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Pakka Ltd (PAKKA) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:PAKKA

Pakka Ltd

(NSE:PAKKA)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:INR 73.00â–²(1.64% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/20/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—especially sustained negative free cash flow, margin compression, and a step-up in leverage. Technical indicators are relatively supportive with a strong move above key short/intermediate moving averages and positive MACD, but valuation is a clear headwind given the high P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReaccelerationThe sharp FY2026 revenue rebound indicates renewed demand for Pakka’s products and restored top-line momentum after a stagnant year. Sustained growth would improve operating leverage, support reinvestment in capacity and products, and strengthen the company’s ability to scale its packaging platform.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionThe substantial decline in both operating and net margins shows that recent revenue growth is not translating efficiently into earnings. If the weaker margin profile persists, Pakka may have less capacity to fund expansion internally and a less stable earnings base over the next several quarters.

Pakka Ltd (PAKKA) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%IN:PAKKA-48.90%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 3.40B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
14.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
22.0
Beta (1Y)
1.34
Revenue Growth
0.10%
EPS Growth
-63.51%
Country
India
Employees
565
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Pakka Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Pakka Limited, established in 1981 and based in Ayodhya, India, was formerly recognized as Yash Pakka Limited until its name change in July 2023. This enterprise focuses on the production and distribution of paper-based and molded items, serving both...

Pakka Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals skew negative: revenue rebounded strongly (~29.6% in FY2026), but profitability weakened sharply (net margin ~5.1% vs ~9.2% prior; operating margin ~7.2% vs ~14.4%). Leverage increased meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~0.90 vs ~0.46). The biggest issue is cash generation, with free cash flow deeply negative in FY2025–FY2026 despite improved operating cash flow, reducing financial flexibility.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

56Neutral

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.92B3.56B4.06B4.05B4.08B2.91B
Gross Profit962.94M889.94M2.39B2.47B1.12B1.75B
EBITDA473.95M421.49M744.05M891.92M886.18M693.78M
Net Income147.03M181.49M375.20M434.03M460.43M357.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets011.17B7.38B5.07B3.73B3.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments221.03M179.41M767.18M563.54M21.01M49.69M
Total Debt04.58B2.06B1.84B1.04B1.04B
Total Liabilities-4.63B6.53B2.86B2.55B1.67B1.59B
Stockholders Equity4.63B4.63B4.52B2.51B2.06B1.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.89B-2.89B-1.80B-126.37M122.35M32.14M
Operating Cash Flow654.10M654.10M111.56M469.56M513.71M324.72M
Investing Cash Flow-3.68B-3.68B-1.78B-686.49M-382.41M-293.44M
Financing Cash Flow2.55B2.55B1.78B758.67M-170.98M16.43M

Pakka Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price71.82

Price Trends

50DMA75.14Negative
100DMA75.70Negative
200DMA83.25Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.15Negative
RSI48.60Neutral
STOCH26.45Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:PAKKA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 71.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.22, below the 50-day MA of 75.14, and below the 200-day MA of 83.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:PAKKA.

Pakka Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:PAKKA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:PDMJEPAPERIN:PDMJEPAPER77OutperformINR 8.29B9.08―0.69%1.45%-12.79%
IN:JKPAPERIN:JKPAPER65NeutralINR 67.03B20.25―1.08%10.27%-11.88%
IN:TNPLIN:TNPL60NeutralINR 8.88B3.40―3.12%2.88%―
IN:ANDHRAPAPIN:ANDHRAPAP59NeutralINR 13.18B48.06―0.76%5.12%-66.53%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:SESHAPAPERIN:SESHAPAPER53NeutralINR 12.75B10.26―1.00%18.52%45.83%
IN:PAKKAIN:PAKKA52NeutralINR 3.42B21.96――0.10%-63.51%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%IN:PAKKAIN:ANDHRAPAPIN:JKPAPERIN:PDMJEPAPERIN:SESHAPAPERIN:TNPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:PAKKA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:PAKKAPakka Ltd71.82-69.53-49.19%
IN:ANDHRAPAPAndhra Paper Ltd.66.28-11.42-14.70%
IN:JKPAPERJK Paper Limited369.70-23.82-6.05%
IN:PDMJEPAPERPudumjee Paper Products Ltd.87.32-27.96-24.26%
IN:SESHAPAPERSeshasayee Paper & Boards Ltd.202.15-57.47-22.14%
IN:TNPLTamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd.128.25-22.33-14.83%

Pakka Ltd Corporate Events

Pakka Limited to Host Investor Call on Q2 and H1 FY 2026–27 Earnings

Oct 28, 2026

Pakka Limited has scheduled an analysts and investors earnings conference call via Microsoft Teams on 3 November 2026 at 4:00 p.m. IST to discuss its financial performance for the second quarter and half year ended 30 September 2026. The call, which...

Pakka boosts capital as promoter converts warrants into equity

Oct 17, 2026

Pakka Limited’s fund raising committee has approved the allotment of 3,880,000 fully paid-up equity shares to promoter group entity Yash Agro Products Limited following the conversion of an equal number of fully convertible warrants at an issue...

Pakka Limited Closes Trading Window Ahead of Q2 FY 2026–27 Results

Sep 28, 2026

Pakka Limited has announced the closure of its trading window for designated persons and their immediate relatives starting 1 October 2026, in line with SEBI’s Prohibition of Insider Trading Regulations and the company’s own code of condu...

Pakka Limited Discloses FIR in Team Member Death Case, Awaits Probe Outcome

Sep 28, 2026

Pakka Limited has disclosed that a First Information Report was filed by police in Ayodhya on 27 September 2026 concerning the death of team member Ashish Shivhare, following a complaint by a family member. The FIR names, among others, Managing Direc...

Pakka Limited Gains NSE and BSE Nod to List Preferential Shares

Aug 28, 2026

Pakka Limited has received listing approval from the National Stock Exchange of India for 2,720,000 equity shares of ₹10 each issued to non-promoters on a preferential basis, with the shares to be admitted to trading once depositories confirm c...

Pakka Limited Publishes Q1 FY2026–27 Earnings Call Transcript

Aug 25, 2026

Pakka Limited has released the edited transcript of its Q1 FY2026–27 earnings conference call, where senior management discussed the company’s financial performance for the quarter ended 30 June 2026. The transcript, prepared from the 18...

Pakka Limited Confirms No Deviation in Preferential Issue Fund Use

Aug 15, 2026

Pakka Limited reported that there were no deviations or variations in the use of proceeds from its preferential issue for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, confirming that deployment of funds remains aligned with the Jagriti Project as originally disc...

Pakka Limited Discloses SEBI Warning Over Disclosure Lapses

Aug 5, 2026

Pakka Limited has disclosed that it received an administrative warning letter from the Securities and Exchange Board of India, noting observed non-compliances with Regulation 30 of the SEBI Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements. The company...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026