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Fortinet (1FTNT) AI Stock Analysis

IT:1FTNT

Fortinet

(Milan:1FTNT)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Integrated Security PlatformA unified operating system spanning networking, SASE and AI security can reduce product fragmentation for customers and support broader deployments. This architecture strengthens cross-selling potential, increases platform relevance in hybrid environments, and may help Fortinet sustain share gains over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth DecelerationThe sharp deceleration in reported revenue growth weakens the quality of Fortinet’s earnings profile even though profitability remains strong. If lower growth persists, it could reduce operating leverage opportunities and make future expansion increasingly dependent on share gains, upselling and market execution.

Fortinet (1FTNT) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%IT:1FTNT+63.79%EWI+11.45%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 99.84B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
152
Price to Earnings (P/E)
43.9
Beta (1Y)
-0.34
Revenue Growth
14.36%
EPS Growth
19.95%
Country
Italy
Employees
15,109
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Fortinet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Fortinet, Inc. specializes in delivering extensive, unified, and automated cybersecurity solutions to a global clientele, encompassing the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. At its core, the company offers FortiG...

Fortinet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-25.25%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 08, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Fortinet reported broad-based growth, record operating profitability, substantial free cash flow generation, strong demand across AI, SASE, OT and enterprise markets, and raised its 2026 guidance. The principal challenges were longer component lead times, higher product costs, and delayed service revenue recognition on large enterprise and expansion deals, but management characterized the underlying service demand as strong and expects improved growth rates in 2027.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Billings and Revenue Growth
Third-quarter total billings grew 29% to $2.34 billion, total revenue increased 20% to $2.08 billion, and product revenue grew 37% to $765 million, driven by broad-based demand and strong execution.

Negative Updates

Longer Component Lead Times and Some Supply Constraints
The company experienced increasing lead times for certain components. Management said the business was affected by both somewhat longer lead times and higher prices, and characterized the third quarter as a return toward more normal supply conditions after benefiting from on-hand inventory in the first half.

Company Guidance

For the fourth quarter, Fortinet expects billings in the range of $2.775 billion to $2.925 billion, which at the midpoint represents growth of 20%, revenue in the range of $2.155 billion to $2.245 billion, which at the midpoint represents growth of 15%, non-GAAP gross margin of 78% to 80%, non-GAAP operating margin of 35.5% to 37.5%, non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.93 to $0.95, which assumes a share count between 741 million and 745 million, infrastructure investments of $180 million to $210 million, a non-GAAP tax rate of 18% and cash taxes of $80 million to $130 million; for the full year, it expects billings in the range of $9.568 billion to $9.718 billion, which at the midpoint represents growth of 28%, revenue in the range of $8.125 billion to $8.215 billion, which at the midpoint represents growth of 20%, service revenue in the range of $5.15 billion to $5.17 billion, which at the midpoint represents growth of 13%, non-GAAP gross margin of 79.7% to 80.3%, non-GAAP operating margin of 36.5% to 37.5%, non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.54 to $3.58, which assumes a share count of between 741 million and 743 million, infrastructure investments of $390 million to $420 million, a non-GAAP tax rate of 18% and cash taxes of $400 million to $450 million; current 2026 fiscal year guidance represents an increase for billings and revenue guidance by $1.14 billion and $570 million, respectively, compared to the initial 2026 guide in February, and 2027 total billings and revenue growth is expected to outpace the growth of the overall addressable market, with 2027 service revenue expected to grow at a higher rate compared to 2026.

Fortinet Risk Analysis

Fortinet disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fortinet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.Purchases of Equity Securities by the Issuer and Affiliated PurchasersQ2, 2026
2.Rule 10b5-1 Trading PlansQ2, 2026

Fortinet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

IT:1FTNT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CRWDCRWD80Outperform$256.42B7114.491.29%―24.30%―
PANWPANW73Outperform$299.56B795.371.68%―24.49%-68.55%
CHKPCHKP72Outperform$15.53B15.3636.43%―4.64%25.51%
ZSZS71Outperform$38.78B-609.82-2.76%―25.42%-47.39%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
NTSKNTSK52Neutral$9.93B-12.86-434.99%―30.40%-124.09%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%IT:1FTNTCHKPPANWZSCRWDNTSKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IT:1FTNT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IT:1FTNTFortinet120.9446.5862.64%
CHKPCheck Point Software152.11-42.48-21.83%
PANWPalo Alto Networks365.87146.6466.89%
ZSZscaler237.83-98.44-29.27%
CRWDCrowdstrike Holdings250.43112.4581.50%
NTSKNetskope, Inc.24.300.040.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.