ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. AI Stock Analysis
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ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. (2491) AI Stock Analysis
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
(TSE/TYO:2491)
The stock scores at the absolute minimum of 37, reflecting a convergence of severe risks. The most significant factor is the company's fundamental financial collapse, marked by a swing to net losses and negative free cash flow. This is compounded by a bearish technical trend with strong downward momentum. The high dividend yield is a value trap given the lack of earnings to support it. The debt-free balance sheet provides a minimal cushion but does not alter the high-risk profile.
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. (2491) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
- Market Cap
- JPY 8.65B
- Dividend Yield
- 7.98%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 171.68K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -3.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.32
- Revenue Growth
- -59.47%
- EPS Growth
- -181.86%
- Country
- Japan
- Employees
- 381
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Sector Strength
- 60
- Industry
- Advertising Agencies
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. provides marketing solutions in Japan. It operates through three segments: Marketing Solutions Business, EC Solutions Business, and Travel Tech Business. The company provides performance-based advertising. It offers click-base...
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is critically weak. Revenue is in steep decline, profitability has swung to a substantial net loss, and cash flow generation has collapsed with deeply negative free cash flow. The only positive is a debt-free balance sheet, but this is insufficient to offset the severe operational deterioration.
Income Statement
18Very NegativeBalance Sheet
55NeutralCash Flow
10Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 11.74B | 24.17B | 30.41B | 29.40B | 35.71B | 33.56B |
| Gross Profit | 4.02B | 7.35B | 9.98B | 10.15B | 12.83B | 12.88B |
| EBITDA | -2.31B | 1.53B | 4.55B | 5.51B | 8.79B | 6.24B |
| Net Income | -2.47B | 487.00M | 2.85B | 3.40B | 5.81B | 3.26B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 15.99B | 16.14B | 19.71B | 28.47B | 28.20B | 24.11B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 9.76B | 11.03B | 11.78B | 21.53B | 20.18B | 15.50B |
| Total Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total Liabilities | 4.43B | 3.96B | 6.84B | 6.01B | 7.38B | 7.54B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.56B | 12.18B | 12.86B | 22.46B | 20.82B | 16.57B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -525.00M | 1.87B | 3.38B | 3.49B | 6.79B | 5.40B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 120.00M | 1.92B | 3.47B | 3.53B | 6.82B | 5.53B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.11B | -1.44B | -716.00M | -434.00M | -408.00M | -101.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -691.00M | -1.23B | -12.51B | -1.75B | -1.72B | -1.35B |
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2491, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 401.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 416.15, below the 50-day MA of 446.80, and below the 200-day MA of 463.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:2491.
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
JP:735479Outperform
JP:212274Outperform
JP:709568Neutral
JP:604565Neutral
JP:609448Neutral- JP:249137Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:7354 | 79Outperform | JPY 17.52B | 9.19 | ― | 1.90% | 2.86% | 70.83% |
| JP:2122 | 74Outperform | JPY 8.77B | 17.61 | ― | 2.30% | 8.34% | 125.72% |
| JP:7095 | 68Neutral | JPY 14.41B | 5.86 | ― | 5.57% | -5.30% | -13.86% |
| JP:6045 | 65Neutral | JPY 15.47B | 5.20 | ― | 1.20% | 289.34% | 309.72% |
| Sector * | 60Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% |
| JP:6094 | 48Neutral | JPY 8.83B | 4.45 | ― | ― | 10.01% | ― |
| JP:2491 | 37Underperform | JPY 13.06B | -3.52 | ― | 7.98% | -59.47% | -181.86% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:2491 | ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. | 401.00 | -251.47 | -38.54% | |
| JP:2122 | Interspace Co., Ltd. | 1305.00 | 96.31 | 7.97% | |
| JP:6045 | Rentracks Co., Ltd. | 1993.00 | 406.98 | 25.66% | |
| JP:6094 | FreakOut Holdings, Inc. | 485.00 | -20.00 | -3.96% | |
| JP:7095 | Macbee Planet Inc | 988.00 | -750.42 | -43.17% | |
| JP:7354 | Direct Marketing MiX Inc. | 359.00 | 88.46 | 32.70% |
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
ValueCommerce to Transfer Loss-Making DYNA PMS Business to xxx Inc. in Simplified Split
ValueCommerce’s board has approved a simplified absorption-type company split to transfer its DYNA PMS hotel management system business to SaaS provider xxx Inc., effective January 1, 2027, as part of a portfolio review aimed at sharpening strategic...
ValueCommerce Slashes 2026 Forecasts and Cuts Executive Pay Amid Affiliate Ad Weakness
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. has sharply revised down its non-consolidated earnings forecast for fiscal 2026, projecting net sales of ¥11.0 billion versus an earlier estimate of ¥14.4 billion and a deeper net loss, as advertising policy changes by some af...
ValueCommerce warns of full-year loss as 2026 sales slump and equity ratio slips
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥8.38 billion for the first nine months of fiscal 2026, with operating, ordinary, and net losses of ¥767 million, ¥749 million, and ¥661 million, respectively, translating to a basic loss...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026