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OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. (4046) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4046

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.

(TSE/TYO:4046)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,093.00â–²(6.41% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/12/26

The company's excellent financial health, characterized by a rock-solid balance sheet, strong cash flows, and high profitability, is the primary driver of the score. This is significantly tempered by weak technical momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing negative MACD, indicating bearish market sentiment. The reasonable valuation provides a neutral-to-positive backdrop but is not strong enough to offset the technical headwinds.

Positive Factors
Earnings GrowthRevenue recovered from 96.4B in 2025 to 100.0B in 2026 while net income rose from 10.3B to 15.5B. This combination indicates stronger earnings power and supports reinvestment, resilience, and improved capacity to compete over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue VolatilityThe approximately 9.3% revenue decline in 2024 shows that growth has not been consistently linear and may be exposed to business-cycle fluctuations. Uneven demand can make capacity planning, earnings forecasting, and sustained margin performance more difficult.

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. (4046) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4046+3.81%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 236.56B
Dividend Yield
1.63%
Average Volume (3M)
395.03K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.4
Beta (1Y)
1.21
Revenue Growth
12.74%
EPS Growth
40.73%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,032
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Osaka, Japan, in 1915, Osaka Soda Co., Ltd. operates as a comprehensive manufacturer and supplier of a diverse range of specialized chemical products. The company's extensive portfolio encompasses fundamental inorganic chemicals, inclu...

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall financial health. The balance sheet is exceptional (90) with minimal debt and steady equity growth. Cash flow generation has markedly improved (85), and profitability is robust (78) with expanding margins. The primary weakness is modest, volatile revenue growth, but this is offset by excellent capital discipline and financial flexibility.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.21B99.96B96.43B94.56B104.21B88.08B
Gross Profit37.35B33.69B28.75B24.51B30.17B25.91B
EBITDA27.53B26.06B18.74B15.23B19.86B17.41B
Net Income16.72B15.46B10.33B7.65B10.57B9.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets177.07B168.34B153.94B150.54B138.03B129.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.27B48.80B43.31B38.43B36.84B37.02B
Total Debt7.71B7.73B8.40B8.51B8.58B16.89B
Total Liabilities44.07B41.02B38.33B40.77B38.48B45.26B
Stockholders Equity132.99B127.32B115.59B109.76B99.53B83.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow013.35B10.31B3.48B4.58B7.69B
Operating Cash Flow019.88B17.05B8.60B9.35B13.38B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.36B-8.13B-4.26B-5.38B-6.96B
Financing Cash Flow0-9.27B-4.22B-3.20B-4.60B-1.65B

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1967.00

Price Trends

50DMA1998.50Negative
100DMA1941.34Positive
200DMA1957.51Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-25.14Negative
RSI50.94Neutral
STOCH84.26Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4046, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1967.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1946.75, below the 50-day MA of 1998.50, and above the 200-day MA of 1957.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -25.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4046.

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4046 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4205JP:420579OutperformJPY 401.13B10.0110.44%3.76%4.01%14.95%
JP:4118JP:411878OutperformJPY 393.54B11.486.93%2.83%6.49%37.36%
JP:4046JP:404669NeutralJPY 256.22B14.44―1.63%12.74%40.73%
JP:4043JP:404362NeutralJPY 278.60B13.877.06%3.10%6.77%-15.96%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4202JP:420258NeutralJPY 418.82B40.992.66%3.96%7.06%-73.15%
JP:4208JP:420857NeutralJPY 328.07B13.935.37%4.02%8.29%307.72%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:4046JP:4202JP:4118JP:4043JP:4208JP:4205Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4046 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4046OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.1967.0015.160.78%
JP:4202Daicel Corporation1643.00438.3536.39%
JP:4118Kaneka Corporation6533.002504.4862.17%
JP:4043Tokuyama Corporation3872.00133.893.58%
JP:4208UBE Industries 3361.001021.1243.64%
JP:4205Zeon Corporation2100.00473.5929.12%

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. Corporate Events

OSAKA SODA Acquires 1.4 Million Treasury Shares

Nov 11, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. announced that it acquired 1,400,000 common shares for ¥2,731,400,000 on November 11, 2026, through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction own share repurchase trading system, ToSTNeT-3.The stated reason for the acquisition was t...

OSAKA SODA Announces Treasury-Share Repurchase Method

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA announced a decision to use the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 off-auction system to acquire 1.4 million common shares at the November 10 closing price of ¥1,951, with the order valid for the November 11 session.The board resolution cove...

OSAKA SODA Announces Decision to Acquire Treasury Shares

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors decided to acquire treasury shares to improve shareholder returns and capital efficiency.The company will acquire up to 5 million common shares, representing 4.2% of issued shares excluding t...

OSAKA SODA Raises Interim Dividend and Year-End Forecast

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. said its board resolved on November 10, 2026, to pay an interim dividend of 16 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, up 1 yen from its previous forecast and 4 yen from the prior year’s interim dividend. The 1,9...

OSAKA SODA reports six-month sales and profit increases

Nov 10, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥56,082 million for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 14.8% year on year. Operating profit rose 33.6% to ¥10,836 million, ordinary profit increased 29.9% to ¥11,572 million, and profit...

OSAKA SODA Nears Completion of ¥5 Billion Share Buyback Program

Oct 1, 2026

OSAKA SODA Co., Ltd. announced the completion of a treasury share acquisition program conducted under its Articles of Incorporation in accordance with the Companies Act. Between September 1 and September 18, 2026, the company repurchased 258,400 comm...

Osaka Soda Nears Buyback Cap as Treasury Share Purchases Advance

Sep 1, 2026

Osaka Soda Co., Ltd. has reported progress on its ongoing share repurchase program, acquiring 380,200 common shares for approximately ¥758.6 million between August 1 and August 31, 2026, through purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This transaction...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026