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KAYAC, Inc. (3904) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3904

KAYAC, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:3904)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:JPY 395.00▲(0.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

Moderate financial performance driven by revenue growth but offset by profitability and cash flow inconsistency is the main factor. Weak technical momentum from price trends below moving averages adds downward pressure, while strong valuation metrics offer support.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryThe return to double-digit revenue growth shows that KAYAC regained business momentum after the 2024 decline. If sustained, expanding sales can improve operating leverage, support reinvestment, and provide a stronger foundation for rebuilding earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionFree cash flow materially below net income indicates that reported profitability is not consistently converting into cash available for reinvestment or shareholder returns. Persistent conversion gaps can constrain internal funding and make financial performance more sensitive to working-capital and capital-spending swings.

KAYAC, Inc. (3904) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3904-18.68%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.12B
Dividend Yield
1.00%
Average Volume (3M)
14.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.5
Beta (1Y)
0.62
Revenue Growth
20.33%
EPS Growth
15.26%
Country
Japan
Employees
618
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

KAYAC, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

KAYAC Inc. is a Japanese company primarily focused on the gaming industry. It manages various platforms, including Lobi, a community for gamers, and Tonamel, a system that assists organizers with managing tournaments. The company also supports esport...

KAYAC, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth of 12.58% and solid gross margins of 54.3% are positives, but low net profit margin of 3.4% and volatile cash flows limit the score.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.48B20.09B16.73B17.47B16.50B12.57B
Gross Profit11.34B10.91B9.03B9.23B7.92B5.93B
EBITDA1.55B1.42B706.92M1.37B1.46B1.36B
Net Income540.39M683.92M149.05M511.18M779.84M828.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.56B13.56B12.88B11.68B10.98B7.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.58B5.66B4.96B5.00B4.26B2.46B
Total Debt2.68B3.23B3.27B2.12B2.34B2.30B
Total Liabilities7.12B7.26B6.85B5.75B5.64B4.26B
Stockholders Equity5.93B5.80B5.56B5.46B4.86B3.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0511.52M-383.94M977.46M1.51B383.54M
Operating Cash Flow01.04B-219.66M1.12B1.77B489.66M
Investing Cash Flow099.28M-949.59M-351.90M-691.48M13.41M
Financing Cash Flow0-588.14M926.49M-37.96M713.82M-572.15M

KAYAC, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price393.00

Price Trends

50DMA415.84Negative
100DMA413.57Negative
200DMA431.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-8.54Positive
RSI41.65Neutral
STOCH50.51Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3904, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 393.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 401.95, below the 50-day MA of 415.84, and below the 200-day MA of 431.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3904.

KAYAC, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

JP:3904 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3912JP:391270OutperformJPY 6.81B12.9720.16%4.66%1.92%-26.02%
JP:3911JP:391170OutperformJPY 10.84B9.13――-20.04%-54.97%
JP:3793JP:379368NeutralJPY 13.27B4.24――4.52%―
JP:4728JP:472867NeutralJPY 4.71B6.59―4.01%-4.82%186.71%
JP:3904JP:390461NeutralJPY 6.28B11.45―1.00%20.33%15.26%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
JP:4175JP:417542NeutralJPY 12.49B-16.07――-1.75%-617.20%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%JP:3904JP:3912JP:3793JP:3911JP:4175JP:4728Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3904 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3904KAYAC, Inc.393.00-86.33-18.01%
JP:3912Mobile Factory, Inc.1051.0098.8710.38%
JP:3793Drecom Co., Ltd.453.00-2.00-0.44%
JP:3911Aiming, Inc.234.007.003.08%
JP:4175coly Inc.2279.00269.0013.38%
JP:4728Tose Co., Ltd.624.0010.141.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026