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KH Neochem Co.,Ltd. (4189) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:4189

KH Neochem Co.,Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4189)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,498.00â–²(6.32% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by stable financial health anchored by a strong balance sheet, offset by mixed operating performance (recent revenue decline and lower margins vs the cycle peak) and uneven cash-flow consistency. Technical signals are mildly weak in the near term, while reasonable valuation and a ~3.26% dividend yield provide support.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetConservative and improving leverage gives KH Neochem financial flexibility through chemical-sector cycles. Lower debt dependence can reduce balance-sheet strain, preserve funding capacity for investment, and improve resilience when demand, pricing, or margins weaken.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue ContractionThe recent revenue decline indicates that demand and pricing conditions remain uneven across the company’s markets. Continued top-line pressure could limit operating leverage, reduce capacity utilization, and make sustained earnings improvement more dependent on cost control.

KH Neochem Co.,Ltd. (4189) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:4189+43.22%EWJ+14.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 116.78B
Dividend Yield
3.27%
Average Volume (3M)
133.16K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.4
Beta (1Y)
0.71
Revenue Growth
-6.23%
EPS Growth
8.54%
Country
Japan
Employees
863
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals

KH Neochem Co.,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating both domestically in Japan and across global markets, KH Neochem Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, production, and distribution of a wide array of petrochemical goods. Their extensive product portfolio encompasses various chemical comp...

KH Neochem Co.,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are stable but mixed. Income statement performance is choppy (2025 revenue down ~6% with margins below the 2021 peak), the balance sheet is a clear strength with conservative/improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.26) and steady low-teens ROE, while cash flow is the main risk due to historical volatility despite strong 2025 free cash flow (about ¥9.1B) and improved conversion.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.64B115.10B119.76B115.22B114.88B117.11B
Gross Profit26.31B24.87B25.25B21.94B24.45B32.23B
EBITDA19.04B17.58B17.17B14.60B16.75B24.19B
Net Income9.15B7.80B8.36B6.83B8.07B13.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets132.11B130.10B131.46B124.50B131.25B122.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.79B6.72B7.16B9.68B10.93B16.93B
Total Debt16.43B18.29B19.20B16.39B22.52B20.16B
Total Liabilities54.48B57.47B59.54B58.00B69.18B64.56B
Stockholders Equity74.65B69.68B69.09B63.74B59.35B54.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow09.13B-1.45B8.11B-5.27B13.36B
Operating Cash Flow013.78B6.98B13.20B5.13B17.40B
Investing Cash Flow0-4.63B-8.90B-4.94B-10.08B-4.39B
Financing Cash Flow0-9.57B-645.00M-9.50B-1.08B-5.17B

KH Neochem Co.,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3290.00

Price Trends

50DMA3338.20Negative
100DMA3221.69Positive
200DMA2969.77Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-10.93Positive
RSI46.68Neutral
STOCH47.51Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4189, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3290.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3362.00, below the 50-day MA of 3338.20, and above the 200-day MA of 2969.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -10.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4189.

KH Neochem Co.,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4189 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5013JP:501384OutperformJPY 41.58B9.66―3.92%-0.92%0.66%
JP:4045JP:404569NeutralJPY 189.19B14.036.32%3.83%2.33%50.31%
JP:4042JP:404264NeutralJPY 778.66B12.907.33%4.00%6.33%55.00%
JP:4189JP:418962NeutralJPY 125.40B12.40―3.27%-6.23%8.54%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4970JP:497061NeutralJPY 56.75B16.31―0.66%20.83%89.46%
JP:3405JP:340554NeutralJPY 578.33B70.761.03%2.72%6.57%235.30%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:4189JP:3405JP:4045JP:4042JP:4970JP:5013Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4189 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4189KH Neochem Co.,Ltd.3290.00973.5342.03%
JP:3405Kuraray Co 1945.50410.0126.70%
JP:4045Toagosei Co 1789.00285.7919.01%
JP:4042Tosoh Corporation2497.00304.4813.89%
JP:4970Toyo Gosei Co., Ltd.7610.001079.8316.54%
JP:5013Yushiro Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.3110.00936.1143.06%

KH Neochem Co.,Ltd. Corporate Events

KH Neochem Approves Restricted-Stock Employee Incentive Plan

Nov 5, 2026

KH Neochem Co., Ltd. said its board approved a restricted-stock incentive plan for employees through the KH Neochem Employee Shareholding Association. The approved treasury-share disposal covers up to 67,000 common shares at an indicative price of 3,...

KH Neochem Approves Buyback of Up to 3.7 Million Shares

Nov 5, 2026

KH Neochem Co., Ltd., a Tokyo-listed chemical company, said its board approved the acquisition and cancellation of treasury shares. The company plans to purchase up to 3.7 million common shares, or 10.5% of issued shares excluding treasury stock, for...

KH Neochem Nine-Month Profit Rises Despite Sales Decline

Nov 5, 2026

KH Neochem Co., Ltd. reported consolidated results for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, with net sales of ¥83.608 billion, down 3.4% year on year. Operating income rose 22.3% to ¥10.398 billion, ordinary income increased 26.5% to ¥10.445 bil...

KH Neochem Elevates Fujima to President and CEO in 2027 Leadership Shift

Oct 29, 2026

KH Neochem Co., Ltd. has announced a leadership transition effective January 1, 2027, as part of an officer reshuffle approved by its Board of Directors. President and CEO Michio Takahashi will become Representative Director and Chairman, while curre...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026