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WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.
(2918)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,769.00
▼(-16.60% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:04/10/26
The score is primarily supported by improving fundamentals (notably debt reduction and stronger operating cash flow) and steady revenue growth. It is held back by inconsistent free-cash-flow generation and weak technical trend signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). The dividend yield helps, but a negative P/E reduces valuation clarity.
Positive Factors
Debt reduction / stronger leverage
Sharp debt reduction in 2026 materially improved leverage and reduced financial risk. A stronger balance sheet lowers interest burden, increases resilience to demand shocks, and permits disciplined capital allocation for capex, dividends or strategic investments over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Volatile free cash flow
Inconsistent and often negative free cash flow across the cycle limits reliable capital allocation and dividend sustainability. Volatility suggests sensitivity to reinvestment timing and working-capital swings, increasing reliance on balance-sheet flexibility in weaker periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt reduction / stronger leverage
Sharp debt reduction in 2026 materially improved leverage and reduced financial risk. A stronger balance sheet lowers interest burden, increases resilience to demand shocks, and permits disciplined capital allocation for capex, dividends or strategic investments over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (2918) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥45.49B
Dividend Yield3.2%
Average Volume (3M)60.86K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.5
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth5.11%
EPS Growth100.02%
CountryJP
Employees1,933
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)222.27
Shares Outstanding17,625,660
10 Day Avg. Volume81,240
30 Day Avg. Volume60,860
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)1.01
Price to Sales (P/S)0.26
P/FCF Ratio19.00
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)311.85
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥241.30B
WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of food products for convenience stores in Japan and internationally. It operates through Food Production Business; Food Materials Business; L...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money mainly by producing prepared foods (e.g., ready-to-eat meals and other convenience-oriented items) and selling them to retail customers, with revenue recognized from the shipment/delivery of these products under supply agre...
WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 228.47B | 233.83B | 222.47B | 207.01B | 194.42B | 192.33B |
| Gross Profit | 40.26B | 43.13B | 37.84B | 36.95B | 33.51B | 32.11B |
| EBITDA | 11.03B | 14.76B | 11.68B | 11.01B | 9.07B | 10.09B |
| Net Income | 3.87B | 5.34B | 2.68B | 4.27B | 2.81B | 3.26B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 128.97B | 131.74B | 120.92B | 101.96B | 92.68B | 82.18B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 8.80B | 10.38B | 8.45B | 8.12B | 11.19B | 9.67B |
| Total Debt | 35.39B | 36.48B | 34.24B | 21.66B | 15.15B | 9.31B |
| Total Liabilities | 68.86B | 69.60B | 61.80B | 47.65B | 41.15B | 34.28B |
| Stockholders Equity | 57.70B | 59.42B | 56.67B | 53.30B | 50.50B | 47.56B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 3.15B | -5.28B | -3.70B | 332.00M | 4.28B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 16.96B | 12.48B | 9.37B | 7.43B | 8.11B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -13.48B | -20.67B | -13.54B | -7.54B | -3.96B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.86B | 8.26B | 845.00M | 692.00M | -3.55B |
WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Neutral
3320.00
Price Trends
2676.40
Negative
2960.21
Negative
3035.83
Negative
Market Momentum
-33.63
Negative
48.86
Neutral
53.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2918, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3320 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2575.25, above the 50-day MA of 2676.40, and above the 200-day MA of 3035.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -33.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:2918.
WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | ¥45.49B | 8.47 | ― | 3.20% | 5.11% | 100.02% | |
67 Neutral | ¥5.35T | 41.35 | 9.46% | 1.32% | 3.47% | 100.13% | |
65 Neutral | ¥13.39B | 8.81 | ― | 1.43% | 5.88% | 180.90% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
60 Neutral | ¥555.15B | 20.08 | 9.86% | 2.58% | 2.00% | 12.21% | |
57 Neutral | ¥249.96B | 13.23 | ― | 2.61% | 8.35% | 54.38% | |
52 Neutral | ¥35.10B | 352.00 | ― | 1.65% | -0.17% | -70.24% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
JP:2918
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WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Warabeya Nichiyo Updates Capital-Efficient, Stock Price–Conscious Management Measures
May 27, 2026
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings has announced that its Board of Directors has updated previously disclosed measures to promote management practices that are more conscious of cost of capital and stock price. The decision reflects a continued focus on en...
Warabeya Nichiyo Details Cause and Recovery Plan After Sapporo Plant Fire
May 27, 2026
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings has issued a third update on the February 16 fire at its Sapporo Plant, now operated by Warabeya Hokkaido Co., Ltd., which caused minor injury to one person and damaged part of the building and production equipment. The c...
Warabeya Nichiyo Outlines FY2026 Results and FY2027 Outlook
Apr 9, 2026
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings has released a brief outline of its financial results for the fiscal year ending February 2026, along with a forecast for the fiscal year ending February 2027. The company also highlighted key growth initiatives aligned w...
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Reshapes Executive Lineup and Strengthens Governance
Apr 8, 2026
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings has announced a series of officer changes effective May 28, 2026, aimed at strengthening its management structure around its core food products business. Koji Mori will be promoted to Director, Senior Managing Executive O...
Warabeya Nichiyo Delays Start of New U.S. Midwest Plant Amid 7-Eleven Supply Chain Review
Apr 8, 2026
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings has announced a revision to its U.S. Midwest expansion plan, specifically for a new production plant in Columbus, Ohio intended to serve its convenience-store food business. The company has changed the scheduled start of ...
Warabeya Nichiyo Profit Nearly Doubles as Dividend Raised on Strong 2026 Results
Apr 8, 2026
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings reported a strong rebound in earnings for the year ended February 28, 2026, with net sales rising 5.1% to ¥233.8 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent nearly doubling to ¥5.34 billion. Operating an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.