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Hatena Co., Ltd. (JP:3930)
:3930
Japanese Market
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Hatena Co., Ltd. (3930) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3930

Hatena Co., Ltd.

(3930)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
¥775.00
▼(-20.76% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/12/26
The score is primarily held down by weakened financial performance—specifically the large recent net loss and sharply negative operating/free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth and high gross margins. Technicals also remain unfavorable with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is additionally constrained by the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margins
Very high gross margins indicate that Hatena’s software and platform services can retain substantial value after direct costs. If maintained, this provides operating leverage, supports reinvestment in products and communities, and gives the company room to improve profitability as revenue scales.
Negative Factors
Large Net Loss
The move to a deeply negative net margin shows that Hatena’s strong gross economics are not currently translating into sustainable bottom-line earnings. Continued losses could limit internal funding, weaken shareholder returns, and require management to restore cost discipline before growth can create durable value.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Gross Margins
Very high gross margins indicate that Hatena’s software and platform services can retain substantial value after direct costs. If maintained, this provides operating leverage, supports reinvestment in products and communities, and gives the company room to improve profitability as revenue scales.
Read all positive factors

Hatena Co., Ltd. (3930) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hatena Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hatena Co., Ltd. provides user generated content services in Japan and internationally. The company offers content platform services, including Hatena Blog, a blog service; Hatena Bookmark, a social bookmarking service; Human Search Hatena, a ques...
How the Company Makes Money
Hatena primarily generates revenue through (1) paid subscriptions and premium plans tied to its consumer-facing platforms (e.g., monetization of its blogging and related services through user subscription fees for enhanced features), and (2) busin...

Hatena Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue growth and very high gross margins, the latest year shows a major deterioration in profitability (swing to a large net loss) and substantial cash burn. The balance sheet remains relatively low-leverage, but equity and returns were pressured by the recent losses.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownJul 2026Jul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.65B3.79B3.31B3.15B3.06B
Gross Profit3.14B3.24B2.70B2.59B2.60B
EBITDA239.62M473.26M180.87M269.64M445.66M
Net Income-995.63M230.88M62.37M99.64M240.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.56B3.46B2.92B2.89B2.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.22B2.15B1.52B1.51B1.73B
Total Debt250.00M0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities728.57M643.02M361.59M403.83M546.85M
Stockholders Equity1.84B2.82B2.56B2.49B2.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.18B688.20M128.25M-30.48M269.96M
Operating Cash Flow-1.16B711.58M147.01M2.58M327.36M
Investing Cash Flow2.31M-38.43M-106.16M-158.28M-43.92M
Financing Cash Flow249.95M2.01M1.55M-97.14M-52.20M

Hatena Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price978.00
Price Trends
50DMA
848.66
Negative
100DMA
907.28
Negative
200DMA
936.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.13
Negative
RSI
38.70
Neutral
STOCH
9.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3930, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 978 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 775.15, above the 50-day MA of 848.66, and above the 200-day MA of 936.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3930.

Hatena Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
¥29.67B12.14―0.63%16.53%76.82%
78
Outperform
¥6.44B14.67―6.40%-1.51%-34.53%
69
Neutral
¥59.32B52.94――30.21%488.52%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
51
Neutral
¥4.76B-9.15―0.29%-8.10%-833.44%
47
Neutral
¥9.40B7.749.61%1.30%-8.20%125.15%
44
Neutral
¥2.35B-2.30――-3.89%-527.81%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3930
Hatena Co., Ltd.
765.00
-204.00
-21.05%
JP:2193
COOKPAD
130.00
-41.00
-23.98%
JP:2454
All About, Inc.
344.00
-48.91
-12.45%
JP:3922
PR TIMES Corporation
2,185.00
-951.75
-30.34%
JP:5243
note inc.
3,055.00
1,783.00
140.17%
JP:6180
GMO Media, Inc.
3,765.00
-1,320.69
-25.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2026