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M-mart, Inc. (4380) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4380

M-mart, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4380)

Select Model
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:JPY 835.00â–²(27.68% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/25/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapidly improving margins, high ROE, and a debt-free balance sheet with good cash conversion). Technicals support the trend (price above key moving averages and positive MACD), but the stock looks overbought (high RSI/Stoch), which tempers the near-term outlook. Valuation is reasonable (mid-teens P/E with a modest yield) but not a clear bargain.

Positive Factors
Expanding ProfitabilitySustained margin expansion indicates stronger operating leverage and improved economics. If the business can preserve these gains, higher profitability should support internal investment, cash generation, and resilience against cost pressure.
Negative Factors
Uncertain Growth SustainabilityThe latest growth acceleration may set a difficult comparison base and could moderate if it reflects temporary scale, timing, or demand effects. Slower growth would make continued margin expansion more important to earnings momentum.

M-mart, Inc. (4380) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4380+7.48%EWJ+10.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.26B
Dividend Yield
1.89%
Average Volume (3M)
6,179
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.1
Beta (1Y)
0.33
Revenue Growth
7.25%
EPS Growth
20.99%
Country
Japan
Employees
53
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Grocery Stores

M-mart, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating in Japan, M-Mart Inc. manages a digital marketplace. Through this online venue, it executes automated wholesale transactions for various products, primarily targeting businesses within the food and beverage, hospitality, and prepared food s...

M-mart, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals: rapid multi-year revenue growth with materially expanding profitability (gross margin rising to ~46% and net margin to ~31% by 2026). Balance sheet is very conservative with no debt and consistently strong ROE (high-teens to ~21%). Cash conversion is solid (free cash flow closely tracks net income), though operating cash flow vs. revenue suggests some working-capital/timing variability and 2026 growth looks unusually strong versus prior years.

Income Statement

90Very Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

84Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.44B1.36B1.29B1.17B986.05M902.94M
Gross Profit698.83M632.50M521.64M483.91M349.94M270.10M
EBITDA706.81M638.05M525.30M486.76M352.54M272.71M
Net Income479.58M423.11M345.94M324.89M235.02M182.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.35B3.10B2.66B2.31B1.90B1.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.72B2.57B2.22B1.96B1.60B1.37B
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities1.08B963.27M847.46M751.99M606.87M510.16M
Stockholders Equity2.26B2.13B1.81B1.56B1.29B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow504.00M448.10M353.71M422.38M277.81M232.22M
Operating Cash Flow504.00M455.45M354.58M426.27M285.34M232.63M
Investing Cash Flow-30.00M-37.36M-30.86M-33.40M-38.03M-29.91M
Financing Cash Flow-122.00M-102.87M-88.01M-63.69M-48.81M-48.79M

M-mart, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:4380 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4380JP:438082OutperformJPY 6.46B13.05―1.89%7.25%20.99%
JP:8198JP:819871OutperformJPY 98.17B12.66―2.67%0.90%-28.84%
JP:8167JP:816765NeutralJPY 60.68B13.27―2.77%3.50%-18.66%
JP:9974JP:997465NeutralJPY 136.26B12.51―1.88%4.94%-9.98%
JP:2742JP:274263NeutralJPY 78.56B9.08―1.84%6.48%0.54%
JP:8194JP:819463NeutralJPY 219.15B21.39―2.51%2.59%0.10%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%-10%0%10%JP:4380JP:2742JP:8167JP:8194JP:8198JP:9974Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4380 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4380M-mart, Inc.654.0045.497.48%
JP:2742Halows Co., Ltd.3910.00-506.53-11.47%
JP:8167RETAIL PARTNERS CO., LTD.1446.00171.5713.46%
JP:8194Life Corporation2709.00329.5913.85%
JP:8198Maxvalu Tokai Co., Ltd.3185.00-207.07-6.10%
JP:9974BELC Co., Ltd.6820.00-324.31-4.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2026