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Aeria Inc. (3758) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3758

Aeria Inc.

(TSE/TYO:3758)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:JPY 228.00▼(-5.39% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/08/26

The score is held back primarily by persistently negative operating/free cash flow despite a return to profitability, alongside declining revenue trends. Technicals also lean weak with price below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is only moderately supportive due to a mid-teens P/E and a ~2.18% dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Return to profitabilityThe return to positive operating profit and net income shows that Aeria can restore earnings after a weak period. If profitability is maintained, it can support reinvestment in digital services and provide a stronger base for improving financial resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flowPersistent negative operating and free cash flow indicates that reported earnings are not yet converting reliably into cash. This reduces financial flexibility, may increase reliance on funding or balance-sheet resources, and limits the company’s ability to reinvest while absorbing business volatility.

Aeria Inc. (3758) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3758-15.69%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.86B
Dividend Yield
2.07%
Average Volume (3M)
22.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.2
Beta (1Y)
0.39
Revenue Growth
-7.18%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
460
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Aeria Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aeria Inc. delivers a range of services encompassing information technology and content. The company organizes its operations into three distinct divisions: IT Service, Content, and Asset Management. Its activities include the development, distributi...

How the Company Makes Money

Aeria’s earnings are primarily derived from operating online/mobile game and digital content services. Revenue is generally generated through in-service monetization (e.g., sales of virtual items or other in-app purchases) and may also include ancill...

Aeria Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement shows a rebound to profitability in 2025 after a 2024 loss, but revenue has declined over the last two years and margins remain thin. The balance sheet is manageable with moderate leverage, but the key drag is cash flow: operating cash flow and free cash flow have been negative across 2022–2025, indicating weak cash conversion and reduced financial flexibility.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.62B16.47B19.16B22.67B20.59B21.54B
Gross Profit5.77B6.08B6.06B6.61B7.00B8.69B
EBITDA674.00M774.00M245.00M764.00M1.20B1.29B
Net Income271.00M352.00M-739.00M480.00M172.00M586.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.53B21.24B20.26B21.14B20.37B19.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.40B8.07B8.25B8.76B9.46B9.72B
Total Debt7.48B7.58B7.45B7.01B5.80B4.91B
Total Liabilities11.28B12.00B11.68B11.46B11.07B10.09B
Stockholders Equity8.56B8.56B8.39B9.53B9.14B9.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-766.00M-396.00M-2.01B-1.14B2.00B
Operating Cash Flow0-727.00M-327.00M-1.98B-1.08B2.05B
Investing Cash Flow0167.00M-464.00M168.00M-51.00M159.00M
Financing Cash Flow0303.00M20.00M1.10B867.00M-864.00M

Aeria Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price241.00

Price Trends

50DMA243.82Negative
100DMA240.80Positive
200DMA248.69Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.61Negative
RSI51.26Neutral
STOCH77.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3758, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 241.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 238.60, below the 50-day MA of 243.82, and below the 200-day MA of 248.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3758.

Aeria Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:3758 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3911JP:391170OutperformJPY 11.12B9.29――-20.04%-54.97%
JP:3793JP:379368NeutralJPY 12.87B4.28――4.52%―
JP:3904JP:390456NeutralJPY 6.30B11.51―1.00%20.33%15.26%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3758JP:375849NeutralJPY 5.01B18.15―2.07%-7.18%―
JP:4777JP:477745NeutralJPY 5.32B-27.07――22.14%79.25%
JP:3903JP:390343NeutralJPY 8.09B-4.64――26.98%-143.29%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%JP:3758JP:3793JP:3903JP:3904JP:3911JP:4777Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3758 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3758Aeria Inc.241.00-48.77-16.83%
JP:3793Drecom Co., Ltd.457.00-1.00-0.22%
JP:3903gumi, Inc.148.00-282.00-65.58%
JP:3904KAYAC, Inc.390.00-50.62-11.49%
JP:3911Aiming, Inc.232.00-3.00-1.28%
JP:4777GALA INC189.00-40.00-17.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026