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Tokuyama (4043) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4043

Tokuyama

(TSE/TYO:4043)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:JPY 4,089.00▲(3.10% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The company's strong operational performance and attractive valuation are offset by significant technical weakness. The stock's bearish trend across all major moving averages and negative momentum are the most significant factors weighing on the score, despite a healthy financial foundation and a solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Earnings RecoveryThe substantial recovery in EBIT and net income since the 2023 trough indicates improved profitability and restored earnings capacity. If maintained, stronger operating performance can support reinvestment, debt service, and resilience across the next several quarters despite the company’s cyclical exposure.
Negative Factors
Higher DebtThe sharp one-year increase in debt raises financial risk even though equity has also grown. Higher borrowing can increase interest and refinancing demands, reduce flexibility for investment, and make earnings more vulnerable if chemical and construction markets weaken during the planning horizon.

Tokuyama (4043) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JP:4043+7.47%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.90B
Dividend Yield
3.05%
Average Volume (3M)
580.95K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.1
Beta (1Y)
1.25
Revenue Growth
6.77%
EPS Growth
-15.96%
Country
Japan
Employees
6,390
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Tokuyama Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tokuyama Corporation produces and sells various chemical products in Japan. It operates through Chemicals, Cement, Advanced Electronic Materials, Life Science, Environmental Business, and Others segments. The Chemicals segment offers caustic soda, so...

Tokuyama Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid operational efficiency with expanding gross and operating margins, and robust cash flow generation. However, increased debt and a slight decline in net income due to higher interest expenses temper the overall financial strength.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue341.21B343.07B349.48B341.99B351.79B293.83B
Gross Profit119.42B109.58B124.95B100.85B92.09B96.18B
EBITDA56.41B51.98B58.83B44.96B37.07B49.32B
Net Income25.34B23.39B22.21B17.75B9.36B28.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets556.34B476.21B557.43B457.36B478.34B433.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.47B75.54B47.19B48.68B68.08B83.12B
Total Debt163.84B110.69B162.02B105.78B142.45B109.22B
Total Liabilities264.38B202.34B259.62B197.41B236.73B200.29B
Stockholders Equity277.07B261.56B283.09B249.26B229.45B224.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.05B29.77B21.87B24.24B-43.72B-5.90B
Operating Cash Flow11.19B52.37B50.98B55.83B-11.80B25.99B
Investing Cash Flow-9.16B-23.48B-122.97B-30.41B-33.76B-33.80B
Financing Cash Flow23.88B-1.11B41.79B-46.51B30.15B5.12B

Tokuyama Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3966.00

Price Trends

50DMA3998.98Negative
100DMA4276.26Negative
200DMA4179.43Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-52.39Positive
RSI47.87Neutral
STOCH70.88Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4043, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3966.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3985.25, below the 50-day MA of 3998.98, and below the 200-day MA of 4179.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -52.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4043.

Tokuyama Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4043 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4046JP:404678OutperformJPY 249.32B13.65―1.62%8.10%67.59%
JP:4118JP:411878OutperformJPY 375.35B10.687.27%2.97%3.53%63.85%
JP:4631JP:463169NeutralJPY 467.32B8.2812.05%4.46%6.29%101.67%
JP:4208JP:420867NeutralJPY 317.73B13.345.55%4.15%2.52%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4202JP:420259NeutralJPY 370.51B37.162.67%4.47%2.16%-77.64%
JP:4043JP:404359NeutralJPY 282.92B14.097.06%3.05%6.77%-15.96%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:4043JP:4202JP:4631JP:4118JP:4208JP:4046Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4043 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4043Tokuyama Corporation3932.00277.307.59%
JP:4202Daicel Corporation1453.50189.7815.02%
JP:4631DIC Corporation4937.001502.8843.76%
JP:4118Kaneka Corporation6231.002106.7951.08%
JP:4208UBE Industries 3255.001112.9051.95%
JP:4046OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.1914.00328.1320.69%

Tokuyama Corporate Events

Tokuyama Lifts Profit and Dividend Forecast on Cement Business Transfer Gain

Oct 29, 2026

Tokuyama has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for fiscal 2026, keeping net sales and operating profit unchanged but lifting profit attributable to owners of the parent to ¥46.5 billion, pushing basic earnings per share up nearly 80% ve...

Tokuyama Lifts Sales and Dividends as Portfolio Shifts Away From Cement

Oct 29, 2026

Tokuyama reported higher net sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, supported by the consolidation of the Tokuyama Life Science Group, stronger clinical laboratory systems sales at A&T Corporation, and increased demand for semiconductor-rela...

Tokuyama Lifts Dividend and Profit Outlook Despite Weaker Q2 Earnings

Oct 29, 2026

Tokuyama reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 consolidated net sales of 178.7 billion yen, up 9.1% year on year, but operating profit fell 29.2% to 13.6 billion yen and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 17.8% to 10.0 billion yen. Despit...

Tokuyama to Absorb Fine-Particle Materials Subsidiary in Streamlining Move

Oct 23, 2026

Tokuyama Corporation will absorb its wholly owned subsidiary Super Nano Design Co., Ltd., which develops synthesis recipes and provides custom synthesis services for fine-particle materials, in an absorption-type merger effective February 1, 2027. Th...

Tokuyama Finalizes Cement Business Transfer to Taiheiyo, Books Large One-Off Gains and Losses

Oct 1, 2026

Tokuyama has completed the previously announced spin-off and sale of its domestic cement and solidification agents sales business, transferring these operations and shares in certain consolidated subsidiaries to wholly owned unit Tokuyama Cement Corp...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026