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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) AI Stock Analysis

JP:3543

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3543)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,874.00â–¼(-3.36% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/15/26

The overall score of 56 reflects a company with strong financial fundamentals, particularly its cash flow and balance sheet, which are being overshadowed by weak technical momentum and a concerning trend of declining profit margins. The stock's bearish technical posture and margin compression are the most significant factors weighing on the score, despite the company's solid financial foundation and reasonable valuation.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profitabilityStrong multi-year revenue expansion combined with healthy operating and net margins indicates sustained demand and an established ability to convert growth into profit. This provides resources to support store development, franchise expansion, reinvestment, and shareholder returns over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin compressionFalling gross, operating, and net margins suggest that costs are absorbing more of the benefit from revenue growth as the business scales. If this pattern persists, incremental sales may contribute less profit and could constrain reinvestment, returns, and earnings expansion.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:3543+4.45%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 134.85B
Dividend Yield
2.05%
Average Volume (3M)
276.70K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.8
Beta (1Y)
0.12
Revenue Growth
13.20%
EPS Growth
13.76%
Country
Japan
Employees
828
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. operates a coffee shop franchise business under the Komeda Coffee and Okagean brand names in Japan. It also involved in the real estate rental activities. KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in...

How the Company Makes Money

KOMEDA Holdings generates earnings primarily through a franchise-led restaurant/coffee shop business model. Key revenue streams generally include (1) franchise-related income from franchisees that operate Komeda-branded stores (e.g., ongoing royaltie...

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is solid, driven by a strong balance sheet (Score: 72) and excellent cash flow generation (Score: 78). The company is deleveraging and converting nearly all profits into free cash flow. However, the income statement (Score: 45) is a concern due to a multi-year decline in core profit margins, which tempers the overall financial health score.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.46B57.23B47.06B43.24B37.84B33.32B
Gross Profit17.76B16.85B15.52B14.46B12.83B11.89B
EBITDA12.38B11.62B10.24B10.18B9.27B8.75B
Net Income6.82B6.46B5.81B5.97B5.42B4.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets113.74B110.39B116.31B112.79B100.31B97.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.34B8.86B10.39B7.92B6.68B6.21B
Total Debt42.14B42.64B43.98B44.48B45.56B46.62B
Total Liabilities61.28B60.23B70.70B69.68B59.69B60.03B
Stockholders Equity52.14B49.86B45.62B43.11B40.54B37.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.56B10.95B10.05B10.40B9.18B6.91B
Operating Cash Flow15.44B12.35B11.23B11.44B10.26B8.15B
Investing Cash Flow-5.75B-4.77B642.00M-1.96B-1.58B9.71B
Financing Cash Flow-9.47B-9.50B-9.51B-8.24B-8.25B-18.98B

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2974.00

Price Trends

50DMA2888.38Positive
100DMA2833.48Positive
200DMA2868.05Positive

Market Momentum

MACD29.85Negative
RSI61.15Neutral
STOCH36.46Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3543, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2974.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2883.35, above the 50-day MA of 2888.38, and above the 200-day MA of 2868.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 29.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3543.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3543 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7581JP:758170OutperformJPY 400.68B36.308.59%0.43%17.44%-1.16%
JP:3087JP:308763NeutralJPY 157.63B17.75―1.72%7.72%32.66%
JP:3197JP:319763NeutralJPY 826.29B43.4110.08%0.66%11.29%22.50%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:3395JP:339560NeutralJPY 56.35B21.87―2.07%16.57%32.06%
JP:3543JP:354356NeutralJPY 136.99B19.84―2.05%13.20%13.76%
JP:8153JP:815355NeutralJPY 132.28B33.92―0.84%6.32%10.13%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:3543JP:3197JP:7581JP:3087JP:3395JP:8153Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3543 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3543KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.2974.00133.534.70%
JP:3197Skylark Holdings Co 3636.00836.3429.87%
JP:7581Saizeriya Co 8160.003015.0658.60%
JP:3087Doutor Nichires Holdings Co., Ltd.3600.001241.0352.61%
JP:3395Saint Marc Holdings Co., Ltd.2557.00-52.21-2.00%
JP:8153MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.4295.00419.3610.82%

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Komeda Holdings Delivers Strong Half-Year Earnings and Lifts Dividend Payout

Oct 14, 2026

Komeda Holdings reported consolidated revenue of ¥30,765 million for the six months ended August 31, 2026, up 7.8% year on year, with operating profit rising 11.9% to ¥5,256 million and net income attributable to owners of the parent climbi...

Komeda Holdings completes restricted stock treasury share disposal for executive and employee incentives

Jul 15, 2026

Komeda Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed payment procedures for the disposal of 19,836 treasury shares, issued as restricted stock compensation to directors, executives, and employees. The shares were disposed at ¥2,704 each for a total of ¥...

KOMEDA Holdings Delivers Double-Digit Profit Growth and Keeps Full-Year Outlook Intact

Jul 15, 2026

KOMEDA Holdings reported a solid first quarter for the fiscal year ending February 2027, with revenue rising 12.7% year on year to ¥15.4 billion and operating profit climbing 15.5% to ¥2.65 billion, supported by double-digit gains in net in...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026