Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Segue Group Co., Ltd. (3968) AI Stock Analysis

0 Followers
JP:3968

Segue Group Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3968)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:JPY 957.00â–²(5.98% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/14/26

The overall score is constrained by weak cash flow generation, which is a significant risk despite strong revenue growth and positive technical momentum. The company's reasonable valuation and solid price trend provide support, but the negative operating cash flow in the latest year is the primary factor limiting a higher score.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit growthStrong recent revenue growth alongside a substantial profit rebound indicates improving demand and operating scale. If sustained, this combination can expand the company’s earnings base, support reinvestment, and strengthen its position in Japan’s technology services market over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative cash conversionThe sharp reversal to deeply negative operating and free cash flow means recent accounting profits are not currently translating into cash. Persistent weakness could force reliance on cash reserves or additional borrowing, constrain investment flexibility, and increase execution risk while growth continues.

Segue Group Co., Ltd. (3968) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3968+25.31%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 29.73B
Dividend Yield
1.77%
Average Volume (3M)
639.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.0
Beta (1Y)
1.10
Revenue Growth
30.02%
EPS Growth
126.57%
Country
Japan
Employees
712
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Segue Group Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Tokyo, Japan, in 2014, Segue Group Co.,Ltd. delivers a broad spectrum of IT infrastructure and network security solutions across Japan. The company's services encompass the design, implementation, operation, and ongoing maintenance of...

Segue Group Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth and net income recovery are offset by significant cash flow deterioration and rising leverage. The Income Statement is healthy (80), but the Cash Flow score (20) is a major red flag, pulling the blended financial performance down.

Income Statement

80Positive

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.98B25.07B18.72B17.44B13.62B12.04B
Gross Profit7.49B5.93B4.59B4.12B3.56B3.09B
EBITDA3.94B2.38B1.46B1.23B1.32B877.56M
Net Income2.15B1.19B507.69M660.51M743.32M454.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.34B18.65B13.64B11.83B11.26B8.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.06B2.54B4.07B3.45B3.11B1.35B
Total Debt1.26B3.98B2.31B849.96M1.13B501.83M
Total Liabilities15.50B14.25B10.44B7.82B7.57B5.43B
Stockholders Equity7.64B4.19B3.04B4.00B3.67B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-3.01B1.59B1.28B1.03B-275.52M
Operating Cash Flow0-2.81B1.76B1.59B1.13B-151.11M
Investing Cash Flow0-90.10M-991.28M-658.99M84.18M-254.92M
Financing Cash Flow01.24B-335.04M-669.10M453.88M17.11M

Segue Group Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price903.00

Price Trends

50DMA735.82Positive
100DMA665.43Positive
200DMA595.91Positive

Market Momentum

MACD21.63Negative
RSI66.26Neutral
STOCH78.48Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3968, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 903.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 815.35, above the 50-day MA of 735.82, and above the 200-day MA of 595.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3968.

Segue Group Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3968 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2349JP:234983OutperformJPY 27.76B10.52―1.16%5.67%12.03%
JP:4396JP:439681OutperformJPY 27.33B14.49―2.40%11.87%21.49%
JP:2317JP:231781OutperformJPY 161.57B14.77―3.69%6.46%8.76%
JP:4072JP:407281OutperformJPY 33.96B12.18―3.16%4.92%-14.52%
JP:4709JP:470976OutperformJPY 33.66B13.34―4.69%2.34%-2.26%
JP:3968JP:396862NeutralJPY 29.73B15.03―1.77%30.02%126.57%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:3968JP:2317JP:2349JP:4072JP:4396JP:4709Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3968 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3968Segue Group Co., Ltd.903.00199.9128.43%
JP:2317Systena Corporation461.00-24.11-4.97%
JP:2349Nippon Information Development Co., Ltd.2500.00273.9212.30%
JP:4072Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd.3160.00-515.80-14.03%
JP:4396System Support, Inc.1336.00-46.58-3.37%
JP:4709ID Holdings Corporation1012.0033.763.45%

Segue Group Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Segue Group FY2026 Third-Quarter Supplementary Materials

Nov 12, 2026

Segue Group Co., Ltd., identified by securities code 3968, is the issuer of the materials; the release does not provide information on its industry, products or services, or market focus.Dated November 12, 2026, the FY2026 third-quarter supplementary...

Segue Group Reports Nine-Month 2026 Financial Results

Nov 12, 2026

Segue Group Co., Ltd. reported consolidated sales of ¥22,246 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, up 24.6% year over year. Operating profit rose 103.3% to ¥2,918 million, ordinary profit increased 93.6% to ¥2,956 million, and profit...

Segue Group Raises 2026 Profit Forecasts and Year-End Dividend

Nov 12, 2026

Segue Group revised its 2026 consolidated outlook, leaving net sales at ¥30.0 billion while raising operating and ordinary profit forecasts to ¥3.05 billion each, profit attributable to owners of the parent to ¥1.95 billion, and earnings per share to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026