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Aeria Inc. (3758) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3758

Aeria Inc.

(TSE/TYO:3758)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:JPY 223.00â–¼(-7.47% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/08/26

Aeria Inc. scores low primarily because of weak fundamentals: operating and free cash flow have been persistently negative, revenue has declined for four consecutive years, and rising debt (D/E of 0.89) raises liquidity risk despite the 2025 return to profitability and improved gross margin. Technicals add further pressure, with the share price below all key moving averages and a negative MACD, although the oversold RSI hints at scope for a short-term bounce. A moderate P/E of 17.3, a 2.18% dividend yield and low beta provide some offset, but they are not enough to counter the cash generation and top-line concerns.

Positive Factors
Return to profitabilityThe return to positive operating profit and net income shows that Aeria can restore earnings after a weak period. If profitability is maintained, it can support reinvestment in digital services and provide a stronger base for improving financial resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flowPersistent negative operating and free cash flow indicates that reported earnings are not yet converting reliably into cash. This reduces financial flexibility, may increase reliance on funding or balance-sheet resources, and limits the company’s ability to reinvest while absorbing business volatility.

Aeria Inc. (3758) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3758-16.83%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.91B
Dividend Yield
2.07%
Average Volume (3M)
21.94K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.2
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
23.33%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
460
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Aeria Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aeria Inc. delivers a range of services encompassing information technology and content. The company organizes its operations into three distinct divisions: IT Service, Content, and Asset Management. Its activities include the development, distributi...

How the Company Makes Money

Aeria’s earnings are primarily derived from operating online/mobile game and digital content services. Revenue is generally generated through in-service monetization (e.g., sales of virtual items or other in-app purchases) and may also include ancill...

Aeria Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are weak overall. The income statement (42) shows a welcome return to profitability in 2025 (net income ¥352M vs. a ¥739M loss) and improved gross margin of 36.9%, but revenue has fallen for a fourth straight year to ¥16.5B, roughly 36% below 2020 levels, with a thin 2.1% net margin. The balance sheet (48) is adequate with ¥8.6B of equity, though debt has risen to ¥7.6B and the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89 is the highest in five years. Cash flow (28) is the clear weak point: operating cash flow was negative in four of the last five years (-¥727M in 2025) and free cash flow has been negative since 2022, meaning reported profits are not converting into cash and may require further borrowing.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.62B16.47B19.16B22.67B20.59B21.54B
Gross Profit5.77B6.08B6.06B6.61B7.00B8.69B
EBITDA674.00M774.00M245.00M764.00M1.20B1.29B
Net Income271.00M352.00M-739.00M480.00M172.00M586.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.53B21.24B20.26B21.14B20.37B19.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.40B8.07B8.25B8.76B9.46B9.72B
Total Debt7.48B7.58B7.45B7.01B5.80B4.91B
Total Liabilities11.28B12.00B11.68B11.46B11.07B10.09B
Stockholders Equity8.56B8.56B8.39B9.53B9.14B9.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-766.00M-396.00M-2.01B-1.14B2.00B
Operating Cash Flow0-727.00M-327.00M-1.98B-1.08B2.05B
Investing Cash Flow0167.00M-464.00M168.00M-51.00M159.00M
Financing Cash Flow0303.00M20.00M1.10B867.00M-864.00M

Aeria Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price241.00

Price Trends

50DMA243.52Negative
100DMA240.99Positive
200DMA248.12Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.14Negative
RSI51.33Neutral
STOCH90.41Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3758, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 241.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 238.90, below the 50-day MA of 243.52, and below the 200-day MA of 248.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3758.

Aeria Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:3758 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3911JP:391170OutperformJPY 10.65B8.90――-20.04%-54.97%
JP:3793JP:379368NeutralJPY 13.24B4.27――4.52%―
JP:3904JP:390456NeutralJPY 6.46B11.68―0.97%20.33%15.26%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3758JP:375845NeutralJPY 5.03B18.23―2.07%23.33%―
JP:4777JP:477745NeutralJPY 5.18B-26.35――5.70%80.55%
JP:3903JP:390343NeutralJPY 7.44B-4.39――26.98%-143.29%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%20%JP:3758JP:3793JP:3903JP:3904JP:3911JP:4777Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3758 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3758Aeria Inc.241.00-50.73-17.39%
JP:3793Drecom Co., Ltd.456.006.001.33%
JP:3903gumi, Inc.138.00-258.00-65.15%
JP:3904KAYAC, Inc.401.00-82.30-17.03%
JP:3911Aiming, Inc.228.001.000.44%
JP:4777GALA INC185.00-38.00-17.04%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026