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Morpho, Inc. (3653) AI Stock Analysis

JP:3653

Morpho, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:3653)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:JPY 833.00â–²(0.97% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/15/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by a return to net losses and extremely weak cash flow generation, which raises concerns about the company's financial sustainability. This is compounded by a bearish technical picture, with the stock price in a clear downtrend below key moving averages. The negative P/E ratio confirms the lack of current earnings power. The only positive is a debt-free balance sheet, but this is insufficient to offset the significant operational and market headwinds.

Positive Factors
Revenue accelerationThe sharp top-line expansion into 2025 indicates materially stronger business activity and market traction. If the company can preserve this growth while stabilizing profitability, the larger revenue base could support operating leverage and improve its ability to fund future investment.
Negative Factors
Return to net lossThe renewed net loss shows that strong revenue growth has not yet produced dependable earnings. Volatile profitability limits internal capital generation, makes performance less predictable, and raises execution risk over the next several reporting periods.

Morpho, Inc. (3653) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:3653-9.04%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.26B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
822.21K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.6
Beta (1Y)
0.77
Revenue Growth
-9.91%
EPS Growth
-1050.91%
Country
Japan
Employees
166
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Morpho, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Morpho, Inc. engages in the research and development of artificial intelligence and image processing technologies in Japan, the United States, China, South Korea, Europe, and internationally. The company offers Morpho Automotive Suite, an AI Solution...

Morpho, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak. Revenue growth has stalled to 2% and the company returned to a net loss in the latest year. Cash flow generation is erratic and insufficient, with negative free cash flow in 2025. The only mitigating factor is a debt-free balance sheet, but declining equity and poor profitability drive a low score.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.96B3.36B3.30B2.38B2.00B1.73B
Gross Profit1.35B1.84B1.90B1.36B952.07M866.53M
EBITDA-309.91M159.15M326.88M-226.63M-473.41M-734.07M
Net Income-771.74M-77.57M301.48M-300.18M-668.39M-793.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.22B4.15B4.26B3.71B3.86B4.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.75B2.53B2.94B2.71B3.06B3.39B
Total Debt14.36M10.48M23.29M36.25M12.84M21.95M
Total Liabilities489.55M526.38M621.77M558.59M460.63M400.45M
Stockholders Equity2.73B3.62B3.64B3.15B3.40B4.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.01M-37.01M65.73M-365.22M-477.78M-694.79M
Operating Cash Flow14.06M14.06M207.18M-267.62M-415.53M-653.58M
Investing Cash Flow-413.32M-413.32M-140.72M-92.50M161.38M-175.87M
Financing Cash Flow-9.22M-9.22M131.83M-16.21M-176.43M-257.00M

Morpho, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price825.00

Price Trends

50DMA990.38Negative
100DMA810.02Positive
200DMA771.05Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-33.61Positive
RSI37.61Neutral
STOCH30.64Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3653, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 825.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 911.85, below the 50-day MA of 990.38, and above the 200-day MA of 771.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -33.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3653.

Morpho, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3653 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5572JP:557281OutperformJPY 14.12B32.85――15.44%163.64%
JP:5586JP:558667NeutralJPY 12.94B50.47――34.57%80.99%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:4375JP:437560NeutralJPY 35.97B75.98――22.56%―
JP:4425JP:442543NeutralJPY 13.40B-439.85――75.12%97.01%
JP:3653JP:365338UnderperformJPY 4.66B-5.58――-9.91%-1050.91%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:3653JP:4375JP:4425JP:5572JP:5586JP:334ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3653 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3653Morpho, Inc.825.00-83.00-9.14%
JP:4375Safie Inc.636.00-285.00-30.94%
JP:4425Kudan, Inc.1148.0073.006.79%
JP:5572Ridge-i Inc.3130.00578.0022.65%
JP:5586Laboro.AI, Inc.800.00-112.00-12.28%
JP:334AVisual Processing Japan Co.,Ltd1047.00333.1446.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026