Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc. (4838) AI Stock Analysis

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Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4838)

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Rating:76Outperform

Price Target:JPY 751.00▲(18.27% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial health (low leverage, expanding equity, and strong cash generation with a standout 2026) and attractive valuation (low P/E plus a solid dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by mixed technicals, with the stock still below longer-term moving averages and largely neutral momentum indicators.

Positive Factors

Sustained Revenue RecoveryThe multi-year revenue rebound indicates improving demand for the group’s music media, live entertainment, and digital services. Continued growth in 2026 suggests the business has regained a durable expansion trajectory rather than relying only on a one-off recovery.

Negative Factors

Uneven Profitability and MarginsThe sharp year-to-year earnings changes indicate that profitability remains sensitive to costs, content performance, or event timing. This variability makes it harder to assess normalized margins and creates a risk that strong 2026 earnings may not fully persist.

Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc. (4838) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 10.37B
Dividend Yield: 6.30%
Average Volume (3M): 34.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.6
Beta (1Y): 0.65
Revenue Growth: 9.36%
EPS Growth: 156.24%
Country: Japan
Employees: 351
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Broadcasting

Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc., headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, is a music entertainment enterprise founded in 1989. This company cultivates diverse media and content ventures throughout Japan, offering a broad range of services that encompass art...

How the Company Makes Money

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Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are strong overall: revenue has rebounded and continued growing (+6.98% in 2026), profitability improved materially with a sharp net income step-up in 2026, the balance sheet is very conservative with minimal debt and expanding equity, and operating/free cash flow are consistently positive with a major uplift in 2026. Key risk is some year-to-year margin/earnings and free-cash-flow volatility (notably weaker in 2025).

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	22.86B	22.86B	20.64B	16.14B	15.38B	13.86B
Gross Profit	6.82B	6.50B	5.11B	2.92B	2.40B	2.76B
EBITDA	2.60B	2.57B	1.51B	970.38M	442.61M	283.37M
Net Income	1.20B	1.20B	287.56M	280.17M	348.26M	573.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	18.42B	18.42B	15.96B	8.22B	7.85B	7.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.07B	7.07B	6.49B	3.12B	2.67B	2.00B
Total Debt	16.88M	16.88M	67.48M	1.06M	8.64M	23.25M
Total Liabilities	9.48B	9.48B	7.88B	4.28B	4.16B	3.90B
Stockholders Equity	8.84B	8.84B	8.02B	3.93B	3.69B	3.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	3.27B	738.97M	1.01B	779.02M	614.77M
Operating Cash Flow	0	3.51B	1.31B	1.16B	891.61M	845.81M
Investing Cash Flow	0	-2.43B	-640.15M	-609.55M	-124.14M	-308.98M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-502.40M	-352.44M	-90.43M	-97.72M	-1.36B

Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price635.00

Price Trends

50DMA681.03Negative

100DMA663.97Negative

200DMA701.88Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-14.29Positive

RSI37.11Neutral

STOCH43.87Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4838, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 635.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 663.50, below the 50-day MA of 681.03, and below the 200-day MA of 701.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -14.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4838.

Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4838 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:4838	76Outperform	JPY 10.68B	8.60	―	6.30%	9.36%	156.24%
JP:9413	75Outperform	JPY 92.26B	19.54	―	3.96%	-1.17%	-49.86%
JP:9414	71Outperform	JPY 16.78B	13.21	―	3.18%	0.92%	-3.55%
JP:9412	68Neutral	JPY 516.00B	18.14	9.08%	2.59%	8.12%	30.28%
JP:9409	67Neutral	JPY 343.16B	11.95	6.06%	2.69%	4.11%	4.48%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:4839	55Neutral	JPY 20.93B	26.11	―	3.99%	-2.33%	-63.52%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:4838 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:4838	Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc.	635.00	-151.65	-19.28%
JP:9412	SKY Perfect JSAT Holdings	1812.00	106.54	6.25%
JP:9409	TV Asahi Holdings Corporation	3340.00	119.43	3.71%
JP:4839	WOWOW INC.	751.00	-677.95	-47.44%
JP:9413	TV Tokyo Holdings Corporation	3410.00	-1379.99	-28.81%
JP:9414	Nippon BS Broadcasting Corp.	944.00	11.30	1.21%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026

Space Shower Skiyaki Holdings Inc. AI Stock Analysis