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Inventiva (IVA)
NASDAQ:IVA

Inventiva (IVA) AI Stock Analysis

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Inventiva

(NASDAQ:IVA)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(6.38%Upside)
Inventiva's stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, marked by ongoing losses and reliance on external financing. The technical analysis and earnings call provide some neutral to positive insights, but the valuation remains a concern due to negative profitability metrics. Overall, the stock reflects a high-risk investment with some potential for future growth contingent on the success of key clinical trials and strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trial Progress
The completion of full enrollment in the Phase III NATiV3 trial is a major milestone, positioning the company for a significant data readout.
Drug Development
Lanifibranor, with its distinct direct anti-fibrotic effect and oral administration, stands out among MASH drugs under development.
Financial Position
The recent €126M funding provides a cash runway for the company, ensuring financial stability through the third quarter.
Market Position
Lanifibranor's potential to become the next oral therapy approved for MASH positions it strongly in the competitive landscape.
Negative Factors
Funding Concerns
Previous funding concerns necessitated substantial financing to ensure the company's financial viability.
Market Competition
Lanifibranor faces competition from existing orally-dosed MASH therapies, which exhibit strong efficacy profiles.

Inventiva (IVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Inventiva Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), mucopolysaccharidoses (MPS), and other diseases. Its lead product candidate is Lanifibranor, which has completed Phase IIb clinical trial to treat NASH. The company also develops Odiparcil, which has completed Phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of MPS VI subtype disease. In addition, it has a pipeline of earlier stage programs in oncology and other diseases. The company has strategic collaboration with AbbVie for the treatment of autoimmune diseases; and Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH for developing new treatments for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Inventiva S.A. was founded in 2011 and is based in Daix, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyInventiva primarily generates revenue through collaborations and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies, where it receives upfront payments, milestone payments, and potential royalties based on the commercial success of its product candidates. Additionally, the company may secure funding through equity offerings and grants to support its research and development activities. Significant partnerships in the pharmaceutical industry can also enhance its revenue streams by providing financial support and shared resources for drug development.

Inventiva Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 14.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in the clinical development of lanifibranor, positive trial results, and a strong financial position bolstered by recent financing activities. However, challenges such as workforce reduction and decreased revenue were noted. The sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with strategic partnerships and governance strengthening, despite financial and operational challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Progress in Lanifibranor Clinical Development
Completed screening of Phase 3 NATiV3 trial in early January 2025, targeting recruitment completion in H1 2025. Three data monitoring committee meetings with positive recommendations for continuation without protocol modification.
Positive Results from LEGEND Trial
Statistically significant reduction in HBA1C with lanifibranor alone and in combination, improved insulin sensitivity, and significant improvement in markers of liver injury. Combination with empagliflozin mitigates weight gain.
Strong Financial Position
Raised approximately $184 million in gross proceeds from several financing operations, including a $125 million structured financing. Cash position at the end of 2024 was €96.6 million, a net positive variance of close to €61 million from the previous year.
Strategic Partnerships and Market Expansion
Partner Hepalys launched clinical development of lanifibranor in Japan. Licensing agreements in place in Japan, South Korea, and China position lanifibranor as a leading oral drug in MASH in these regions.
Strengthened Governance and Team
Reinforced Board of Directors with three new members, including Mark Pruzanski as Chairman. Reinforced development team to prepare for regulatory filing and potential commercial launch of lanifibranor.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Workforce
Decision to stop all pre-clinical activities not related to lanifibranor, leading to a reduction of approximately 50% of the workforce.
Decreased Revenue
Recorded revenues of €9.2 million in 2024, compared to €17.5 million in 2023, primarily due to the timing of milestone payments.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for the full year 2024 was €184.2 million, compared to €110.4 million in 2023, driven by non-cash financial items and increased expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Inventiva Full Year 2024 Financial Results Webcast and Conference Call, key guidance and metrics were provided by the company's leadership. CEO Frédéric Cren highlighted the significant progress in the clinical development of lanifibranor, emphasizing the closing of screening for the Phase 3 NATiV3 trial and targeting recruitment completion in H1 2025. The topline results are expected in the second half of 2026, with potential U.S. approval by March. The call also addressed the company's financial position, with a cash runway extending to September 2025, and potentially September 2026 after securing additional financing. The 2024 financial highlights included a cash position of €96.6 million, revenues of €9.2 million, and a net loss of €184.2 million. The company also discussed strategic decisions, such as focusing resources on lanifibranor development, which led to a reduction in workforce by approximately 50%. The call concluded with a discussion on potential partnerships and long-term plans for commercialization.

Inventiva Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Inventiva's financial performance is concerning, with significant losses and negative margins across the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. The company is heavily reliant on external financing and faces substantial financial difficulties, indicating a high-risk profile.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Inventiva's income statement highlights significant challenges in profitability. The company reports consistent negative net income and EBIT over the years. The revenue growth rate is volatile, with a decrease in the most recent year. Both gross profit and net profit margins are negative, indicating that the company is struggling to cover its costs. EBITDA margin is also highly negative, showcasing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Inventiva's balance sheet reveals financial instability with negative stockholders' equity and a high total liabilities figure. The debt-to-equity ratio is not applicable due to negative equity, and return on equity is also negative, reflecting poor returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is negative, further indicating financial distress and a reliance on liabilities.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates persistent negative operating and free cash flows, suggesting that Inventiva is not generating enough cash from its operations to sustain its business activities. While there is a significant financing cash flow, likely from debt or equity raises, the operating cash flow to net income ratio and free cash flow to net income ratio are weak, pointing towards cash flow challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.20M17.48M12.18M4.19M372.00K
Gross Profit
9.20M17.50M11.18M3.18M-474.00K
EBIT
-97.56M-102.71M-57.11M-52.11M-29.72M
EBITDA
-166.53M-102.04M-57.11M-52.27M-31.77M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-184.21M-110.43M-54.27M-49.64M-31.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
96.56M26.99M87.78M95.38M113.02M
Total Assets
118.97M69.56M116.00M121.98M138.92M
Total Debt
54.33M37.49M34.51M10.12M13.25M
Net Debt
-42.23M10.57M-52.22M-76.43M-92.43M
Total Liabilities
225.61M101.59M70.53M33.12M27.71M
Stockholders Equity
-106.65M-32.03M45.48M88.87M111.21M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-86.26M-82.15M-45.49M-48.16M-30.88M
Operating Cash Flow
-85.93M-81.61M-44.93M-47.63M-30.59M
Investing Cash Flow
8.74M-7.73M8.87M-1.79M-8.56M
Financing Cash Flow
145.59M29.08M37.27M25.45M111.67M

Inventiva Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.29
Price Trends
50DMA
3.45
Negative
100DMA
3.13
Positive
200DMA
2.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
45.27
Neutral
STOCH
19.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IVA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.41, below the 50-day MA of 3.45, and above the 200-day MA of 2.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IVA.

Inventiva Risk Analysis

Inventiva disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Inventiva reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Inventiva Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$270.23M8.817.22%5.74%24.45%
58
Neutral
$424.78M-47.44%80.70%46.66%
52
Neutral
$305.13M40.36%12.43%91.67%
52
Neutral
$985.92M-34.26%271.44%26.65%
51
Neutral
$7.32B0.30-60.36%2.39%17.47%1.73%
IVIVA
51
Neutral
$444.10M344.74%-47.32%-26.67%
41
Neutral
$437.31M-39.06%-48.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IVA
Inventiva
3.29
0.51
18.35%
ORKA
Oruka Therapeutics
10.90
-11.62
-51.60%
HRTX
Heron Therapeutics
2.00
-1.18
-37.11%
RGNX
RegenXBio
8.43
-4.36
-34.09%
VERV
Verve Therapeutics
11.06
5.78
109.47%
TRDA
Entrada Therapeutics Inc
7.04
-7.20
-50.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.