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CVS Bay Area Inc. (2687) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2687

CVS Bay Area Inc.

(TSE/TYO:2687)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:JPY 456.00▼(-2.56% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is held down primarily by weak cash generation (persistently negative free cash flow), elevated leverage with weakening equity, and earnings instability shown by the sharp 2026 net loss. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock below major moving averages and negative MACD. A solid dividend yield and oversold readings offer some support, but not enough to outweigh the core financial and trend risks.

Positive Factors
Revenue RecoveryThe return to sustained revenue growth after the 2021–2023 downturn indicates improving demand and renewed business activity. Continued top-line expansion can support operating scale, help absorb fixed costs, and provide a foundation for rebuilding profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistently Negative Free Cash FlowPersistent negative free cash flow means the company is not retaining cash after investment needs, limiting its ability to fund growth internally. This increases reliance on financing, reduces resilience during weaker earnings periods, and makes sustained balance-sheet improvement more difficult.

CVS Bay Area Inc. (2687) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:2687-11.00%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 2.32B
Dividend Yield
4.27%
Average Volume (3M)
7,373
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-2.3
Beta (1Y)
0.24
Revenue Growth
0.71%
EPS Growth
-519.58%
Country
Japan
Employees
184
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Grocery Stores

CVS Bay Area Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CVS Bay Area Inc., established in 1981 and based in Chiba, Japan, engages in a variety of business ventures. The company manages seven convenience stores operating under the Lawson brand across Japan, alongside eight hotels bearing the BAY HOTEL name...

CVS Bay Area Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue and underlying operating performance recovered in 2024–2026, but 2026 swung to a large net loss despite positive EBIT/EBITDA, signaling meaningful below-the-line volatility. Leverage is elevated and equity weakened in 2026. Most importantly, free cash flow has been consistently negative, limiting self-funding capacity and increasing reliance on financing.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.95B7.90B7.82B7.52B6.93B7.21B
Gross Profit3.76B3.50B3.49B3.23B2.57B2.12B
EBITDA491.29M439.35M572.44M643.26M238.81M-160.49M
Net Income-1.01B-1.14B1.12B697.62M-13.53M-831.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.46B10.37B11.27B10.31B8.68B9.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.85B1.89B1.78B1.89B1.77B1.73B
Total Debt5.86B5.72B5.29B5.32B4.48B4.85B
Total Liabilities7.32B7.24B6.89B6.95B5.94B6.58B
Stockholders Equity3.14B3.13B4.38B3.36B2.74B2.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-177.40M-1.08B-635.20M-196.02M-406.11M
Operating Cash Flow0315.26M410.52M481.89M-172.53M-351.39M
Investing Cash Flow0-525.70M-384.36M-1.08B654.76M232.76M
Financing Cash Flow0314.97M-129.65M710.97M-442.98M-84.74M

CVS Bay Area Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price468.00

Price Trends

50DMA484.74Negative
100DMA483.25Negative
200DMA485.23Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.41Positive
RSI37.21Neutral
STOCH19.05Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2687, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 468.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 473.45, below the 50-day MA of 484.74, and below the 200-day MA of 485.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2687.

CVS Bay Area Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

JP:2687 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7596JP:759678OutperformJPY 29.66B21.40―2.46%15.49%3.69%
JP:8198JP:819876OutperformJPY 101.20B12.83―2.70%0.90%-28.84%
JP:8194JP:819471OutperformJPY 233.34B21.63―2.51%2.59%0.10%
JP:3539JP:353967NeutralJPY 80.26B16.31―1.59%6.62%-23.04%
JP:7508JP:750867NeutralJPY 62.89B14.56―5.98%7.65%-16.94%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
JP:2687JP:268744NeutralJPY 2.30B-2.28―4.27%0.71%-519.58%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%-10%0%10%JP:2687JP:3539JP:7508JP:7596JP:8194JP:8198Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:2687 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2687CVS Bay Area Inc.468.00-55.93-10.67%
JP:3539JM Holdings Co., Ltd.1575.0048.603.18%
JP:7508G-7 Holdings Inc.1422.00189.7815.40%
JP:7596Uoriki Co., Ltd.2118.00-211.86-9.09%
JP:8194Life Corporation2707.00282.7311.66%
JP:8198Maxvalu Tokai Co., Ltd.3150.00-300.73-8.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026