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Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd. (4072) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4072

Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4072)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,395.00▲(9.52% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals—especially a very conservative balance sheet and improving profitability—plus supportive valuation with a low P/E and healthy dividend yield. These positives are tempered by weak technical signals (negative momentum and price below key short-term moving averages), which lowers the near-term outlook.

Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue GrowthThe multi-year revenue uptrend indicates expanding demand for the group’s IT integration, infrastructure, and digital services. Continued growth provides a broader base for operating leverage, supports reinvestment in capabilities, and strengthens the company’s ability to compound earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Operating MarginsThe lower and uneven recent margin profile shows that profitability has not yet demonstrated consistent durability. Sensitivity to pricing or cost pressures could limit operating leverage, making future earnings growth less predictable even if revenue continues to expand.

Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd. (4072) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4072-14.42%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 33.64B
Dividend Yield
3.23%
Average Volume (3M)
35.86K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.1
Beta (1Y)
0.65
Revenue Growth
4.92%
EPS Growth
-14.52%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,036
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Densan System Holdings Co., Ltd., along with its affiliated companies, provides comprehensive information technology consulting and software development services throughout Japan. The firm's offerings span data processing, systems integration, and be...

Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue growth with a clear earnings rebound in 2025, supported by an exceptionally low-debt, steadily strengthening balance sheet. Main constraint is consistency: margins and cash-flow conversion have been volatile and operating cash flow remains modest relative to revenue.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.74B68.13B61.26B59.59B53.48B50.36B
Gross Profit11.47B11.02B9.29B10.60B9.98B9.23B
EBITDA4.75B4.57B3.21B4.01B4.06B3.84B
Net Income3.14B2.90B1.85B2.00B2.35B1.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets78.91B69.11B61.75B57.05B72.17B51.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.28B39.98B34.81B31.16B45.95B31.07B
Total Debt596.00M629.00M1.07B1.53B1.49B1.09B
Total Liabilities53.00B44.23B39.45B36.27B52.50B33.78B
Stockholders Equity25.68B24.64B22.08B20.58B19.46B17.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow04.10B2.73B4.69B1.34B1.92B
Operating Cash Flow04.33B3.02B5.51B1.91B2.53B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.02B239.00M-852.00M-1.72B-1.23B
Financing Cash Flow0-1.05B-765.00M-941.00M-5.00M-719.00M

Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3100.00

Price Trends

50DMA3183.30Negative
100DMA3048.90Positive
200DMA3000.54Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-21.92Positive
RSI41.52Neutral
STOCH37.31Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4072, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3100.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3251.00, below the 50-day MA of 3183.30, and above the 200-day MA of 3000.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -21.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4072.

Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4072 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3837JP:383786OutperformJPY 21.79B13.48―4.10%4.69%23.14%
JP:3916JP:391686OutperformJPY 31.64B14.24―3.69%5.74%-3.58%
JP:4396JP:439681OutperformJPY 30.88B14.27―2.45%11.87%21.49%
JP:4725JP:472579OutperformJPY 32.92B9.1810.39%5.15%3.46%6.90%
JP:2359JP:235978OutperformJPY 27.77B9.45―3.07%10.18%22.45%
JP:4072JP:407273OutperformJPY 33.64B12.08―3.23%4.92%-14.52%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:4072JP:4725JP:2359JP:3837JP:3916JP:4396Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4072 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4072Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd.3100.00-561.27-15.33%
JP:4725CAC Holdings Corporation1940.00-45.28-2.28%
JP:2359Core Corporation1954.00-50.24-2.51%
JP:3837Ad-Sol Nissin Corp.1268.00-174.32-12.09%
JP:3916Digital Information Technologies Corp.1017.00-199.35-16.39%
JP:4396System Support, Inc.1305.00-95.11-6.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026