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GREE (3632) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:3632

GREE

(TSE/TYO:3632)

Select Model
Rating:66.3Neutral
Price Target:JPY 527.00▲(11.42% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (revenue and margin pressure plus uneven cash generation, offset by a strong balance sheet), supported by constructive technical trends (price above major moving averages and positive MACD, though overbought RSI raises risk). Valuation is moderate with a supportive dividend yield, but the P/E is not low enough to materially lift the score.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetGREE’s modest leverage and substantial equity base reduce financial risk and provide flexibility during uneven operating conditions. A conservatively financed balance sheet can support continued investment in games and digital content while limiting the pressure of debt service on future cash allocation.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue declineSeveral years of falling revenue indicate weakening top-line momentum across GREE’s business and raise questions about the ability of its game portfolio to replace mature titles. Continued contraction would reduce operating scale, limit reinvestment capacity, and make future earnings more dependent on individual launches.

GREE (3632) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3632+25.73%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 501.77M
Dividend Yield
4.65%
Average Volume (3M)
678.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
21.8
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
-11.41%
EPS Growth
-23.06%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,474
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

GREE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GREE, Inc. is a technology company engaged in the global and domestic online media sector. Its core activities include the development and operation of a diverse portfolio of mobile social games, as well as titles for platforms such as the Nintendo S...

How the Company Makes Money

GREE makes money mainly from its mobile/online game business. Revenue is generated from (1) in-game purchases (microtransactions) where users pay for virtual items, gacha/loot-style draws, character upgrades, energy/stamina refills, and other digital...

GREE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2024(Q1-2025)|% Change Since:11.47%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with strong growth in the Metaverse and VTuber businesses counterbalanced by significant challenges in the Investment and Game and Anime businesses, as well as foreign exchange losses.

Positive Updates

Strong Start for Heaven Burns Red
The Chinese version of Heaven Burns Red had a strong start, contributing positively to the Game and Anime business.

Negative Updates

Operating Loss in Investment Business
The Investment business posted an operating loss of JPY 0.81 billion, primarily due to valuation losses and low dividend distributions.

Company Guidance

During the earnings call for GREE, Inc.'s Q1 2025 results, several key financial metrics were highlighted. The company reported net sales of JPY 12.9 billion, an operating loss of JPY 0.1 billion, and a negative EBITDA of JPY 0.1 billion. In the Investment business, GREE faced an operating loss of JPY 0.8 billion largely due to valuation losses, while the Game and Anime, Metaverse, and DX businesses exceeded expectations. The company also incurred foreign exchange losses of approximately JPY 1.4 billion, impacting ordinary and net profits. Despite these challenges, the Metaverse and DX businesses are targeted for stable growth with a CAGR of 120% to 140%, while the Game and Anime business is positioned for long-term investment. Looking forward, GREE anticipates Q-on-Q growth in sales and profit for the Game and Anime business in the second quarter, supported by anniversary events for key titles.

GREE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: multi-year revenue decline and margin compression weigh on the score, despite a low-leverage balance sheet. Net income rebounded in the latest annual period, but operating cash flow remains inconsistent and well below prior peak years, which limits confidence in durability.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

49Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.32B51.32B57.11B61.31B75.44B74.91B
Gross Profit24.44B24.44B29.21B34.24B46.61B44.85B
EBITDA5.42B4.43B4.14B7.68B13.15B15.27B
Net Income4.09B4.09B1.19B4.63B9.28B10.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets125.55B125.55B132.90B128.79B124.81B116.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.13B102.13B104.61B99.39B93.87B88.84B
Total Debt16.70B16.70B25.70B16.71B15.73B8.10B
Total Liabilities28.74B28.74B39.25B33.26B32.26B25.80B
Stockholders Equity95.59B95.59B93.53B95.43B92.50B90.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.95B668.00M3.36B4.16B11.87B
Operating Cash Flow01.97B674.00M3.50B4.59B13.22B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.54B312.00M-23.00M-439.00M-5.30B
Financing Cash Flow0-10.88B6.02B-999.00M3.26B-37.52B

GREE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price473.00

Price Trends

50DMA426.20Positive
100DMA410.59Positive
200DMA389.19Positive

Market Momentum

MACD10.80Negative
RSI66.98Neutral
STOCH81.69Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3632, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 473.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 437.45, above the 50-day MA of 426.20, and above the 200-day MA of 389.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3632.

GREE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

JP:3632 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2432JP:243275OutperformJPY 246.83B7.6614.27%2.60%-20.38%-15.04%
JP:2121JP:212175OutperformJPY 252.02B11.7712.05%3.02%30.31%33.74%
JP:3632JP:363266NeutralJPY 87.22B21.844.38%4.65%-11.41%-23.06%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
JP:3765JP:376548NeutralJPY 129.07B53.292.01%3.69%-6.09%-56.51%
JP:3903JP:390343NeutralJPY 8.09B-4.64――26.98%-143.29%
JP:3656JP:365641NeutralJPY 11.97B14.26――10.54%―

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:3632JP:2432JP:3765JP:2121JP:3656JP:3903Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3632 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3632GREE 473.0085.4922.06%
JP:2432DeNA Co 2537.50-46.28-1.79%
JP:3765Gungho Online Entertainment 2436.0013.470.56%
JP:2121Mixi 3970.00989.1633.18%
JP:3656KLab Inc.147.00-93.00-38.75%
JP:3903gumi, Inc.148.00-282.00-65.58%

GREE Corporate Events

GREE Changes Dividend Policy, Raises Fiscal Year Ending June 2027 Dividend Forecast

Nov 11, 2026

GREE Holdings said its board resolved to change the dividend policy to improve capital efficiency and further enhance shareholder returns. The company will maintain a consolidated dividend payout ratio of 30% or higher while raising its target divide...

GREE Holdings Reports Lower Sales and Operating Profit

Nov 11, 2026

GREE Holdings, Inc., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange under securities code 3632, reported consolidated net sales of ¥11,877 million for the three months ended September 30, 2026, down 0.9% year on year. Operating profit fell 7.3% to ¥969 million,...

GREE Subsidiary WFS Announces New DRAGON QUEST Smartphone RPG

Nov 9, 2026

GREE Holdings is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, while its wholly owned subsidiary WFS develops smartphone turn-based RPGs.WFS announced DRAGON QUEST RPG The Cursed Tree and the Chosen Isle, a new entry in the DRAGON QUEST series for...

GREE details ties to parent Sequoia and safeguards for minority investors

Sep 30, 2026

GREE Holdings, Inc. disclosed that Sequoia, Inc., an unlisted investment company focused on real estate and securities, is its parent company holding 61.8% of voting rights, with founder, chairman and CEO Yoshikazu Tanaka also serving as Sequoia’s re...

GREE to Make RINDO Entertainment a Consolidated Subsidiary to Expand Male Idol Business

Sep 28, 2026

GREE Holdings’ board has approved an additional share acquisition in RINDO Entertainment by its subsidiary REALITY Studios, turning the male idol-focused talent agency from an equity-method affiliate into a consolidated subsidiary. The cash transacti...

GREE Lifts Full-Year Sales Outlook on RINDO Deal, Keeps Profit Target Unchanged

Sep 28, 2026

GREE Holdings has raised its full-year consolidated net sales forecast for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027 to 57 billion yen from 51 billion yen, while keeping its operating profit outlook unchanged at 3.9 billion yen. The company attributes the...

GREE Proposes Director Slate and Governance Refresh Ahead of September Shareholder Meeting

Aug 21, 2026

GREE Holdings, Inc. has announced a slate of director candidates to be submitted for approval at its 22nd Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on September 28, 2026, signaling continuity in its leadership. Core executives, including founder and C...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026