Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (4430) AI Stock Analysis

0 Followers
JP:4430

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.

(TSE/TYO:4430)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,941.00▲(16.23% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (accelerating revenue growth, steady margins, and low current leverage), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). This is partially offset by a neutral technical picture with limited momentum and the historical volatility in cash flow consistency.

Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue GrowthThe sharp acceleration in revenue growth indicates that TOKAI SOFT is expanding demand and scaling its business meaningfully. If sustained, stronger top-line momentum can support operating leverage, broaden the customer base, and provide a durable foundation for continued investment and earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Flow HistoryRecent cash generation is encouraging, but the history of weak or negative operating and free cash flow shows that earnings have not translated into cash consistently across periods. This variability can complicate investment planning, reduce funding predictability, and make future results more sensitive to working-capital conditions.

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (4430) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:4430+1.58%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 8.06B
Dividend Yield
3.89%
Average Volume (3M)
13.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.4
Beta (1Y)
0.54
Revenue Growth
9.66%
EPS Growth
6.85%
Country
Japan
Employees
795
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. specializes in providing a comprehensive suite of technology services, including industrial automation, embedded software engineering, and network infrastructure solutions. Their expertise in industrial systems covers areas such...

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong fundamentals overall: revenue growth has accelerated sharply and profitability is steady (gross margin ~24–25%, operating margin ~11%, net margin ~7–8%). Balance sheet leverage is currently low (debt-to-equity ~0.22), improving flexibility. The main offset is historically volatile operating/free cash flow despite a strong 2026 rebound and good earnings quality (FCF/NI ~0.94).

Income Statement

84Very Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.47B12.29B10.68B8.74B7.72B7.30B
Gross Profit3.00B2.93B2.55B2.16B1.95B1.69B
EBITDA1.70B1.66B1.38B1.13B989.64M796.33M
Net Income955.60M956.86M813.37M736.31M623.76M442.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.25B11.04B11.24B8.48B7.86B7.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.25B2.06B2.20B1.70B1.48B1.88B
Total Debt1.49B1.53B2.50B1.07B1.40B1.71B
Total Liabilities3.46B4.22B5.18B3.17B3.16B3.78B
Stockholders Equity6.79B6.82B6.06B5.31B4.70B4.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.08B1.08B745.35M702.40M-18.23M1.14B
Operating Cash Flow1.16B1.16B751.25M737.05M12.72M1.23B
Investing Cash Flow-75.03M-75.03M-248.36M-36.96M-33.53M-74.05M
Financing Cash Flow-1.22B-1.22B-3.53M-476.33M-385.39M-564.03M

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1670.00

Price Trends

50DMA1721.50Negative
100DMA1686.67Negative
200DMA1723.74Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-18.17Positive
RSI45.53Neutral
STOCH47.56Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4430, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1670.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1683.20, below the 50-day MA of 1721.50, and below the 200-day MA of 1723.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4430.

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4430 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3915JP:391586OutperformJPY 28.02B13.44―0.74%19.19%93.45%
JP:4475JP:447583OutperformJPY 89.75B43.11―0.43%17.01%34.74%
JP:3741JP:374179OutperformJPY 28.94B12.57―2.13%12.25%25.81%
JP:4430JP:443075OutperformJPY 8.17B8.38―3.89%9.66%6.85%
JP:4434JP:443471OutperformJPY 24.25B19.86―1.31%23.79%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:3778JP:377847NeutralJPY 121.74B45.26―0.16%25.84%71.45%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%JP:4430JP:3741JP:3778JP:3915JP:4434JP:4475Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4430 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4430TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.1670.0014.330.87%
JP:3741Systems Engineering Consultants Co., Ltd.2823.00175.616.63%
JP:3778SAKURA Internet Inc.3160.00-18.93-0.60%
JP:3915TerraSky Co., Ltd.2170.00137.016.74%
JP:4434Serverworks Co., Ltd.3060.001305.0174.36%
JP:4475HENNGE K.K.2585.001235.6091.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026