:4539JP:453947NeutralJPY 5.47B-44.12―3.30%0.31%-194.72%
JP:4582JP:458239UnderperformJPY 3.72B-0.48――-30.58%6.93%
JP:4883JP:488337UnderperformJPY 3.18B-1.17―――-5.66%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:4883JP:4597JP:4539JP:4574JP:4582JP:4892Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4883 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4883Modalis Therapeutics Corporation28.00-47.00-62.67%
JP:4597Solasia Pharma KK27.00-6.00-18.18%
JP:4539Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd.1515.0030.292.04%
JP:4574Taiko Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.260.00-15.00-5.45%
JP:4582Symbio Pharmaceuticals Limited44.00-71.00-61.74%
JP:4892Cyfuse Biomedical K.K.559.00-26.00-4.44%

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Corporate Events

Modalis Therapeutics Issues Further Corrections to Interim Financial Results

Aug 14, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation announced further corrections to its consolidated financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, under Japanese GAAP. The adjustments affect explanatory materials linked to second-quarter balance sheet, fin...

Modalis Revises Interim Results After R&D Expense Timing Error

Aug 14, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation reported consolidated financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, under Japanese GAAP, showing continued operating losses, negative ordinary income, and a basic loss per share, but maintaining a solid eq...

Modalis Corrects Presentation Errors in Mid-Year Financial Report Without Impacting Results

Aug 10, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation announced corrections to its Business and Financial report for the six months ended June 30, 2026, noting that certain descriptive elements in its financial presentation materials contained errors. The company clarifi...

Modalis Books FX Gains and R&D Refund as One-Off Income Boost

Aug 10, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation reported non-operating income and extraordinary income for the six months ended June 30, 2026, highlighting specific one-off financial gains. The company recorded 6 million yen in foreign exchange income as non-operat...

Modalis Issues English Reference Version of Q2 2026 Financial Report

Aug 10, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics released an English reference translation of its second-quarter 2026 business and financial report, dated August 10, 2026. The document is designated as a translation of the original Japanese report, with the company stating that...

Modalis Therapeutics Narrows Interim Loss but Withholds 2026 Outlook

Aug 10, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics reported an interim consolidated loss for the six months ended June 30, 2026, with operating income at minus ¥1,000 million and profit attributable to owners of the parent at minus ¥920 million, narrowing slightly from...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026