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WonderPlanet Inc. (4199) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4199

WonderPlanet Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4199)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:JPY 748.00â–²(3.31% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/14/26

The overall score is deeply distressed, driven primarily by a severe and accelerating deterioration in financial performance. Revenue contraction and deep net losses have gutted the balance sheet, creating a highly leveraged and risky capital structure. While a recent shift to positive free cash flow offers a faint sign of stabilization, it is fragile and insufficient to offset the overwhelming fundamental weakness. Technical trends confirm persistent selling pressure, and the negative P/E ratio underscores the lack of earnings-based value.

Positive Factors
Improved Cash GenerationThe return to positive operating and free cash flow provides a meaningful financial offset to the company’s losses. If maintained, stronger cash conversion could support ongoing game operations, reduce reliance on external funding, and improve flexibility for content investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Revenue ContractionMulti-year revenue contraction indicates weakening commercial scale and reduces the base from which the company can spread development and operating costs. Continued declines would constrain investment in new content, make profitability harder to achieve, and weaken the durability of the game portfolio.

WonderPlanet Inc. (4199) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%JP:4199-2.69%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.85B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
13.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.6
Beta (1Y)
0.88
Revenue Growth
-16.04%
EPS Growth
-150.55%
Country
Japan
Employees
175
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

WonderPlanet Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Based in Nagoya, Japan, WonderPlanet Inc. specializes in the global development and marketing of mobile games. Since its establishment in 2012, the company has offered interactive titles compatible with both iOS and Android operating systems.

WonderPlanet Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is critically weak. Revenue is in persistent double-digit decline, profitability has turned deeply negative at all levels, and the balance sheet is highly leveraged with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.75x and nearly 90% equity erosion. The only mitigating factor is a recent shift to marginally positive free cash flow, which provides a fragile lifeline.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

22Negative

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMAug 2026Aug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.26B1.94B2.32B2.45B3.46B3.42B
Gross Profit928.93M409.96M481.55M715.99M676.42M176.59M
EBITDA432.54M-115.18M-39.95M196.20M142.31M-1.23B
Net Income18.73M-329.92M-131.58M92.26M-236.13M-1.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.86B1.50B1.98B2.15B2.06B3.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments979.79M1.16B1.26B1.33B1.03B1.20B
Total Debt810.19M1.03B1.17B925.44M919.26M1.19B
Total Liabilities1.21B1.22B1.39B1.41B1.43B2.57B
Stockholders Equity646.30M274.62M595.37M736.87M629.76M427.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow041.39M-320.96M289.00M-334.78M-920.32M
Operating Cash Flow054.98M-310.08M298.89M-331.24M-890.00M
Investing Cash Flow0-14.28M4.13M248.36M-255.16M-399.57M
Financing Cash Flow0-137.43M231.02M13.44M152.31M645.75M

WonderPlanet Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price724.00

Price Trends

50DMA796.12Negative
100DMA781.77Negative
200DMA936.79Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-19.27Positive
RSI35.80Neutral
STOCH16.72Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4199, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 724.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 762.30, below the 50-day MA of 796.12, and below the 200-day MA of 936.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -19.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4199.

WonderPlanet Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4199 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4255JP:425563NeutralJPY 6.83B16.23――20.26%287.06%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:5031JP:503161NeutralJPY 5.51B30.55――-1.00%―
JP:4382JP:438260NeutralJPY 17.36B35.31――8.50%―
JP:2138JP:213842NeutralJPY 4.84B-7.97――-4.39%-29.99%
JP:4199JP:419938UnderperformJPY 1.85B-5.59――-16.04%-150.55%
JP:4424JP:442438UnderperformJPY 1.64B-14.71――10.82%84.33%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%JP:4199JP:2138JP:4255JP:4382JP:4424JP:5031Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4199 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4199WonderPlanet Inc.724.00-20.00-2.69%
JP:2138CROOZ, Inc.435.00-118.00-21.34%
JP:4255THECOO Inc.3225.002136.00196.14%
JP:4382HEROZ, Inc.972.004.000.41%
JP:4424Amazia, Inc.249.00-11.00-4.23%
JP:5031moi Corp.318.0072.0029.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2026