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WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (2918) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2918

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:2918)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,934.00â–²(9.89% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (steady growth, improved 2026 earnings, and materially reduced debt), supported by attractive valuation (moderate P/E and strong dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are mixed technical signals (negative MACD and price below key longer-term averages) and historically inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion.

Positive Factors
Resilient Revenue GrowthConsistent revenue growth across 2023–2026 indicates resilient demand for the company’s prepared-food products and recurring retail supply activity. This durable top-line expansion supports production scale, customer retention, and the ability to spread operating costs across a growing revenue base.
Negative Factors
Thin Operating ProfitabilityThin operating and net margins leave limited room to absorb changes in operating performance before earnings are affected. Even with 2026 improvement, the company’s profitability remains structurally modest for its revenue base, which can constrain reinvestment and reduce resilience during weaker periods.

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (2918) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:2918-14.36%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 47.00B
Dividend Yield
4.49%
Average Volume (3M)
110.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.7
Beta (1Y)
0.31
Revenue Growth
2.88%
EPS Growth
3.21%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,960
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of food products for convenience stores in Japan and internationally. It operates through Food Production Business; Food Materials Business; Logi...

How the Company Makes Money

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS makes money mainly by selling prepared foods and related food products that it manufactures and supplies to retail channels. Revenue is generated through (1) wholesale/contract supply of ready-to-eat items (e.g., boxed meals...

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Steady revenue growth from 2023–2026 and a clear earnings improvement in 2026 support the score. Balance sheet resilience improved materially with sharp debt reduction and rising equity, but operating profitability remains thin and free cash flow has been volatile (often negative) despite improving operating cash flow.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue233.83B233.83B222.47B207.01B194.42B192.33B
Gross Profit43.95B43.13B37.84B36.95B33.51B32.11B
EBITDA14.76B14.76B11.68B11.01B8.99B10.00B
Net Income5.34B5.34B2.68B4.27B2.81B3.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets131.74B131.74B120.92B101.96B92.68B82.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.38B10.38B8.45B8.12B11.19B9.67B
Total Debt36.48B36.48B34.24B21.66B15.15B9.31B
Total Liabilities69.60B69.60B61.80B47.65B41.15B34.28B
Stockholders Equity59.42B59.42B56.67B53.30B50.50B47.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow03.15B-5.28B-3.70B332.00M4.28B
Operating Cash Flow016.96B12.48B9.37B7.43B8.11B
Investing Cash Flow0-13.48B-20.67B-13.54B-7.54B-3.96B
Financing Cash Flow0-1.86B8.26B845.00M692.00M-3.55B

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2670.00

Price Trends

50DMA2686.74Negative
100DMA2670.40Negative
200DMA2819.61Negative

Market Momentum

MACD1.26Negative
RSI51.49Neutral
STOCH53.31Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2918, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2670.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2644.55, below the 50-day MA of 2686.74, and below the 200-day MA of 2819.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2918.

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:2918 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2871JP:287172OutperformJPY 539.03B21.579.41%2.15%11.84%3.20%
JP:2918JP:291871OutperformJPY 46.56B11.75―4.49%2.88%3.21%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
JP:2802JP:280262NeutralJPY 4.07T26.4420.53%1.15%9.89%126.77%
JP:2296JP:229659NeutralJPY 246.51B14.58―5.19%2.68%11.47%
JP:2910JP:291059NeutralJPY 36.61B170.83―1.78%0.59%-50.98%
JP:3392JP:339249NeutralJPY 11.72B8.91―3.47%2.68%-20.41%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%JP:2918JP:2802JP:2871JP:2296JP:2910JP:3392Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:2918 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2918WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.2670.00-476.68-15.15%
JP:2802Ajinomoto Co 4264.00519.8413.88%
JP:2871Nichirei Corporation2279.00475.0126.33%
JP:2296Itoham Yonekyu Holdings, Inc.4625.00-660.04-12.49%
JP:2910Rock Field Co., Ltd.1352.00-56.18-3.99%
JP:3392DELICA FOODS HOLDINGS CO. LTD.715.00-117.94-14.16%

WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Warabeya Nichiyo Scraps Ohio Plant Launch, Books ¥700 Million Loss

Oct 7, 2026

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co., Ltd., a Japanese producer of ready-made meals and other food products for major convenience store chains, has been pursuing overseas expansion with North America positioned as an important growth market. The group aims...

Warabeya Nichiyo Cuts Earnings Outlook and Books Loss on U.S. Plant Halt

Oct 7, 2026

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings has cut its full-year consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, reducing expected net sales from ¥241.0 billion to ¥238.0 billion and trimming operating profit by more than 20 percent. Profit attrib...

Warabeya Nichiyo Faces Profit Slide but Holds Dividend Line

Oct 7, 2026

Warabeya Nichiyo reported a modest 1.0% increase in net sales to ¥120.9 billion for the six months ended August 31, 2026, but profits declined sharply, with operating profit down 25.0% and profit attributable to owners of parent down 34.1%. Despite t...

Warabeya Nichiyo Overhauls Organization and Executive Structure

Aug 24, 2026

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a restructuring of its organizational setup to reinforce management and streamline internal functions. The company will merge its Human Resource Development Department with the Occupational Safety Pro...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026