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JM Holdings Co., Ltd. (3539) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3539

JM Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3539)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,571.00â–²(2.61% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/15/26

JM Holdings scores solidly above average, driven primarily by a conservative, low-risk financial foundation: minimal debt at 0.16x equity, consistently growing shareholders' equity, steady revenue expansion to ¥198.5 billion, and operating cash flow that comfortably exceeds reported profits. The main drag is margin compression - net margin fell to a six-year low of 2.5% and net income dropped about 23% despite higher sales - alongside a declining ROE and lumpy free cash flow tied to store expansion. Technically, the stock has recovered above its short- and medium-term moving averages but still trades below its 200-day average with a negative MACD, keeping the longer-term trend unconfirmed. Valuation at 14.9x earnings with a 1.7% yield is fair and provides a reasonable entry point for a defensive, low-beta holding, but a re-rating likely requires evidence that sales growth is again translating into profit growth.

Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue GrowthSteady multi-year revenue expansion indicates that JM Holdings has continued to grow its grocery retail sales base. Sustained top-line progress can support scale benefits, store investment, and stronger competitive positioning over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Recent Margin CompressionRecent operating and net margin deterioration indicates that revenue growth is not currently translating fully into profit growth. If this pressure persists, it could reduce earnings resilience and limit the benefits of the company’s expanding sales base.

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. (3539) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3539+1.81%EWJ+18.01%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 82.45B
Dividend Yield
1.63%
Average Volume (3M)
146.63K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.7
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
6.62%
EPS Growth
-23.04%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,525
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Grocery Stores

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

JM Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the supermarket business in Japan. The company is involved in the restaurant, event-related, and outsourcing businesses, as well as wholesale and retail of meat. In addition, it engages in the facility operation and ma...

How the Company Makes Money

JM Holdings primarily generates revenue through retail sales at its stores. The main revenue stream is the sale of food products (including fresh foods such as meat, seafood, and produce, as well as packaged foods) and other everyday household items,...

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A blend of the Income Statement (63), Balance Sheet (80), and Cash Flow (70) scores. The balance sheet is the standout: debt cut to ¥7.7 billion, a conservative 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, and equity funding roughly 64% of the ¥76.6 billion asset base. Revenue has compounded steadily to ¥198.5 billion (about 8.9% annually over five years), and cash generation rebounded with operating cash flow of ¥8.8 billion covering net income around 1.8 times, confirming high earnings quality. Offsetting this, profitability is thin and deteriorating: gross margin slipped to 28.0%, operating profit fell to ¥9.0 billion, net income declined about 23% to ¥5.0 billion, net margin hit a six-year low of 2.5%, and ROE drifted down to 10.1%. Free cash flow is positive and improving but lumpy due to store-expansion capital spending.

Income Statement

63Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJul 2026Jul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue196.82B198.54B186.21B172.33B154.81B140.84B
Gross Profit55.96B55.67B53.44B49.21B44.01B39.34B
EBITDA12.54B12.04B12.79B11.23B9.60B8.96B
Net Income6.01B4.96B6.46B5.46B4.42B4.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets78.13B76.57B72.72B71.36B65.57B58.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.24B20.24B18.30B22.41B17.81B19.50B
Total Debt8.66B7.69B8.84B9.38B9.91B6.30B
Total Liabilities30.00B27.32B27.37B27.59B26.15B22.97B
Stockholders Equity47.91B49.12B45.13B43.58B39.03B35.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow04.58B2.62B6.86B-194.00M926.00M
Operating Cash Flow08.76B6.64B9.66B4.22B5.18B
Investing Cash Flow0-5.21B-6.42B-5.34B-2.15B-3.74B
Financing Cash Flow0-2.95B-5.72B-2.24B-1.88B-1.05B

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1531.00

Price Trends

50DMA1460.48Positive
100DMA1375.91Positive
200DMA1454.13Positive

Market Momentum

MACD18.87Positive
RSI57.54Neutral
STOCH48.54Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3539, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1531.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1489.55, above the 50-day MA of 1460.48, and above the 200-day MA of 1454.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3539.

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:3539 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8198JP:819871OutperformJPY 98.81B12.85―2.74%0.90%-28.84%
JP:7508JP:750867NeutralJPY 63.07B14.86―6.04%7.65%-16.94%
JP:3539JP:353967NeutralJPY 77.36B16.71―1.63%6.62%-23.04%
JP:8194JP:819466NeutralJPY 217.51B21.40―2.68%2.59%0.10%
JP:8167JP:816765NeutralJPY 60.15B13.85―2.89%3.50%-18.66%
JP:9974JP:997465NeutralJPY 136.05B12.83―1.96%4.94%-9.98%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%-10%0%10%20%JP:3539JP:7508JP:8167JP:8194JP:8198JP:9974Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3539 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3539JM Holdings Co., Ltd.1531.0046.943.16%
JP:7508G-7 Holdings Inc.1407.00198.2916.41%
JP:8167RETAIL PARTNERS CO., LTD.1384.00133.8710.71%
JP:8194Life Corporation2533.00206.258.86%
JP:8198Maxvalu Tokai Co., Ltd.3085.00-258.20-7.72%
JP:9974BELC Co., Ltd.6530.00-516.03-7.32%

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

JM Holdings Grows Sales but Profit Slides as Balance Sheet Strengthens

Sep 11, 2026

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a 6.6% year-on-year increase in net sales to ¥198.54 billion for the fiscal year ended July 2026, but profitability weakened as operating profit fell 10.2% to ¥9.03 billion and profit attributable to owners of...

JM Holdings Launches ¥2 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

Sep 11, 2026

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a new share repurchase program as part of its capital management strategy, targeting improved capital efficiency and enhanced returns to shareholders. The move underlines the company’s intention to actively u...

JM Holdings Moves to Lift Annual Dividend, Boosting Shareholder Returns

Sep 11, 2026

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors has approved a proposal to increase the year-end dividend for the fiscal year ended July 31, 2026 to 13 yen per share, up from the previously forecast 12 yen, subject to approval at the 48th...

JM Holdings Cuts Profit Outlook as Store Impairment Weighs on Earnings

Sep 3, 2026

JM Holdings Co., Ltd., a TSE Prime Market-listed operator of supermarket and food service businesses, is pursuing growth through both existing store performance and new store openings. The company’s earnings are closely tied to food procurement...

JM Holdings Posts Higher Sales but Lower Profit, Keeps Full-Year Outlook Intact

Jun 25, 2026

JM Holdings Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reports under Japanese GAAP and maintains a stable, dividend-paying profile, having implemented a two-for-one stock split effective November 1, 2025 to improve liquidity. Its capital structur...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 15, 2026