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Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. (1853) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1853

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:1853)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:JPY 371.00▲(17.78% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial stability (minimal leverage and growing equity) and supportive valuation (moderate P/E and high dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are uneven operating performance and historically volatile cash flow despite the strong 2026 rebound; technicals add a mild tailwind rather than a strong momentum signal.

Positive Factors
Very low leverage and rising equityMinimal debt reduces financial risk and interest burden, while steadily growing equity strengthens the company’s capital base. This provides flexibility to manage construction cycles, absorb project volatility, and sustain operations without relying heavily on external funding.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue and recent declineRevenue volatility indicates dependence on project timing rather than a consistently expanding top line. The latest decline and negative reported growth could limit operating leverage, make earnings less predictable, and constrain sustained improvement in profitability.

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. (1853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:1853+3.31%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 10.45B
Dividend Yield
4.44%
Average Volume (3M)
18.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.7
Beta (1Y)
0.27
Revenue Growth
-5.96%
EPS Growth
-7.00%
Country
Japan
Employees
311
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Engineering & Construction

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. is a Japanese company primarily engaged in extensive civil engineering and building construction activities across the nation. Its civil engineering division undertakes projects such as the development of roads, tunnels, railways,...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance sheet is the key strength (very low leverage and steadily rising equity). Profitability remains positive but below 2021–2022 levels, with uneven revenue. Cash flow is the swing factor: a sharp 2025 outflow followed by a meaningful 2026 rebound, indicating improved earnings quality but ongoing project/working-capital timing risk.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.04B29.45B27.58B24.62B31.32B
Gross Profit2.86B2.55B2.43B2.23B3.27B
EBITDA1.49B1.17B1.17B921.00M2.00B
Net Income926.00M921.00M685.00M523.00M1.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.16B25.58B27.39B23.78B25.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.40B4.48B9.57B9.43B9.18B
Total Debt21.00M831.00M827.00M831.00M821.00M
Total Liabilities9.69B10.68B13.03B9.71B11.45B
Stockholders Equity15.47B14.90B14.36B14.06B13.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.50B-4.45B617.00M711.00M2.02B
Operating Cash Flow2.64B-4.23B680.00M799.00M2.10B
Investing Cash Flow552.00M-407.00M-70.00M-80.00M-78.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.27B-466.00M-468.00M-468.00M-569.00M

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price315.00

Price Trends

50DMA322.96Negative
100DMA325.11Negative
200DMA323.98Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-2.09Positive
RSI35.16Neutral
STOCH51.06Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 315.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 320.60, below the 50-day MA of 322.96, and below the 200-day MA of 323.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:1853.

Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:1853 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:1798JP:179877OutperformJPY 11.26B5.57―3.59%-15.16%-27.86%
JP:1768JP:176876OutperformJPY 7.32B5.74―4.99%34.73%33.28%
JP:1807JP:180775OutperformJPY 10.70B16.43―4.52%-20.00%-41.44%
JP:1853JP:185374OutperformJPY 10.32B10.66―4.44%-5.96%-7.00%
JP:1826JP:182671OutperformJPY 12.90B12.12―5.52%22.99%134.56%
JP:1718JP:171864NeutralJPY 7.11B5.55―16.75%9.59%-7.35%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:1853JP:1718JP:1768JP:1798JP:1807JP:1826Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:1853 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:1853Mori-Gumi Co., Ltd.315.008.182.67%
JP:1718MIKIKOGYO CO., LTD.2090.00-515.54-19.79%
JP:1768Sonec Corporation1015.00-290.33-22.24%
JP:1798Moriya Corporation1010.00-342.89-25.35%
JP:1807Watanabe Sato Co., Ltd.1770.00116.397.04%
JP:1826Sata Construction Co., Ltd.1086.00-15.15-1.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026