Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. (4046) AI Stock Analysis

0 Followers
JP:4046

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.

(TSE/TYO:4046)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,093.00▲(9.52% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/12/26

The score is supported primarily by strong financial performance—especially improved profitability and a very low-leverage balance sheet—partly offset by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable (P/E ~14.5) with a modest dividend yield, providing secondary support.

Positive Factors
Earnings GrowthRevenue recovered from 96.4B in 2025 to 100.0B in 2026 while net income rose from 10.3B to 15.5B. This combination indicates stronger earnings power and supports reinvestment, resilience, and improved capacity to compete over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue VolatilityThe approximately 9.3% revenue decline in 2024 shows that growth has not been consistently linear and may be exposed to business-cycle fluctuations. Uneven demand can make capacity planning, earnings forecasting, and sustained margin performance more difficult.

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. (4046) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4046-3.12%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 236.20B
Dividend Yield
1.67%
Average Volume (3M)
390.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.5
Beta (1Y)
1.21
Revenue Growth
12.74%
EPS Growth
40.73%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,032
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Osaka, Japan, in 1915, Osaka Soda Co., Ltd. operates as a comprehensive manufacturer and supplier of a diverse range of specialized chemical products. The company's extensive portfolio encompasses fundamental inorganic chemicals, inclu...

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and efficiency improvements, with 2026 revenue rising to 100.0B and net margin expanding to 15.5% (from 10.7%), plus a very conservative balance sheet (debt down to 7.7B and ~0.06x debt/equity). Main offsets are uneven top-line history (notable 2024 decline) and inconsistent cash conversion (OCF/net income ~0.61 and FCF/net income ~0.67 in 2026 despite recent improvement).

Income Statement

84Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.43B99.96B96.43B94.56B104.21B88.08B
Gross Profit36.42B33.69B28.75B24.51B30.17B25.91B
EBITDA28.05B26.06B18.74B15.23B19.86B17.41B
Net Income17.36B15.46B10.33B7.65B10.57B9.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets171.00B168.34B153.94B150.54B138.03B129.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.40B48.80B43.31B38.43B36.84B37.02B
Total Debt7.70B7.73B8.40B8.51B8.58B16.89B
Total Liabilities40.55B41.02B38.33B40.77B38.48B45.26B
Stockholders Equity130.45B127.32B115.59B109.76B99.53B83.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow013.35B10.31B3.48B4.58B7.69B
Operating Cash Flow019.88B17.05B8.60B9.35B13.38B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.36B-8.13B-4.26B-5.38B-6.96B
Financing Cash Flow0-9.27B-4.22B-3.20B-4.60B-1.65B

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1911.00

Price Trends

50DMA2003.25Negative
100DMA1940.68Negative
200DMA1960.05Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-35.88Positive
RSI45.08Neutral
STOCH67.86Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4046, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1911.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1960.20, below the 50-day MA of 2003.25, and below the 200-day MA of 1960.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -35.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4046.

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4046 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4205JP:420580OutperformJPY 394.64B10.1310.44%3.76%4.01%14.95%
JP:4118JP:411878OutperformJPY 372.40B10.857.27%2.99%6.49%37.36%
JP:4046JP:404669NeutralJPY 254.14B14.51―1.67%12.74%40.73%
JP:4043JP:404362NeutralJPY 272.34B14.107.06%3.10%6.77%-15.96%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4202JP:420258NeutralJPY 413.97B41.012.66%3.99%7.06%-73.15%
JP:4208JP:420857NeutralJPY 320.95B13.775.37%4.10%8.29%307.72%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:4046JP:4202JP:4118JP:4043JP:4208JP:4205Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4046 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4046OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.1911.0023.111.22%
JP:4202Daicel Corporation1627.50426.6535.53%
JP:4118Kaneka Corporation6188.002165.2853.83%
JP:4043Tokuyama Corporation3867.0097.852.60%
JP:4208UBE Industries 3292.00985.0842.70%
JP:4205Zeon Corporation2101.50485.6730.06%

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Corporate Events

OSAKA SODA Acquires 1.4 Million Treasury Shares

Nov 11, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. announced that it acquired 1,400,000 common shares for ¥2,731,400,000 on November 11, 2026, through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction own share repurchase trading system, ToSTNeT-3.The stated reason for the acquisition was t...

OSAKA SODA Announces Treasury-Share Repurchase Method

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA announced a decision to use the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 off-auction system to acquire 1.4 million common shares at the November 10 closing price of ¥1,951, with the order valid for the November 11 session.The board resolution cove...

OSAKA SODA Announces Decision to Acquire Treasury Shares

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors decided to acquire treasury shares to improve shareholder returns and capital efficiency.The company will acquire up to 5 million common shares, representing 4.2% of issued shares excluding t...

OSAKA SODA Raises Interim Dividend and Year-End Forecast

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. said its board resolved on November 10, 2026, to pay an interim dividend of 16 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, up 1 yen from its previous forecast and 4 yen from the prior year’s interim dividend. The 1,9...

OSAKA SODA reports six-month sales and profit increases

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥56,082 million for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 14.8% year on year. Operating profit rose 33.6% to ¥10,836 million, ordinary profit increased 29.9% to ¥11,572 million, and profit...

OSAKA SODA Nears Completion of ¥5 Billion Share Buyback Program

Oct 1, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. announced the completion of a treasury share acquisition program conducted under its Articles of Incorporation in accordance with the Companies Act. Between September 1 and September 18, 2026, the company repurchased 258,400 comm...

Osaka Soda Nears Buyback Cap as Treasury Share Purchases Advance

Sep 1, 2026

Osaka Soda Co., Ltd. has reported progress on its ongoing share repurchase program, acquiring 380,200 common shares for approximately ¥758.6 million between August 1 and August 31, 2026, through purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This transaction...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026