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Alpha Corporation (3434) AI Stock Analysis

JP:3434

Alpha Corporation

(TSE/TYO:3434)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,385.00â–²(16.29% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The overall score of 71 reflects a moderately bullish outlook. Strong technical momentum and attractive valuation are key positives, while mixed financial fundamentals—particularly thin margins and recent revenue declines—limit upside potential. The low beta adds stability, but profitability improvements are needed for a higher rating.

Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growthSustained revenue expansion indicates that the company has grown its business scale and maintained underlying demand over several years, providing a stronger foundation for future operating leverage if execution and margins stabilize.
Negative Factors
Operating margin compressionSharp EBIT compression despite higher revenue points to weaker operating efficiency, pricing pressure, cost inflation, or an unfavorable mix. Persistent margin deterioration would limit earnings conversion and weaken the benefits of scale.

Alpha Corporation (3434) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:3434+7.24%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 11.46B
Dividend Yield
4.28%
Average Volume (3M)
4,681
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.5
Beta (1Y)
0.43
Revenue Growth
5.29%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
4,069
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Auto - Parts

Alpha Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ALPHA Corporation, a global enterprise headquartered in Yokohama, Japan, specializes in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a broad spectrum of security solutions. These offerings primarily encompass lock and key products tailored for the...

Alpha Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth over the past five years, but recent declines and thin operating margins (1-2%) weigh on profitability. Balance sheet is solid with moderate debt (D/E 0.54) and growing equity. Operating cash flow positive but free cash flow volatile. Overall moderate financial health.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue75.79B72.70B73.51B74.54B62.88B53.77B
Gross Profit11.62B10.70B10.27B11.42B8.56B7.79B
EBITDA5.19B4.50B4.76B6.29B4.56B4.20B
Net Income1.21B1.38B-301.00M1.80B524.00M601.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.97B76.80B67.78B67.95B61.64B56.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.04B10.06B10.25B9.80B6.95B6.43B
Total Debt20.65B20.75B17.75B17.59B17.83B16.71B
Total Liabilities38.64B37.30B31.41B32.72B30.97B28.25B
Stockholders Equity38.49B38.66B35.46B34.23B29.57B26.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-924.00M2.21B4.26B43.00M-263.00M
Operating Cash Flow03.67B5.89B7.11B2.91B1.87B
Investing Cash Flow0-4.91B-3.92B-3.26B-2.78B-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow0835.00M-1.90B-1.09B62.00M-1.74B

Alpha Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1191.00

Price Trends

50DMA1218.34Negative
100DMA1210.34Negative
200DMA1223.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.15Positive
RSI31.62Neutral
STOCH12.28Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3434, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1191.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1205.95, below the 50-day MA of 1218.34, and below the 200-day MA of 1223.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3434.

Alpha Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:3434 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6356JP:635678OutperformJPY 16.35B7.84―0.96%6.27%40.78%
JP:3434JP:343471OutperformJPY 11.40B9.46―4.28%5.29%―
JP:7551JP:755166NeutralJPY 10.67B10.64―4.06%3.08%-30.94%
JP:7218JP:721863NeutralJPY 11.03B5.47―3.10%13.29%11.39%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:7247JP:724759NeutralJPY 11.65B11.26―4.32%4.00%-58.51%
JP:7277JP:727758NeutralJPY 10.13B35.84―2.51%4.33%―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:3434JP:6356JP:7218JP:7247JP:7277JP:7551Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:3434 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3434Alpha Corporation1192.0073.776.60%
JP:6356Nippon Gear Co., Ltd.1148.00304.5836.11%
JP:7218Tanaka Seimitsu Kogyo Co., Ltd.1130.0076.897.30%
JP:7247Mikuni Corporation347.00-23.22-6.27%
JP:7277TBK Co., Ltd.319.00-2.54-0.79%
JP:7551Weds Co., Ltd.665.0055.419.09%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026