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Morpho, Inc. (3653) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:3653

Morpho, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:3653)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:JPY 751.00â–¼(-1.70% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

Morpho, Inc. presents a mixed profile heavily anchored by its fortress balance sheet and zero debt. However, the overall score is significantly dragged down by a lack of profitability, negative free cash flow, and weak short-term technical momentum. The company will need to demonstrate renewed operational efficiency and positive earnings to justify a higher rating.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Gross MarginRevenue acceleration of about 239% into 2025, alongside mid-50% gross margins, indicates the company can expand sales while retaining substantial unit economics. If sustained, this combination can support reinvestment and improve operating leverage, although earnings remain uneven.
Negative Factors
Renewed Net LossThe return to a net loss after a profitable 2024 demonstrates that revenue growth has not translated into dependable earnings. Persistent profit volatility can restrict internally funded investment, weaken operating leverage, and make future financial performance more difficult to assess.

Morpho, Inc. (3653) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:3653-14.16%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.94B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
833.62K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.2
Beta (1Y)
0.89
Revenue Growth
-9.91%
EPS Growth
-1050.91%
Country
Japan
Employees
166
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Morpho, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Morpho, Inc. engages in the research and development of artificial intelligence and image processing technologies in Japan, the United States, China, South Korea, Europe, and internationally. The company offers Morpho Automotive Suite, an AI Solution...

Morpho, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A flawless, zero-debt balance sheet provides strong stability, but this is offset by operational inconsistencies, including a recent return to net losses and negative free cash flow.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.96B3.36B3.30B2.38B2.00B1.73B
Gross Profit1.35B1.84B1.90B1.36B952.07M866.53M
EBITDA-309.91M159.15M326.88M-226.63M-473.41M-734.07M
Net Income-771.74M-77.57M301.48M-300.18M-668.39M-793.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.22B4.15B4.26B3.71B3.86B4.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.75B2.53B2.94B2.71B3.06B3.39B
Total Debt14.36M10.48M23.29M36.25M12.84M21.95M
Total Liabilities489.55M526.38M621.77M558.59M460.63M400.45M
Stockholders Equity2.73B3.62B3.64B3.15B3.40B4.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.01M-37.01M65.73M-365.22M-477.78M-694.79M
Operating Cash Flow14.06M14.06M207.18M-267.62M-415.53M-653.58M
Investing Cash Flow-413.32M-413.32M-140.72M-92.50M161.38M-175.87M
Financing Cash Flow-9.22M-9.22M131.83M-16.21M-176.43M-257.00M

Morpho, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price764.00

Price Trends

50DMA990.18Negative
100DMA823.24Negative
200DMA767.95Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-55.69Positive
RSI38.72Neutral
STOCH36.41Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3653, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 764.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 843.10, below the 50-day MA of 990.18, and below the 200-day MA of 767.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -55.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3653.

Morpho, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3653 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5572JP:557281OutperformJPY 14.29B34.53――15.44%163.64%
JP:5586JP:558668NeutralJPY 11.22B39.28――36.53%93.50%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:4375JP:437557NeutralJPY 34.41B74.78――22.56%―
JP:3653JP:365351NeutralJPY 4.00B-5.17――-9.91%-1050.91%
JP:4425JP:442538UnderperformJPY 12.58B-416.86――41.07%68.92%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:3653JP:4375JP:4425JP:5572JP:5586JP:334ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3653 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3653Morpho, Inc.764.00-130.00-14.54%
JP:4375Safie Inc.626.00-229.00-26.78%
JP:4425Kudan, Inc.1088.00-53.00-4.65%
JP:5572Ridge-i Inc.3290.00933.0039.58%
JP:5586Laboro.AI, Inc.702.00-247.00-26.03%
JP:334AVisual Processing Japan Co.,Ltd1055.00290.6038.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026