Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd. (3944) AI Stock Analysis

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Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3944)

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Rating:65Neutral

Price Target:JPY 3,386.00▲(9.23% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:11/07/26

The score is driven mainly by solid financial stability (manageable leverage and a growing equity base) but capped by thin/volatile profitability and uneven cash flow history. Technicals show an established uptrend, though near-term signals look overextended. Valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Balance-sheet resilienceControlled leverage and a steadily growing equity base provide financial resilience for a company operating through uneven earnings. Lower debt relative to equity can preserve borrowing capacity, reduce balance-sheet stress, and support continued investment or shareholder distributions over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Revenue contractionThe 2025 revenue decline signals weaker demand or reduced business activity across the company’s offerings. A smaller revenue base can pressure fixed-cost absorption and operating leverage, making it harder to sustain earnings growth unless sales recover over the coming quarters.

Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd. (3944) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 3.49B
Dividend Yield: 1.61%
Average Volume (3M): 642
Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.9
Beta (1Y): 0.13
Revenue Growth: 4.59%
EPS Growth: 15.94%
Country: Japan
Employees: 527
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Packaging & Containers

Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd., established in Osaka, Japan in 1934, is an international provider of extensive packaging solutions, covering everything from initial planning and design to manufacturing and distribution. Their diverse product portfolio i...

Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet strength (controlled leverage and steadily rising equity) supports a solid base, but operating performance limits upside: net margins are thin (~1.8% in 2025), earnings have been volatile, and 2025 revenue declined (-7.3%). Cash flow improved in 2025 with positive free cash flow, yet multi-year cash generation has been uneven.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	17.81B	17.86B	18.10B	17.91B	17.06B	16.15B
Gross Profit	2.89B	2.88B	2.59B	2.89B	2.63B	2.38B
EBITDA	1.02B	1.13B	832.23M	1.04B	920.96M	610.57M
Net Income	234.00M	316.00M	248.32M	439.29M	330.70M	135.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	19.49B	20.37B	20.65B	19.01B	17.01B	17.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.80B	1.77B	2.08B	1.91B	1.61B	1.23B
Total Debt	3.62B	3.11B	3.64B	2.77B	2.16B	2.96B
Total Liabilities	8.54B	9.54B	10.41B	9.57B	8.44B	8.58B
Stockholders Equity	10.12B	10.00B	9.38B	8.67B	7.89B	7.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	672.00M	-745.72M	-252.49M	1.25B	-158.55M
Operating Cash Flow	0	1.06B	392.75M	655.84M	1.51B	259.47M
Investing Cash Flow	0	-725.00M	-1.02B	-919.52M	-283.92M	-507.53M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-665.00M	608.61M	523.73M	-858.59M	202.87M

Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive

Last Price3100.00

Price Trends

50DMA3080.70Positive

100DMA2883.48Positive

200DMA2668.98Positive

Market Momentum

MACD23.10Negative

RSI59.94Neutral

STOCH68.06Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3944, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3100.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2997.00, above the 50-day MA of 3080.70, and above the 200-day MA of 2668.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 23.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3944.

Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3944 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:3950	83Outperform	JPY 88.31B	10.47	―	2.57%	5.15%	5.91%
JP:3954	76Outperform	JPY 13.50B	7.85	―	1.82%	5.61%	41.64%
JP:5210	73Outperform	JPY 28.03B	8.61	―	5.47%	-1.60%	6.94%
JP:4248	71Outperform	JPY 10.93B	13.15	―	4.24%	4.51%	11.57%
JP:3951	69Neutral	JPY 19.63B	9.91	―	4.17%	2.37%	42.02%
JP:3944	65Neutral	JPY 3.41B	11.88	―	1.61%	4.59%	15.94%
Sector *	61Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:3944 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:3944	Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd.	3100.00	844.31	37.43%
JP:3950	Pack Corporation	1519.00	300.15	24.63%
JP:3951	Asahi Printing Co., Ltd.	911.00	79.40	9.55%
JP:3954	SHOWA PAXXS CORP.	3020.00	249.11	8.99%
JP:4248	Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd.	872.00	65.40	8.11%
JP:5210	Nihon Yamamura Glass Co., Ltd.	2743.00	84.23	3.17%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026

Furubayashi Shiko Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis