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Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3038

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:3038)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,413.00â–²(8.66% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The company's financial performance is the primary strength, driven by a fortress balance sheet and exceptional cash flow generation, which provides significant strategic flexibility. This is partially offset by a less compelling valuation, with a relatively high P/E ratio and low dividend yield for the sector. Technical indicators are neutral-to-positive, showing a mild uptrend but lacking strong momentum to significantly boost the score.

Positive Factors
Low leverage and strong capitalizationLow leverage and a strong equity base give Kobe Bussan financial flexibility to sustain operations and pursue growth without relying heavily on borrowing. This reduces balance-sheet strain, limits interest-related pressure, and improves resilience through changing market conditions over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Modest recent revenue growthRecent revenue expansion is positive but limited, indicating that the company’s current top-line momentum may not be strong enough to drive rapid operating leverage. Slower growth can constrain expansion of earnings and make continued performance more dependent on efficiency and margin discipline.

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:3038-18.87%EWJ+15.69%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 690.99B
Dividend Yield
1.02%
Average Volume (3M)
2.21M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
24.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.47
Revenue Growth
5.70%
EPS Growth
-11.67%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,674
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Grocery Stores

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the manufacture, wholesale, and retail food products, and franchise supermarket chain in Japan. The company offers a range of food products through its Gyomu superstores. It also operates a chain of buffet r...

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall financial health. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage (D/E 0.19) and high equity ratio (62%). Cash flow is exceptional, with 61.6% FCF growth and high conversion ratios, indicating high earnings quality. The income statement shows record net margins, though gross margins remain thin and revenue growth is decelerating.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

90Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue573.08B551.70B507.88B461.55B406.81B362.06B
Gross Profit69.31B65.14B57.22B51.95B45.92B42.63B
EBITDA43.92B53.28B37.92B35.21B36.01B33.08B
Net Income29.03B31.88B21.44B20.56B20.83B19.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets286.27B260.19B233.39B211.89B180.28B156.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.71B131.01B107.31B92.63B69.07B57.83B
Total Debt27.81B30.13B37.00B38.32B34.54B34.69B
Total Liabilities92.04B98.79B100.61B97.44B83.05B78.51B
Stockholders Equity179.72B161.40B132.77B114.45B97.22B78.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow033.03B20.66B21.66B10.48B3.27B
Operating Cash Flow042.11B30.77B30.34B21.58B21.26B
Investing Cash Flow0-8.92B-10.18B-6.82B-12.48B-17.41B
Financing Cash Flow0-11.10B-5.59B80.00M-3.75B-16.53B

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price3141.00

Price Trends

50DMA2971.43Positive
100DMA2829.88Positive
200DMA3034.92Positive

Market Momentum

MACD52.03Negative
RSI61.30Neutral
STOCH81.24Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3038, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3141.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3002.67, above the 50-day MA of 2971.43, and above the 200-day MA of 3034.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 52.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3038.

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:3038 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7596JP:759678OutperformJPY 29.55B21.50―2.44%15.49%3.69%
JP:9974JP:997478OutperformJPY 137.09B12.61―1.90%4.94%-9.98%
JP:8198JP:819876OutperformJPY 100.24B12.95―2.67%0.90%-28.84%
JP:3038JP:303872OutperformJPY 690.99B23.9917.21%1.02%5.70%-11.67%
JP:8194JP:819471OutperformJPY 234.21B21.60―2.51%2.59%0.10%
JP:2742JP:274269NeutralJPY 80.81B9.11―1.87%6.48%0.54%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-30%-20%-10%0%10%JP:3038JP:2742JP:7596JP:8194JP:8198JP:9974Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:3038 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:3038Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.3141.00-720.49-18.66%
JP:2742Halows Co., Ltd.3855.00-645.14-14.34%
JP:7596Uoriki Co., Ltd.2132.00-161.69-7.05%
JP:8194Life Corporation2705.00256.3510.47%
JP:8198Maxvalu Tokai Co., Ltd.3185.00-251.06-7.31%
JP:9974BELC Co., Ltd.6730.00-591.19-8.08%

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kobe Bussan Repurchases 7.9 Million Shares for ¥23.45 Billion

Nov 9, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. announced that it repurchased 7,898,800 common shares for ¥23.45 billion between September 30 and October 31, 2026. The purchases were conducted through a Tokyo Stock Exchange off-auction transaction and market purchases, repres...

Kobe Bussan Posts September Sales Growth as Gyomu Super Network Expands to 1,150 Stores

Oct 26, 2026

Kobe Bussan reported non-consolidated monthly figures for September 2026, showing continued revenue growth with net sales of ¥48.3 billion, up 5.6% year on year, and gross profit for recent months trending above prior-year levels. Operating profit in...

Kobe Bussan Launches Major Share Buyback to Support Bond Financing and Shareholder Returns

Sep 30, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. has repurchased 6,784,700 shares of its common stock for approximately ¥20.1 billion through an off-auction transaction (ToSTNeT-3) on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The buyback is aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and easing sh...

Kobe Bussan Sets Terms for ¥60 Billion Euro-Yen Convertible Bonds and Launches Major Share Buyback

Sep 29, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. has finalized the terms for issuing Euro-yen convertible bonds with stock acquisition rights, targeting overseas markets mainly in Europe and Asia under English law. The seven-year, zero-coupon bonds total ¥60 billion, carry an...

Kobe Bussan Sets Terms for Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds Due 2033

Sep 29, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. announced the final terms for its Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds due 2033, following a board resolution on September 29, 2026. The bonds are issued with attached stock acquisition rights, allowing conversion into common shares at...

Kobe Bussan’s 2026 Interim Results Pass Independent Review Under TSE Standards

Sep 29, 2026

An independent accountant has reviewed Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.’s interim consolidated financial statements for the nine months ended July 31, 2026, concluding they comply in all material respects with Tokyo Stock Exchange quarterly standards and Japane...

Kobe Bussan Launches Euro-Yen Convertible Bond and Major Share Buyback

Sep 29, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. announced the issuance of zero-coupon Euro-yen convertible bonds with stock acquisition rights, targeting overseas markets mainly in Europe and Asia under English law. The seven-year bonds, totaling JPY 60 billion and featuring...

Kobe Bussan Announces Third-Party Purchase of Its Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds

Sep 29, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. disclosed that J-Link Limited has resolved to purchase the company’s zero coupon convertible bonds due 2033, prompting a mandatory public announcement under Japan’s Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. The move highlights ext...

Kobe Bussan to Repurchase Shares via Tokyo Stock Exchange Off-Auction Deal

Sep 29, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. has resolved to repurchase its own common shares under the authority granted by its Articles of Incorporation pursuant to the Companies Act. The buyback will be executed via an off-auction own share repurchase transaction (ToSTN...

Kobe Bussan Launches ¥40 Billion Share Buyback to Support Convertible Bond Financing

Sep 29, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. has approved a share repurchase program aimed at enhancing shareholder returns while supporting the smooth execution of recently issued zero coupon convertible bonds due 2033. The buyback is designed in part to offset short-term...

Kobe Bussan to Issue ¥60 Billion Zero-Coupon Convertible Bonds for Growth and Buybacks

Sep 29, 2026

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd., listed on the Prime Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, operates in the food-related sector with a focus on private brand product manufacturing and a broad sales network. The company has been expanding its footprint through str...

Kobe Bussan Posts Strong August Sales and Profit as Gyomu Super Network Expands

Sep 18, 2026

Kobe Bussan reported non-consolidated August 2026 net sales of ¥48.2 billion, up 5.9% year on year, reflecting continued solid demand at its Gyomu Super chain despite a modest slowdown from earlier months. Ordinary profit surged 52.9% year on year to...

Kobe Bussan Details FY2026 Q3 Results and Integrated Food Strategy

Sep 11, 2026

Kobe Bussan released presentation materials for its FY2026 third-quarter consolidated financial results, outlining performance highlights and forecasts, as well as shareholder return policies. The disclosure suggests a focus on strengthening operatio...

Kobe Bussan Grows Sales but Profit Slips, Raises Dividend and Adds Subsidiaries

Sep 11, 2026

Kobe Bussan reported consolidated net sales of ¥432.9 billion for the nine months ended July 31, 2026, up 5.2% year on year, with operating profit rising 3.2% to ¥31.3 billion but ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent declining...

Kobe Bussan Posts Strong July Sales but Ordinary Profit Slumps as Gyomu Super Network Expands

Aug 19, 2026

Kobe Bussan reported non-consolidated July 2026 net sales of ¥50.64 billion, up 7.6% year-on-year, with gross profit also higher but operating profit growth lagging and ordinary profit falling sharply to ¥1.36 billion, just 19.3% of the prior year’s...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026