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Parag Milk Foods Ltd. (PARAGMILK) AI Stock Analysis

4 Followers
IN:PARAGMILK

Parag Milk Foods Ltd.

(NSE:PARAGMILK)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:INR 345.00â–²(5.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is driven by strong technical momentum (price well above key moving averages with positive MACD), partially offset by moderate financial fundamentals where cash-flow volatility (FY2026 free cash flow turning negative again) is the main risk. Valuation further tempers the score due to a higher P/E and a very low dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit recoverySustained revenue growth alongside a recovery to positive and rising net income indicates that the business has rebuilt operating scale after the FY2022 downturn. This provides a stronger earnings base and supports continued investment in brands, distribution, and value-added dairy categories.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent cash generationThe renewed decline in operating cash flow and negative free cash flow weaken the quality of reported earnings and may require greater reliance on working-capital funding or debt. Persistent variability can also constrain investment capacity and make cash planning less predictable over the next several quarters.

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. (PARAGMILK) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%IN:PARAGMILK-6.98%INDA-5.62%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
INR 40.35B
Dividend Yield
0.34%
Average Volume (3M)
178.69K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
32.3
Beta (1Y)
1.62
Revenue Growth
13.13%
EPS Growth
-10.08%
Country
India
Employees
1,772
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Packaged Foods

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1992 and headquartered in Mumbai, India, Parag Milk Foods Limited is a key entity in the dairy sector, focusing on the production, processing, and sale of an extensive range of milk and dairy-derived products. The company markets its d...

How the Company Makes Money

Parag Milk Foods makes money primarily by selling branded dairy products and dairy ingredients through retail and institutional channels. Its core revenue model is built on: (1) Branded consumer dairy: The company procures raw milk from farmers/milk...

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement shows recovery and steady revenue growth with improving profitability, and leverage has improved as debt-to-equity declined. However, cash flow is the key weakness: operating cash flow dropped sharply in FY2026 and free cash flow turned negative again, raising concerns about earnings-to-cash conversion and working-capital/reinvestment intensity.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.43B38.17B34.32B31.39B28.54B20.55B
Gross Profit8.37B7.65B8.85B7.34B5.42B-2.43B
EBITDA3.17B3.05B2.53B2.23B1.65B-4.17B
Net Income1.26B1.35B1.19B905.83M532.54M-5.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.40B22.81B20.33B18.91B16.68B13.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments179.70M182.70M250.50M275.74M152.97M840.05M
Total Debt8.18B6.07B6.54B6.45B6.06B5.34B
Total Liabilities12.30B10.22B10.09B9.79B8.60B8.41B
Stockholders Equity13.09B12.59B10.23B9.12B8.08B5.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-275.50M881.90M379.28M-2.55B-1.85B
Operating Cash Flow0785.90M2.12B991.13M-1.94B-1.49B
Investing Cash Flow0-1.01B-1.32B-529.30M-875.59M-196.81M
Financing Cash Flow0141.10M-783.50M-494.23M2.12B2.41B

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price325.65

Price Trends

50DMA273.06Positive
100DMA248.72Positive
200DMA233.69Positive

Market Momentum

MACD13.83Negative
RSI67.47Neutral
STOCH89.71Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:PARAGMILK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 325.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 275.53, above the 50-day MA of 273.06, and above the 200-day MA of 233.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:PARAGMILK.

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:PARAGMILK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:HATSUNIN:HATSUN75OutperformINR 231.96B65.62―0.94%17.90%9.78%
IN:VADILALINDIN:VADILALIND73OutperformINR 50.06B21.02―0.86%35.53%78.98%
IN:BRITANNIAIN:BRITANNIA69NeutralINR 1.16T43.27―1.88%9.73%15.27%
IN:NESTLEINDIN:NESTLEIND64NeutralINR 2.48T59.62―0.94%21.68%38.17%
IN:PARAGMILKIN:PARAGMILK63NeutralINR 41.18B32.33―0.34%13.13%-10.08%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:HERITGFOODIN:HERITGFOOD49NeutralINR 34.80B31.02―0.65%13.91%-33.37%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%IN:PARAGMILKIN:BRITANNIAIN:HATSUNIN:HERITGFOODIN:NESTLEINDIN:VADILALINDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IN:PARAGMILK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:PARAGMILKParag Milk Foods Ltd.325.65-26.82-7.61%
IN:BRITANNIABritannia Industries Ltd4809.00-898.10-15.74%
IN:HATSUNHatsun Agro Product Limited1060.60-19.61-1.82%
IN:HERITGFOODHeritage Foods Limited386.55-91.79-19.19%
IN:NESTLEINDNestle India Ltd.1263.006.510.52%
IN:VADILALINDVadilal Industries Limited7006.051927.7137.96%

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. Corporate Events

Parag Milk Foods Reports Record Q2 Revenue and Strong EBITDA Growth

Nov 3, 2026

Parag Milk Foods reported record consolidated Q2 FY27 revenue of ₹1,241 crore, up 23% year on year on 12% volume growth, while EBITDA rose 37% to ₹101 crore. For H1 FY27, revenue increased 18% to ₹2,185 crore and EBITDA grew 23% to ₹170 crore; report...

Parag Milk Foods Releases Investor Presentation on September Results

Nov 3, 2026

Parag Milk Foods Limited submitted an investor presentation covering its unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and half year ended September 30, 2026. The presentation supports the company’s regulatory disclosure obl...

Parag Milk Foods Publishes AGM, E-Voting Notice Ahead of September Meeting

Sep 6, 2026

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. has announced that it has published newspaper notices regarding its 34th Annual General Meeting, scheduled for September 29, 2026, including details of e-voting arrangements for shareholders. The publications in English and Mara...

Parag Milk Foods Publishes FY 2025-26 Integrated Report, Sets Date for 34th AGM

Sep 5, 2026

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. has notified stock exchanges and shareholders that its Integrated Annual Report for financial year 2025-26 and the notice of its 34th Annual General Meeting are now accessible online. The company is holding the AGM on September...

Parag Milk Foods to Double Cheese Capacity, Appoints New CFO

Aug 6, 2026

Parag Milk Foods’ board has approved a brownfield expansion of its cheese manufacturing capacity by about 60 metric tonnes per day, doubling output from roughly 60 MT to 120 MT daily, with an investment of around ₹105 crore. This move positions the c...

Parag Milk Foods Doubles Cheese Capacity and Appoints New CFO

Aug 6, 2026

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. approved a brownfield expansion of its cheese manufacturing capacity by about 60 metric tonnes per day, doubling total capacity to roughly 120 metric tonnes per day with an estimated investment of ₹105 crore. This move signals a...

Parag Milk Foods to Double Cheese Capacity in Rs 105-Crore Expansion

Aug 6, 2026

Parag Milk Foods Ltd., a major dairy FMCG player with pan-India operations and brands including Go, Gowardhan, Pride of Cows and Avvatar, continues to build on its integrated farm-to-home model and focus on value-added dairy and nutrition products. T...

Parag Milk Foods Doubles Cheese Capacity, Names New CFO

Aug 6, 2026

Parag Milk Foods Ltd. has approved a brownfield expansion of its cheese manufacturing capacity, doubling output from roughly 60MT per day to 120MT per day with an investment of about ₹105 crore, signaling a push to capture growing demand in the value...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026