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Shinozakiya, Inc. (2926) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2926

Shinozakiya, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:2926)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 108.00▲(4.85% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/03/26

The overall score of 58 reflects a company with a strong, debt-free balance sheet and a successful return to revenue growth, which are the most significant positive factors. These strengths are largely offset by major headwinds: persistent bearish technical momentum and fundamentally weak profitability and cash flow quality. The attractive dividend yield provides some support but is not enough to overcome the near-term negative price action and thin margins.

Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue GrowthThe acceleration in annual revenue growth indicates improving demand for the company’s soybean- and plant-based food products. If sustained, stronger top-line momentum can improve operating leverage, support reinvestment, and strengthen the business’s position across retail and foodservice channels.
Negative Factors
Thin Profit MarginsVery thin margins leave limited room for increases in costs or operational setbacks before profitability is impaired. They also constrain the amount of revenue growth that converts into earnings, making sustained margin improvement important for strengthening returns and financial resilience.

Shinozakiya, Inc. (2926) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:2926+5.44%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.46B
Dividend Yield
3.88%
Average Volume (3M)
222.73K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
22.7
Beta (1Y)
0.35
Revenue Growth
9.88%
EPS Growth
69.16%
Country
Japan
Employees
20
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Packaged Foods

Shinozakiya, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Based in Koshigaya, Japan, Shinozakiya, Inc. specializes in the conceptualization, development, and marketing of various processed soybean food products across the nation. The company's business activities are structured into two main operational uni...

Shinozakiya, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is a turnaround story with consistent revenue growth and a return to profitability, supported by an exceptional, debt-free balance sheet. However, the overall score is constrained by very thin net profit margins of 2% and weak cash conversion, as operating cash flow is only 0.25x net income and free cash flow declined in the latest year.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownSep 2026Sep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.23B2.94B2.79B2.68B2.79B
Gross Profit993.24M895.55M789.33M723.69M895.31M
EBITDA92.96M61.12M-5.84M7.15M-53.73M
Net Income64.35M38.04M-28.38M-22.81M-94.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43B1.36B1.29B1.44B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments692.48M609.66M518.52M626.48M465.91M
Total Debt00018.75M36.65M
Total Liabilities320.25M316.05M274.41M401.71M290.79M
Stockholders Equity1.11B1.05B1.01B1.04B1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.00M53.11M-128.41M43.51M-85.31M
Operating Cash Flow80.17M75.64M-117.88M48.46M-79.66M
Investing Cash Flow2.65M15.49M28.68M130.01M16.61M
Financing Cash Flow0-1,000-18.75M-17.90M-20.00M

Shinozakiya, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price103.00

Price Trends

50DMA111.86Negative
100DMA109.51Negative
200DMA102.39Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.26Negative
RSI44.05Neutral
STOCH20.99Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2926, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 103.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.80, below the 50-day MA of 111.86, and above the 200-day MA of 102.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2926.

Shinozakiya, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:2926 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2935JP:293574OutperformJPY 14.13B12.81―2.52%-4.81%-11.00%
JP:2932JP:293267NeutralJPY 19.50B11.26―3.62%5.49%-10.25%
JP:2911JP:291162NeutralJPY 4.20B24.59―1.96%-2.51%-35.83%
JP:2933JP:293361NeutralJPY 23.83B26.65―1.91%-0.27%-62.67%
JP:2926JP:292658NeutralJPY 1.43B22.69―3.88%9.88%69.16%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:2904JP:290448NeutralJPY 13.90B354.72―1.86%3.55%-93.65%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%-10%0%10%20%JP:2926JP:2904JP:2911JP:2932JP:2933JP:2935Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:2926 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2926Shinozakiya, Inc.103.005.315.44%
JP:2904Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd.752.0013.361.81%
JP:2911Asahimatsu Foods Co., Ltd.2281.0052.942.38%
JP:2932STI Foods Holdings, Inc.1105.00-123.17-10.03%
JP:2933KIBUN FOODS INC.1048.00-14.62-1.38%
JP:2935Pickles Holdings Co., Ltd.1152.0029.592.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2026