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Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (3892) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3892

Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3892)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,850.00▲(17.46% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

The score is primarily supported by strong financial quality—especially the very low leverage balance sheet—plus an attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). Technicals are supportive but less decisive, with the stock below its 200-day average and some signs of extended short-term momentum.

Positive Factors
Very Low LeverageAn exceptionally low-debt structure reduces financial strain and preserves flexibility during weaker operating periods. Steady equity growth also supports a stronger asset base, allowing the company to fund investment and withstand shocks without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue DeclineThe latest revenue contraction indicates that near-term demand or volume has weakened after several years of broadly stable sales. If the decline persists, it could reduce operating leverage, constrain investment capacity, and make restoring prior earnings growth more difficult.

Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. (3892) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%JP:3892+4.44%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 7.27B
Dividend Yield
3.17%
Average Volume (3M)
2,823
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.8
Beta (1Y)
0.64
Revenue Growth
-0.25%
EPS Growth
2.38%
Country
Japan
Employees
204
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of paper products in Japan and internationally. It operates through Paperboard Business and Decorative Corrugated Board Business segments. The company provides core paper, paper t...

Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals led by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (minimal leverage, steady equity growth). Profitability remains solid but has cooled from the 2024 peak with margin compression and a modest recent revenue decline. Cash flow is a key watch item due to prior-year volatility despite a strong latest-year rebound.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

93Very Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.31B11.22B11.52B11.51B10.87B10.08B
Gross Profit2.79B2.71B2.83B3.29B2.27B2.23B
EBITDA1.30B1.25B1.31B1.99B913.34M1.02B
Net Income829.59M821.74M798.70M1.16B494.92M591.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.60B18.52B16.93B18.24B15.37B14.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.25B5.26B4.47B6.60B4.96B5.03B
Total Debt3.85M17.64M38.69M48.48M72.79M36.55M
Total Liabilities3.79B4.04B3.99B6.00B4.84B4.42B
Stockholders Equity14.81B14.48B12.94B12.24B10.53B10.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.00B1.00B-1.96B1.73B338.94M662.27M
Operating Cash Flow1.80B1.80B-1.46B2.01B623.62M937.80M
Investing Cash Flow-748.41M-748.41M-499.79M-266.94M-268.76M-179.08M
Financing Cash Flow-252.60M-252.60M-164.91M-107.36M-420.23M-96.65M

Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1575.00

Price Trends

50DMA1611.24Negative
100DMA1613.06Negative
200DMA1670.48Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-12.10Positive
RSI35.89Neutral
STOCH12.50Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3892, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1575.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1635.00, below the 50-day MA of 1611.24, and below the 200-day MA of 1670.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3892.

Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3892 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3892JP:389275OutperformJPY 7.77B8.82―3.17%-0.25%2.38%
JP:3895JP:389570OutperformJPY 3.28B5.89―3.86%-4.88%-35.39%
JP:3945JP:394566NeutralJPY 2.90B3.69―5.72%1.07%-31.39%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:3955JP:395558NeutralJPY 8.74B25.27―3.42%-2.18%-68.23%
JP:7901JP:790156NeutralJPY 898.37M4.66――-0.72%―
JP:9929JP:992953NeutralJPY 4.46B36.66―2.58%1.27%53.89%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:3892JP:3895JP:3945JP:3955JP:7901JP:9929Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3892 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3892Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd.1575.0073.734.91%
JP:3895Havix Corporation415.0023.806.08%
JP:3945Superbag Company, Limited1923.00-684.30-26.25%
JP:3955IMURA & Co.,Ltd.878.00-85.50-8.87%
JP:7901Matsumoto Inc.787.00-61.00-7.19%
JP:9929Heiwa Paper Co., Ltd.465.0029.206.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026