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Morpho, Inc. (3653) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:3653

Morpho, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:3653)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:JPY 777.00▲(1.44% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

The score is primarily supported by balance-sheet strength and strong recent revenue growth, but it is held back by renewed losses and negative free cash flow in 2025. Technically, the stock shows weak momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD), and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E with no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetExtremely low leverage and a large equity base relative to assets give Morpho financial resilience and flexibility. This can help the company fund operations or pursue growth without heavy debt-service pressure, although balance-sheet strength alone has not ensured consistent returns.
Negative Factors
Volatile ProfitabilityThe reversal from a healthy 2024 profit to a 2025 net loss shows that Morpho has not yet demonstrated durable earnings consistency. Volatile profitability weakens forecasting confidence, limits internally generated capital, and makes strong revenue growth less valuable to shareholders.

Morpho, Inc. (3653) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:3653-15.82%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.87B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
832.59K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.1
Beta (1Y)
0.89
Revenue Growth
-9.91%
EPS Growth
-1050.91%
Country
Japan
Employees
166
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Morpho, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Morpho, Inc. engages in the research and development of artificial intelligence and image processing technologies in Japan, the United States, China, South Korea, Europe, and internationally. The company offers Morpho Automotive Suite, an AI Solution...

Morpho, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue acceleration into 2025 and solid gross margins are positives, supported by a very conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage. However, profitability and cash conversion are inconsistent: results swung back to a net loss in 2025 and free cash flow turned negative, limiting the financial performance score.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

41Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.96B3.36B3.30B2.38B2.00B1.73B
Gross Profit1.35B1.84B1.90B1.36B952.07M866.53M
EBITDA-309.91M159.15M326.88M-226.63M-473.41M-734.07M
Net Income-771.74M-77.57M301.48M-300.18M-668.39M-793.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.22B4.15B4.26B3.71B3.86B4.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.75B2.53B2.94B2.71B3.06B3.39B
Total Debt14.36M10.48M23.29M36.25M12.84M21.95M
Total Liabilities489.55M526.38M621.77M558.59M460.63M400.45M
Stockholders Equity2.73B3.62B3.64B3.15B3.40B4.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.01M-37.01M65.73M-365.22M-477.78M-694.79M
Operating Cash Flow14.06M14.06M207.18M-267.62M-415.53M-653.58M
Investing Cash Flow-413.32M-413.32M-140.72M-92.50M161.38M-175.87M
Financing Cash Flow-9.22M-9.22M131.83M-16.21M-176.43M-257.00M

Morpho, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price766.00

Price Trends

50DMA993.34Negative
100DMA819.74Negative
200DMA768.98Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-55.26Positive
RSI37.85Neutral
STOCH35.36Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3653, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 766.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 855.70, below the 50-day MA of 993.34, and below the 200-day MA of 768.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -55.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3653.

Morpho, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3653 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5572JP:557281OutperformJPY 14.79B35.05――15.44%163.64%
JP:5586JP:558667NeutralJPY 11.36B45.93――36.53%93.50%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:4375JP:437557NeutralJPY 33.90B72.99――22.56%―
JP:3653JP:365353NeutralJPY 4.16B-5.11――-9.91%-1050.91%
JP:4425JP:442532UnderperformJPY 12.81B-429.88――75.12%97.01%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:3653JP:4375JP:4425JP:5572JP:5586JP:334ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3653 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3653Morpho, Inc.766.00-152.00-16.56%
JP:4375Safie Inc.620.00-311.00-33.40%
JP:4425Kudan, Inc.1142.0049.004.48%
JP:5572Ridge-i Inc.3460.001020.0041.80%
JP:5586Laboro.AI, Inc.710.00-315.00-30.73%
JP:334AVisual Processing Japan Co.,Ltd1043.00328.1645.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026