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Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd. (3953) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3953

Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3953)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:JPY 884.00â–²(14.51% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The stock scores 72, reflecting a solid financial foundation with improving profitability and a strong balance sheet, tempered by cash flow volatility. Technical indicators show a bullish trend, though overbought conditions suggest caution. Valuation appears attractive with a low P/E and above-average dividend yield. These factors combine to a moderately bullish outlook.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetVery low leverage limits financial risk and interest burden while preserving flexibility. The sizable equity base provides resilience during operating weakness and may allow the company to fund needs without relying heavily on additional debt.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue DeclineThe sharp annual revenue contraction signals substantial demand volatility and weak near-term visibility. A smaller revenue base can reduce operating leverage, pressure fixed-cost absorption, and make the recent profitability rebound harder to sustain.

Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd. (3953) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:3953+0.58%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.75B
Dividend Yield
3.89%
Average Volume (3M)
2,821
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.8
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
0.39%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
235
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ohmura Shigyo Co.,Ltd., founded in Chigasaki, Japan in 1965, is a Japanese enterprise that specializes in the production and distribution of a variety of cardboard-based goods. Its product line includes corrugated sheets, packaging cases, specialized...

Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth and profitability improved, with a strong balance sheet (low debt, high ROE). However, cash flow volatility raises concerns. Overall financial health is stable but needs better cash management.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.00B5.95B5.94B5.74B5.42B4.98B
Gross Profit1.70B1.59B1.50B1.51B1.38B1.35B
EBITDA621.32M528.40M481.53M546.72M446.84M429.29M
Net Income402.83M365.96M-109.79M248.58M26.29M130.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.69B6.57B6.89B7.76B7.28B7.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.39B2.31B2.76B3.15B2.81B3.46B
Total Debt181.52M264.16M227.05M277.94M106.07M126.64M
Total Liabilities1.57B1.46B2.01B2.67B2.43B2.22B
Stockholders Equity5.13B5.10B4.88B5.09B4.85B5.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-209.50M-223.41M416.95M89.69M145.76M
Operating Cash Flow0-93.84M-148.54M633.87M318.98M328.34M
Investing Cash Flow0-114.06M-82.62M-213.83M-225.74M-177.84M
Financing Cash Flow0-239.97M-157.21M-79.13M-746.24M-67.54M

Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price772.00

Price Trends

50DMA774.86Negative
100DMA775.99Negative
200DMA776.04Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.32Negative
RSI54.36Neutral
STOCH86.78Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3953, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 772.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 753.65, below the 50-day MA of 774.86, and below the 200-day MA of 776.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3953.

Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3953 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3950JP:395083OutperformJPY 89.07B14.91―2.60%5.15%5.91%
JP:7864JP:786477OutperformJPY 188.07B8.8013.51%2.54%7.02%32.46%
JP:3954JP:395476OutperformJPY 13.39B7.90―1.81%5.61%41.64%
JP:5901JP:590173OutperformJPY 603.83B14.257.89%3.70%7.00%13.00%
JP:3953JP:395372OutperformJPY 2.70B6.83―3.89%0.39%―
JP:3951JP:395169NeutralJPY 19.26B10.87―4.17%2.37%42.02%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3953JP:7864JP:5901JP:3950JP:3951JP:3954Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3953 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3953Ohmura Shigyo Co., Ltd.772.00-0.35-0.05%
JP:7864Fuji Seal International 3510.00650.6622.76%
JP:5901Toyo Seikan Group Holdings 4541.001072.4130.92%
JP:3950Pack Corporation1502.00279.2722.84%
JP:3951Asahi Printing Co., Ltd.911.0072.698.67%
JP:3954SHOWA PAXXS CORP.3040.00221.967.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026