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Banca Profilo SPA (PRO) AI Stock Analysis

4 Followers
IT:PRO

Banca Profilo SPA

(Milan:PRO)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:EUR 1.50â–¼(-9.86% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/02/26

The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance—especially the sharp 2025 revenue decline, the major step-up in leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is moderately attractive with a reasonable P/E and solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Diversified banking revenue baseHaving fee-based wealth management alongside interest, trading, brokerage, and investment-banking income gives the group several revenue channels. This breadth can support client monetization across market conditions and reduces reliance on one banking activity, although results remain exposed to rates and market activity.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contractionThe approximately 52% revenue decline reverses the strong growth of 2023–2024 and raises a material question about earnings durability. Lower EBIT margins than in earlier years indicate that the business currently has less operating leverage and may need sustained recovery in activity to rebuild growth.

Banca Profilo SPA (PRO) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%IT:PRO+7.63%EWI+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 109.30M
Dividend Yield
4.20%
Average Volume (3M)
59.99K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.7
Beta (1Y)
0.59
Revenue Growth
-32.50%
EPS Growth
82.22%
Country
Italy
Employees
169
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Banks - Regional

Banca Profilo SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Banca Profilo S.p.A. offers a comprehensive suite of banking and financial solutions, catering to both individual and corporate clients across Italy and internationally. The firm's services encompass strategic investment planning, personalized wealth...

How the Company Makes Money

Banca Profilo makes money primarily through a mix of fee-based and interest-based banking revenues tied to wealth management and capital markets activity. (1) Wealth management and private banking fees: it earns recurring management and advisory fees...

Banca Profilo SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is steady-to-good, but overall financial quality weakened in the latest year: revenue fell sharply in 2025 (~-52%), leverage spiked with total debt rising to ~€1.17B (about ~7.0x equity), and operating/free cash flow turned negative (~-€24M each). These factors materially increase earnings durability and balance-sheet risk despite positive net income.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

41Neutral

Cash Flow

32Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.89M63.81M143.70M119.43M75.56M71.68M
Gross Profit53.41M60.57M77.80M79.42M73.04M69.53M
EBITDA3.16M5.90M13.28M17.69M18.10M15.88M
Net Income8.16M10.00M9.29M12.12M11.13M11.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.23B1.97B2.55B2.14B1.89B1.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments148.54M335.90M138.78M116.49M71.11M31.53M
Total Debt916.78M1.17B0004.28M
Total Liabilities2.06B1.80B2.39B1.97B1.73B1.50B
Stockholders Equity165.70M166.47M161.06M165.93M160.55M163.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-24.44M31.06M54.58M48.93M-28.20M
Operating Cash Flow0-24.22M34.64M54.93M52.32M-25.87M
Investing Cash Flow0502.86M-3.58M-1.77M-3.39M-5.37M
Financing Cash Flow0-511.11M-10.23M-9.23M-9.84M-25.73M

Banca Profilo SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1.66

Price Trends

50DMA1.61Positive
100DMA1.64Positive
200DMA1.65Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.02Negative
RSI62.86Neutral
STOCH72.81Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:PRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.57, above the 50-day MA of 1.61, and above the 200-day MA of 1.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:PRO.

Banca Profilo SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IT:PRO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IT:CEIT:CE79OutperformEUR 6.72B11.8512.18%3.81%-1.80%-15.66%
IT:MBIT:MB75OutperformEUR 20.66B16.4111.14%4.76%4.12%50.03%
IT:BGNIT:BGN73OutperformEUR 6.81B3.63128.43%4.81%17.02%33.89%
IT:BMEDIT:BMED71OutperformEUR 16.62B12.7028.80%5.56%-33.50%14.56%
IT:FBKIT:FBK64NeutralEUR 13.05B19.3326.70%3.72%5.03%2.95%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IT:PROIT:PRO52NeutralEUR 109.30M12.665.26%4.20%-32.50%82.22%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%IT:PROIT:BGNIT:CEIT:FBKIT:MBIT:BMEDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IT:PRO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IT:PROBanca Profilo SPA1.660.149.33%
IT:BGNBanca Generali SpA59.2010.7122.09%
IT:CECredito Emiliano SPA Credem19.676.6951.52%
IT:FBKFinecobank S.P.A21.260.874.24%
IT:MBMediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario S.p.A.25.6010.2967.17%
IT:BMEDBanca Mediolanum SpA22.485.7834.63%

Banca Profilo SPA Corporate Events

Banca Profilo Reschedules Board Meeting on Q3 2026 Results

Oct 22, 2026

Banca Profilo S.p.A. has updated its corporate events calendar, rescheduling the Board of Directors meeting to review the third quarter 2026 results to November 6, 2026, one day later than previously announced. The minor change in timing signals an a...

Banca Profilo Calls Remote Shareholders’ Meeting on Treasury Shares and Statute Changes

Oct 10, 2026

Banca Profilo has convened an ordinary and extraordinary shareholders’ meeting for 10 November 2026, with a possible second call on 11 November, to be held exclusively via telecommunication. The agenda includes resolutions on the disposal of tr...

Banca Profilo to Become Group Parent as Arepo BP Liquidates

Oct 9, 2026

Banca Profilo’s board has called a shareholders’ meeting for 10 and 11 November 2026 to approve bylaw changes reflecting its new status as parent company of a banking group, following the voluntary liquidation of its controlling sharehold...

Banca Profilo Finalizes Filing of Updated Articles and Share Capital Structure

Sep 30, 2026

Banca Profilo S.p.A. has completed the filing with the competent Companies Register of its updated Articles of Association and the new structure of its share capital, marking the formal effectiveness of recent corporate decisions on governance and ca...

Arepo BP to Liquidate and Transfer Banca Profilo Stake Directly to Sator Fund Investors

Aug 7, 2026

Arepo BP S.p.A., the controlling shareholder of Banca Profilo S.p.A., has approved the start of a voluntary liquidation process to allow investors in the Sator Private Equity Fund “A” L.P. to directly own the bank’s shares that Arep...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2026