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CAICA Inc. (2315) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2315

CAICA Inc.

(TSE/TYO:2315)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:JPY 50.00â–¼(-1.96% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily supported by improved profitability and a low-risk, debt-free balance sheet, but is held back by a pronounced technical downtrend (price below all major moving averages with negative MACD) and the fundamental risks signaled by the steep revenue contraction and weaker cash conversion. Valuation is also less supportive given the negative P/E and no provided dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheetZero debt and a solid equity base reduce financial risk and preserve flexibility during periods of uneven operating performance. This conservative structure can support continued investment, provide resilience against downturns, and give management more options for funding operations without adding interest obligations.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contractionA roughly 49% revenue decline indicates substantial pressure on the company’s operating scale and raises doubts about the durability of its recent earnings recovery. Even with positive margins, a smaller revenue base can limit growth investment, reduce operating leverage, and make future results more volatile.

CAICA Inc. (2315) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%JP:2315-39.29%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 9.59B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.94M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-13.4
Beta (1Y)
1.05
Revenue Growth
15.86%
EPS Growth
-175.79%
Country
Japan
Employees
356
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

CAICA Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CAICA DIGITAL Inc., a global provider of information technology services, was established in Tokyo, Japan, in 1989, and adopted its current name in November 2021, previously operating as CAICA Inc. The company specializes in crafting and distributing...

CAICA Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a meaningful profitability turnaround and a conservative, debt-free balance sheet (strong financial risk profile). Offsetting this are a sharp ~49% revenue decline in 2025, modest cash generation relative to net income in 2025, and a history of volatile profitability and cash flows—raising questions about sustainability.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.64B5.20B5.61B5.68B6.44B5.95B
Gross Profit1.06B888.06M609.82M245.00M2.22B1.69B
EBITDA-319.31M185.13M-355.17M-4.09B-5.88B-680.68M
Net Income-331.27M166.79M-359.86M-3.89B-6.24B-799.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.84B4.30B2.43B2.57B59.03B107.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments934.10M639.57M698.98M1.16B56.59B98.72B
Total Debt00171.68M71.68M582.83M908.22M
Total Liabilities715.24M685.89M765.79M773.22M53.88B95.82B
Stockholders Equity6.07B3.61B1.66B1.79B4.89B11.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.71M51.71M282.85M-1.77B-1.44B-2.23B
Operating Cash Flow51.92M51.92M282.85M-1.75B-1.14B-2.07B
Investing Cash Flow24.51M24.51M-386.87M-572.75M-212.31M-187.48M
Financing Cash Flow-170.96M-170.96M-246.49M701.46M-229.68M1.54B

CAICA Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price51.00

Price Trends

50DMA62.28Negative
100DMA61.70Negative
200DMA70.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.16Positive
RSI34.20Neutral
STOCH32.70Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2315, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 51.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.65, below the 50-day MA of 62.28, and below the 200-day MA of 70.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2315.

CAICA Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:2315 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3915JP:391586OutperformJPY 27.20B13.16―0.77%19.19%93.45%
JP:4475JP:447583OutperformJPY 81.23B41.66―0.46%17.01%34.74%
JP:4434JP:443471OutperformJPY 22.95B20.67―1.31%23.79%―
JP:4493JP:449368NeutralJPY 22.15B23.96―0.22%22.65%74.18%
JP:3850JP:385066NeutralJPY 16.06B14.79―1.99%23.85%56.39%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:2315JP:231554NeutralJPY 9.59B-13.41-11.73%―15.86%-175.79%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:2315JP:3850JP:3915JP:4434JP:4475JP:4493Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:2315 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:2315CAICA Inc.51.00-36.00-41.38%
JP:3850NTT Data Intramart Corporation3245.00-762.04-19.02%
JP:3915TerraSky Co., Ltd.2086.006.420.31%
JP:4434Serverworks Co., Ltd.3050.001276.3871.96%
JP:4475HENNGE K.K.2378.001039.5577.67%
JP:4493Cyber Security Cloud, Inc.2244.00256.5012.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026