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Nextware Ltd. (4814) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4814

Nextware Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4814)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:JPY 173.00â–²(14.57% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Nextware's score is driven primarily by its weak financial performance, including declining revenue, losses, and negative cash flows. While technical indicators show some short-term strength, the overbought condition and poor valuation limit upside. The absence of debt provides a slight cushion, but the company needs a turnaround to improve its outlook.

Positive Factors
Very Low LeverageNear-zero debt limits interest obligations and reduces refinancing pressure, giving the company greater resilience than a highly leveraged peer during weak earnings periods. This financial flexibility can help preserve operating continuity and retain funding options if profitability eventually improves.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating ProfitabilityThe shift from a small profit to deeper losses indicates weakening earnings power and limited near-term margin sustainability. Continued operating and net losses can consume financial resources, constrain investment, and make it harder to fund growth without a durable improvement in cost control.

Nextware Ltd. (4814) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%JP:4814-14.20%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.92B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
248.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.3
Beta (1Y)
0.55
Revenue Growth
-2.19%
EPS Growth
-302.00%
Country
Japan
Employees
224
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Nextware Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nextware Ltd. is a Japanese firm delivering a broad spectrum of IT solutions, organized into its Solutions Business and Entertainment Business segments. The company's core activities encompass the design and development of computer systems and softwa...

Nextware Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue declined 3.3% in FY2026, gross margin contracted to 22.7%, net loss of ¥462.6 million, and negative operating cash flow. Equity has eroded sharply, though the company has no debt. Overall financial health is weak.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.91B2.88B3.01B2.82B2.89B2.92B
Gross Profit681.89M652.45M782.20M722.22M774.27M837.37M
EBITDA-173.42M-189.31M-42.10M-95.16M77.87M971.79M
Net Income-447.42M-462.56M-105.95M-161.75M11.66M686.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets917.92M1.05B1.55B1.69B1.84B2.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments334.10M289.45M453.30M595.54M639.62M1.09B
Total Debt001.95M8.55M44.40M74.61M
Total Liabilities236.75M287.23M325.23M359.26M322.15M555.45M
Stockholders Equity681.17M760.08M1.22B1.33B1.52B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-157.32M-59.72M26.02M-380.73M223.78M
Operating Cash Flow0-136.28M2.69M105.07M-346.41M314.17M
Investing Cash Flow0-15.62M-138.33M-87.89M-31.25M741.28M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.95M-6.60M-61.26M-68.33M-184.49M

Nextware Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price151.00

Price Trends

50DMA165.48Negative
100DMA160.12Negative
200DMA173.81Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.39Positive
RSI38.46Neutral
STOCH36.12Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4814, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 151.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 162.10, below the 50-day MA of 165.48, and below the 200-day MA of 173.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4814.

Nextware Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4814 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4421JP:442175OutperformJPY 2.85B12.43―3.01%5.77%-7.65%
JP:4335JP:433571OutperformJPY 2.64B11.15―3.45%13.78%15.53%
JP:4416JP:441669NeutralJPY 1.66B21.06――23.07%2166.40%
JP:3974JP:397465NeutralJPY 2.68B14.46―2.68%-0.05%3.60%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:6193JP:619354NeutralJPY 3.03B3322.58―1.46%3.96%-126.10%
JP:4814JP:481446NeutralJPY 1.92B-4.29――-2.19%-302.00%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%JP:4814JP:3974JP:4335JP:4416JP:4421JP:6193Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4814 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4814Nextware Ltd.151.00-30.00-16.57%
JP:3974SCAT Inc.542.0033.926.68%
JP:4335IPS Co., Ltd.1100.00-27.21-2.41%
JP:4416True Data Inc.342.00-464.00-57.57%
JP:4421D.I.System Co.,Ltd.930.0041.034.62%
JP:6193Virtualex Holdings, Inc.1030.002.230.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026