Cocolive,Inc. (137A) AI Stock Analysis

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Cocolive,Inc.

(TSE/TYO:137A)

Select Model

Rating:64Neutral

Price Target:JPY 748.00▲(38.52% Upside)

Action:downgraded

Date:01/30/26

Cocolive presents a contrasting profile of exceptional fundamentals versus severely weak technicals. The company's outstanding financial performance—70% revenue growth, zero debt, 16% net margins, and strong cash generation—supports a high fundamental score of 88. Valuation at 11.1x P/E is compelling for a high-growth software company. However, severe technical weakness with the stock 40% below its 200-DMA, deeply oversold RSI of 24.5, and negative MACD significantly drags the overall score. The stock appears fundamentally undervalued but is experiencing strong negative momentum, suggesting investors should monitor for technical stabilization before entry. Beta near 1.0 indicates market-like volatility. Overall score of 64 reflects solid long-term potential tempered by near-term technical risks.

Positive Factors

Revenue acceleration and operating leverageSharp revenue acceleration paired with expanding operating margins indicates a scalable business model and durable operating leverage. Sustained margin expansion suggests the company converts incremental revenue into profit efficiently, supporting long-term reinvestment and cash generation.

Negative Factors

Volatile year-to-year growth and 2025 spike riskAn outsized 2025 growth spike creates uncertainty about the baseline revenue run-rate and makes forecasting and capacity planning harder. If growth is lumpy or driven by one-off factors, margin and cash forecasts become less reliable and strategic decisions carry higher execution risk.

Cocolive,Inc. (137A) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 1.61B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 3,226
Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.6
Beta (1Y): 0.71
Revenue Growth: 9.10%
EPS Growth: -42.25%
Country: Japan
Employees: 102
Sector: Consumer Goods
Sector Strength: 57
Industry: Software - Application

Cocolive,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cocolive Inc. specializes in the creation and deployment of "KASIKA," a marketing automation platform engineered exclusively for the real estate sector, managing its distribution to clients and all associated services. This sales assistance tool is u...

How the Company Makes Money

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Cocolive,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Exceptional financial fundamentals with 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2025, revenue nearly 2.5x over three years reaching ¥1.3B. Net profit margin improved to 16.1% with operating margins expanding to 21.5%. Balance sheet is pristine with zero debt and 84% equity ratio. Strong cash conversion with FCF of ¥221M matching operating cash flow, indicating minimal capex needs typical of quality software businesses. ROE of 23.5% remains healthy despite expanding equity base.

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

88Very Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	May 2025	May 2024	May 2023	May 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.03B	1.30B	1.03B	797.14M	557.14M
Gross Profit	600.97M	738.90M	600.97M	468.97M	324.52M
EBITDA	215.24M	279.89M	215.44M	140.83M	69.92M
Net Income	149.97M	209.17M	149.97M	97.17M	48.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	792.19M	1.06B	792.19M	372.50M	240.43M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	641.97M	0	641.97M	239.11M	129.88M
Total Debt	0	0	0	0	40.00M
Total Liabilities	129.42M	168.28M	129.42M	105.35M	99.37M
Stockholders Equity	662.78M	889.69M	662.77M	267.16M	141.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	157.22M	221.41M	157.22M	120.31M	46.06M
Operating Cash Flow	157.50M	221.41M	157.50M	120.31M	47.15M
Investing Cash Flow	-288.00K	0	-288.00K	0	-1.09M
Financing Cash Flow	245.64M	15.11M	245.64M	-11.07M	10.33M

Cocolive,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price540.00

Price Trends

50DMA655.56Negative

100DMA691.77Negative

200DMA700.39Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-33.21Positive

RSI30.66Neutral

STOCH39.16Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:137A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 540.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 587.80, below the 50-day MA of 655.56, and below the 200-day MA of 700.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -33.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:137A.

Cocolive,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (57)

Financial Indicators

JP:137A against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:4431	83Outperform	JPY 67.50B	26.36	―	0.69%	20.70%	56.44%
JP:4374	75Outperform	JPY 9.51B	14.84	―	1.12%	14.08%	28.55%
JP:3633	67Neutral	JPY 12.30B	7.72	―	2.88%	-3.24%	80.65%
JP:137A	64Neutral	JPY 1.71B	7.56	―	―	9.10%	-42.25%
Sector *	57Neutral	$3.13B	9.23	-34.32%	3.14%	-25.56%	-353.61%
JP:3680	56Neutral	JPY 2.64B	-1.55	―	3.67%	3.59%	-65.47%
JP:3665	46Neutral	JPY 17.03B	69.86	―	7.33%	-1.71%	-7.98%

* Consumer Goods Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:137A and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:137A	Cocolive,Inc.	540.00	-562.00	-51.00%
JP:3633	GMO Pepabo, Inc.	2326.00	198.23	9.32%
JP:3665	ENIGMO, Inc.	408.00	33.41	8.92%
JP:3680	Hotto Link, Inc.	166.00	-93.85	-36.12%
JP:4374	ROBOT PAYMENT INC.	1245.00	-181.63	-12.73%
JP:4431	Smaregi, Inc.	3470.00	676.06	24.20%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026

Cocolive,Inc. AI Stock Analysis