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Accrete, Inc. (4395) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4395

Accrete, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4395)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:JPY 887.00â–²(4.35% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is held back primarily by weakened financial quality—negative operating/free cash flow in the latest year and increased debt—despite strong 2025 revenue momentum and a profitability rebound. Technicals are mildly supportive (above key shorter-term averages with positive MACD), while valuation is reasonable but not compelling enough to outweigh the cash-flow and leverage risks.

Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue GrowthRevenue growth accelerating to about 18% in 2025 indicates strengthening demand for the company’s products and improved commercial momentum. If sustained, this larger revenue base can support operating leverage, provide resources for reinvestment, and reinforce the company’s position with industrial customers over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash GenerationThe reversal to negative operating and free cash flow means reported earnings are currently not converting into available cash. This can increase reliance on financing, reduce capacity for investment or shareholder returns, and create funding volatility if working-capital or investment needs remain elevated.

Accrete, Inc. (4395) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%JP:4395-11.17%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.37B
Dividend Yield
1.18%
Average Volume (3M)
345.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.2
Beta (1Y)
0.25
Revenue Growth
28.31%
EPS Growth
135.82%
Country
Japan
Employees
185
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

Accrete, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 2014 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Accrete Inc. delivers a range of messaging solutions throughout the country. Its core offerings encompass text message (SMS) and email distribution services. Additionally, the firm has developed...

Accrete, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth accelerated strongly in 2025 (~18%) and profitability rebounded, but cash generation deteriorated sharply with operating and free cash flow turning negative. Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.41), yet debt increased substantially versus 2024, reducing flexibility if margins weaken again.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.00B8.79B6.35B5.43B6.19B2.83B
Gross Profit2.17B2.11B1.56B1.59B2.30B1.14B
EBITDA766.57M760.71M29.07M153.83M1.35B483.13M
Net Income288.96M307.77M73.50M33.43M851.65M307.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.30B7.09B3.59B4.21B4.92B2.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments853.92M1.32B1.47B1.82B2.19B1.52B
Total Debt1.77B1.43B502.37M923.65M1.34B346.08M
Total Liabilities3.16B3.01B1.50B2.06B2.74B1.04B
Stockholders Equity3.52B3.45B1.79B1.67B1.66B1.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-502.77M214.00M188.00M956.61M339.13M
Operating Cash Flow0-498.72M214.95M191.00M976.31M359.72M
Investing Cash Flow0-541.55M-104.68M-95.15M-471.03M-464.19M
Financing Cash Flow0887.72M-473.34M-461.00M161.14M407.84M

Accrete, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price850.00

Price Trends

50DMA730.52Positive
100DMA729.39Positive
200DMA921.25Negative

Market Momentum

MACD55.12Positive
RSI52.35Neutral
STOCH21.75Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4395, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 850.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 828.90, above the 50-day MA of 730.52, and below the 200-day MA of 921.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 55.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4395.

Accrete, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

JP:4395 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3834JP:383477OutperformJPY 15.66B12.80―4.46%2.67%-25.50%
JP:3776JP:377673OutperformJPY 14.35B29.16―1.29%-14.02%16.57%
JP:9445JP:944569NeutralJPY 8.50B10.05―4.73%-2.97%-6.79%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
JP:9419JP:941960NeutralJPY 3.24B11.02――18.07%69.43%
JP:4395JP:439555NeutralJPY 6.71B20.18―1.18%28.31%135.82%
JP:9424JP:942451NeutralJPY 18.11B26.47――21.77%-25.14%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%JP:4395JP:3776JP:3834JP:9419JP:9424JP:9445Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4395 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4395Accrete, Inc.850.00-120.76-12.44%
JP:3776Broadband Tower, Inc.233.0067.4040.70%
JP:3834ASAHI Net, Inc.560.00-115.57-17.11%
JP:9419WirelessGate, Inc.298.0031.0011.61%
JP:9424Japan Communications Inc.108.00-45.00-29.41%
JP:9445Forval Telecom, Inc.507.00-58.72-10.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026